Mexico Playoff Chances 1 50/50Plays France 6:00 PM, playoff odds down 1 to 73% 2 points 1 0-0 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain Tuesday, 1/21 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | First Round Bye | 100.0* | Average seed | Canada 3 United States 4 (ot) | -1.0 | | -1.6 | | -0.1 | | If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway | Mexico vs France | +13.3+11.7-2.6-15.5 | | +15.5+13.9-4.1-17.9 | | +0.8+0.7-0.2-0.9 | | Germany vs Spain | +0.7-0.7-1.6-0.1 | | -0.6-1.6-0.9+1.3 | | +0.0-0.1-0.1+0.0 | | Italy vs Japan | +0.6-1.2-1.4*+0.1 | | +0.3-1.5-1.7+0.6 | | +0.0-0.1-0.1+0.0 | | | If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway | Wednesday, 1/22 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | First Round Bye | 100.0* | Average seed | Mexico vs Germany | +12.8+11.2-2.3-15.0 | | +16.2+13.5-4.5-18.4 | | +0.8+0.7-0.2-0.9 | | Spain vs Canada | +0.5-1.4-1.3+0.2 | | +0.7-0.6-1.3-0.2 | | +0.0-0.1-0.1+0.0 | | Japan vs France | +0.4-1.6-1.5+0.4 | | +0.4-1.5-1.3+0.3 | | +0.0-0.1-0.1+0.0 | | United States vs Italy | +0.7-0.8-1.3-0.1 | | +0.4-1.7-2.1+0.5 | | +0.0-0.1-0.1+0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Mexico finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | First | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | TP | W | | L | - | OT | playoffs | Round Bye | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | 14 | | 6 | 0 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | 78,680 | | 13 | | 5 | 0 | - | 1 | In | Yes | 95 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | 92,663 | | 12 | | 5 | 1 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 84 | 16 | 0 | | | | | | 369,129 | | | 4 | 0 | - | 2 | In | Yes | 72 | 27 | 1 | | | | | | 45,968 | | 11 | | 4 | 1 | - | 1 | In | 99.8 | % | 46 | 46 | 8 | 0 | 0 | | | | 369,389 | | | 3 | 0 | - | 3 | In | 99.2 | | 33 | 52 | 15 | 1 | | | | | 12,343 | | 10 | | 4 | 2 | - | 0 | 100.0 | % | 95.9 | | 20 | 49 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | 737,233 | | | 3 | 1 | - | 2 | 100.0 | | 90.9 | | 12 | 41 | 38 | 9 | 0 | 0 | | | 146,831 | | | 2 | 0 | - | 4 | 99.9 | | 82.3 | | 6 | 31 | 46 | 16 | 1 | 0 | | | 1,793 | | 9 | | 3 | 2 | - | 1 | 99.6 | | 56.5 | | 1 | 14 | 42 | 35 | 8 | 0 | 0 | | 590,474 | | | 2 | 1 | - | 3 | 98.7 | | 39.0 | | 0 | 7 | 32 | 43 | 16 | 1 | 0 | | 29,586 | | | 1 | 0 | - | 5 | 95.8 | | 19.4 | | | 1 | 18 | 45 | 31 | 4 | | | 144 | | 8 | | 3 | 3 | - | 0 | 92.0 | | 18.7 | | 0 | 2 | 17 | 42 | 31 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 787,429 | | | 2 | 2 | - | 2 | 83.7 | | 9.5 | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 33 | 41 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 177,763 | | | 1 | 1 | - | 4 | 69.2 | | 3.1 | | | 0 | 3 | 21 | 45 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 3,005 | | | 0 | 0 | - | 6 | Out | No | | | | | | 100 | | | 3 | | 7 | | 2 | 3 | - | 1 | 39.1 | | 0.3 | | | | 0 | 7 | 32 | 44 | 16 | 1 | 472,700 | | | 1 | 2 | - | 3 | 22.1 | | 0.0 | | | | 0 | 2 | 20 | 47 | 28 | 3 | 23,619 | | | 0 | 1 | - | 5 | 7.1 | | No | | | | | 7 | 36 | 48 | 9 | 113 | | 6 | | 2 | 4 | - | 0 | 11.2 | | 0.0 | | | | 0 | 1 | 11 | 40 | 39 | 9 | 472,385 | | | 1 | 3 | - | 2 | 4.8 | | No | | | | 0 | 5 | 31 | 48 | 16 | 94,436 | | | 0 | 2 | - | 4 | 1.4 | | No | | | | | 1 | 17 | 54 | 28 | 1,159 | | 5 | | 1 | 4 | - | 1 | 0.3 | | No | | | | 0 | 0 | 9 | 46 | 45 | 189,150 | | | 0 | 3 | - | 3 | 0.0 | | No | | | | | 0 | 3 | 37 | 61 | 6,306 | | 4 | | 1 | 5 | - | 0 | 0.0 | | No | | | | | 0 | 2 | 32 | 66 | 151,289 | | | 0 | 4 | - | 2 | 0.0 | | No | | | | | 0 | 1 | 24 | 75 | 19,017 | | 3 | | 0 | 5 | - | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | 0 | 8 | 92 | 30,261 | | 2 | | 0 | 6 | - | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | 5 | 95 | 21,628 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 73.0 | % | 47.1 | % | 17 | 16 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 4,924,496 | |
Chance Will Make Playoffs |