Japan Playoff Chances 1
Plays at Italy 6:00 PM, playoff odds up 3.3 to 46.5%
1 points 0 0-1
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain
| Tuesday, 1/21 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | First Round Bye | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Canada 3 United States 4 (ot) | -1.3 | -0.9 | -0.1 | |||
| If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway | ||||||
| Italy vs Japan | -11.3+1.4+18.3+21.3 | -8.0-1.6+13.4+16.6 | -0.5+0.0+0.8+1.0 | |||
| Mexico vs France | +1.6-1.9-3.8-1.6 | -0.4-1.0-0.4+1.4 | +0.0-0.1-0.1-0.0 | |||
| Germany vs Spain | +1.1-1.6-3.0-0.7 | -0.7-1.0*+0.1+2.0 | +0.0-0.1-0.1-0.0 | |||
| If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway | ||||||
| Wednesday, 1/22 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | First Round Bye | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Japan vs France | +19.6+15.4-6.4-20.0 | +8.8+7.9-3.3-9.2 | +0.7+0.6-0.2-0.8 | |||
| United States vs Italy | +1.1-0.6-1.7-0.9 | +0.8-1.1-2.1-0.2 | +0.0-0.0-0.1-0.0 | |||
| Spain vs Canada | -0.1-1.5-1.1+1.1 | -0.1-0.2*+0.0+0.2 | +0.0-0.1-0.1+0.0 | |||
| Mexico vs Germany | +0.5-1.5-1.5+0.3 | +0.4-1.5-1.6+0.4 | +0.0-0.1-0.1+0.0 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Japan finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | First | Chance will finish regular season at seed | |||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | L | - | OT | playoffs | Round Bye | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | Count | |||||
| 13 | 6 | 0 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 81 | 19 | 0 | 74,626 | ||||||||||
| 12 | 5 | 0 | - | 1 | In | 100.0 | % | 40 | 53 | 7 | 0 | 132,904 | ||||||||
| 11 | 5 | 1 | - | 0 | In | 99.0 | 21 | 57 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 530,717 | ||||||||
| 4 | 0 | - | 2 | In | 96.8 | 13 | 52 | 32 | 3 | 0 | 101,363 | |||||||||
| 10 | 4 | 1 | - | 1 | 100.0 | % | 76.5 | 3 | 25 | 48 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 809,585 | ||||||
| 3 | 0 | - | 3 | 100.0 | 63.8 | 2 | 16 | 46 | 33 | 4 | 0 | 39,193 | ||||||||
| 9 | 4 | 2 | - | 0 | 99.6 | 44.0 | 0 | 6 | 38 | 45 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1,620,843 | ||||||
| 3 | 1 | - | 2 | 98.8 | 28.4 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 50 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 470,922 | |||||||
| 2 | 0 | - | 4 | 96.4 | 17.2 | 1 | 16 | 48 | 31 | 4 | 0 | 8,280 | ||||||||
| 8 | 3 | 2 | - | 1 | 87.4 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 33 | 47 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1,883,610 | |||||
| 2 | 1 | - | 3 | 75.6 | 2.8 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 51 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 129,454 | |||||||
| 1 | 0 | - | 5 | 60.8 | 0.5 | 0 | 13 | 48 | 35 | 4 | 836 | |||||||||
| 7 | 3 | 3 | - | 0 | 58.8 | 0.3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 48 | 36 | 5 | 0 | 2,509,218 | ||||||
| 2 | 2 | - | 2 | 39.7 | 0.1 | 0 | 5 | 35 | 49 | 11 | 0 | 775,042 | ||||||||
| 1 | 1 | - | 4 | 22.2 | No | 1 | 21 | 54 | 23 | 1 | 16,773 | |||||||||
| 0 | 0 | - | 6 | 10.0 | No | 10 | 30 | 50 | 10 | 30 | ||||||||||
| 6 | 2 | 3 | - | 1 | 12.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 50 | 34 | 4 | 2,067,890 | |||||||
| 1 | 2 | - | 3 | 4.2 | No | 0 | 4 | 36 | 51 | 9 | 134,170 | |||||||||
| 0 | 1 | - | 5 | 0.3 | No | 0 | 21 | 58 | 21 | 794 | ||||||||||
| 5 | 2 | 4 | - | 0 | 1.9 | No | 0 | 2 | 29 | 53 | 16 | 2,074,665 | ||||||||
| 1 | 3 | - | 2 | 0.4 | No | 0 | 13 | 57 | 29 | 535,053 | ||||||||||
| 0 | 2 | - | 4 | Out | No | 2 | 41 | 57 | 8,078 | |||||||||||
| 4 | 1 | 4 | - | 1 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 3 | 43 | 54 | 1,072,366 | |||||||||
| 0 | 3 | - | 3 | Out | No | 18 | 82 | 43,163 | ||||||||||||
| 3 | 1 | 5 | - | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 24 | 76 | 858,082 | ||||||||||
| 0 | 4 | - | 2 | Out | No | 2 | 98 | 130,666 | ||||||||||||
| 1 | -2 | Out | No | 100 | 353,149 | * | ||||||||||||||
| Total: | 46.5 | % | 15.0 | % | 2 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 18 | 20 | 19 | 14 | 16,381,472 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:41 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
