Italy Playoff Chances 1 50/50
Plays Japan 6:00 PM, playoff odds down 0.8 to 73.2%
2 points 1 0-0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain
| Tuesday, 1/21 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | First Round Bye | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Canada 3 United States 4 (ot) | -0.8 | -1.7 | -0.1 | |||
| If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway | ||||||
| Italy vs Japan | +13.2+11.6-2.2-15.6 | +15.5+13.8-3.7-18.1 | +0.8+0.7-0.2-0.9 | |||
| Germany vs Spain | +0.8-1.1-1.6*-0.1 | -0.3-1.6-1.2+1.0 | +0.0-0.1-0.1+0.0 | |||
| Mexico vs France | +0.6-1.2-1.5*+0.1 | +0.3-1.5-1.6+0.5 | +0.0-0.1-0.1+0.0 | |||
| If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway | ||||||
| Wednesday, 1/22 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | First Round Bye | 100.0* | Average seed |
| United States vs Italy | -14.4-1.5+10.6+12.1 | -18.4-4.3+13.1+16.2 | -0.9-0.2+0.7+0.8 | |||
| Japan vs France | +0.5-1.5-1.6+0.3 | +0.4-1.4-1.4+0.3 | +0.0-0.1-0.1+0.0 | |||
| Spain vs Canada | +0.4-1.3-1.4+0.3 | -0.2-0.8-0.7+0.6 | +0.0-0.1-0.1+0.0 | |||
| Mexico vs Germany | +0.2-1.3-1.1+0.3 | +0.4-1.7-1.7+0.4 | +0.0-0.1-0.1+0.0 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Italy finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | First | Chance will finish regular season at seed | |||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | L | - | OT | playoffs | Round Bye | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | Count | |||||
| 14 | 6 | 0 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 100 | 78,237 | ||||||||||||
| 13 | 5 | 0 | - | 1 | In | Yes | 95 | 5 | 0 | 92,081 | ||||||||||
| 12 | 5 | 1 | - | 0 | In | 100.0 | % | 83 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 368,699 | ||||||||
| 4 | 0 | - | 2 | In | 100.0 | 71 | 28 | 1 | 0 | 46,329 | ||||||||||
| 11 | 4 | 1 | - | 1 | In | 99.8 | 47 | 45 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 369,397 | ||||||||
| 3 | 0 | - | 3 | In | 99.1 | 34 | 50 | 15 | 1 | 12,426 | ||||||||||
| 10 | 4 | 2 | - | 0 | 100.0 | % | 95.7 | 18 | 49 | 29 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 739,133 | ||||||
| 3 | 1 | - | 2 | 100.0 | 90.4 | 10 | 41 | 39 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 147,389 | ||||||||
| 2 | 0 | - | 4 | In | 81.8 | 6 | 30 | 46 | 16 | 2 | 1,835 | |||||||||
| 9 | 3 | 2 | - | 1 | 99.6 | 59.3 | 1 | 15 | 43 | 33 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 590,280 | ||||||
| 2 | 1 | - | 3 | 98.9 | 42.2 | 0 | 8 | 34 | 42 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 29,592 | |||||||
| 1 | 0 | - | 5 | 97.1 | 26.0 | 3 | 23 | 52 | 19 | 3 | 173 | |||||||||
| 8 | 3 | 3 | - | 0 | 91.5 | 16.4 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 42 | 33 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 786,924 | |||||
| 2 | 2 | - | 2 | 82.4 | 7.5 | 0 | 7 | 32 | 43 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 177,054 | |||||||
| 1 | 1 | - | 4 | 66.4 | 2.7 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 45 | 29 | 4 | 0 | 2,938 | |||||||
| 0 | 0 | - | 6 | In | No | 100 | 2 | |||||||||||||
| 7 | 2 | 3 | - | 1 | 43.8 | 0.4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 35 | 41 | 14 | 1 | 473,805 | ||||||
| 1 | 2 | - | 3 | 27.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 47 | 24 | 2 | 23,295 | ||||||||
| 0 | 1 | - | 5 | 8.2 | No | 1 | 7 | 41 | 45 | 5 | 110 | |||||||||
| 6 | 2 | 4 | - | 0 | 9.8 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 39 | 41 | 10 | 472,386 | |||||||
| 1 | 3 | - | 2 | 3.9 | No | 0 | 4 | 29 | 50 | 17 | 94,579 | |||||||||
| 0 | 2 | - | 4 | 0.7 | No | 1 | 15 | 54 | 30 | 1,220 | ||||||||||
| 5 | 1 | 4 | - | 1 | 0.5 | No | 0 | 0 | 11 | 48 | 41 | 188,049 | ||||||||
| 0 | 3 | - | 3 | 0.1 | No | 0 | 5 | 41 | 54 | 6,344 | ||||||||||
| 4 | 1 | 5 | - | 0 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 2 | 29 | 69 | 151,357 | |||||||||
| 0 | 4 | - | 2 | Out | No | 0 | 20 | 80 | 19,121 | |||||||||||
| 3 | 0 | 5 | - | 1 | Out | No | 0 | 11 | 89 | 30,139 | ||||||||||
| 2 | 0 | 6 | - | 0 | Out | No | 2 | 98 | 21,602 | |||||||||||
| Total: | 73.2 | % | 47.0 | % | 17 | 16 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 4,924,496 | |||||||
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:41 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
