Germany Playoff Chances 1
Plays Spain 6:00 PM, playoff odds up 0.9 to 87.4%
2 points 1 0-0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain
| Tuesday, 1/21 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | First Round Bye | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Canada 3 United States 4 (ot) | -0.7 | -1.4 | -0.1 | |||
| If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway | ||||||
| Germany vs Spain | +6.5+5.7-4.3-16.0 | +9.0+8.4-7.1-21.9 | +0.4+0.4-0.3-1.0 | |||
| Mexico vs France | +1.0-0.7-2.1-1.3 | -0.4-1.7-1.0+2.0 | +0.0-0.1-0.1+0.0 | |||
| Italy vs Japan | +0.7-0.8-1.6-0.7 | -0.2-1.9-1.1+1.9 | +0.0-0.1-0.1+0.0 | |||
| If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway | ||||||
| Wednesday, 1/22 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | First Round Bye | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Mexico vs Germany | -8.4+0.4+6.8+7.5 | -19.5-4.5+15.0+19.0 | -0.8-0.2+0.6+0.8 | |||
| Japan vs France | +0.6-1.0-1.6+0.1 | -0.1-1.0-0.8+0.5 | +0.0-0.0-0.1+0.0 | |||
| Spain vs Canada | *+0.0-0.9-0.6+0.5 | -0.2-0.5*+0.0+0.5 | ||||
| United States vs Italy | +0.4-0.3-0.6-0.3 | +1.3-1.9-3.0-0.5 | +0.0-0.1-0.1+0.0 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Germany finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | First | Chance will finish regular season at seed | |||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | L | - | OT | playoffs | Round Bye | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | Count | |||||
| 14 | 6 | 0 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 100 | 525,688 | ||||||||||||
| 13 | 5 | 0 | - | 1 | In | Yes | 85 | 15 | 0 | 521,472 | ||||||||||
| 12 | 5 | 1 | - | 0 | In | 100.0 | % | 60 | 38 | 2 | 0 | 2,084,168 | ||||||||
| 4 | 0 | - | 2 | In | 100.0 | 41 | 51 | 7 | 0 | 204,450 | ||||||||||
| 11 | 4 | 1 | - | 1 | In | 98.8 | 19 | 56 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 1,628,808 | ||||||||
| 3 | 0 | - | 3 | In | 96.4 | 11 | 50 | 35 | 4 | 0 | 39,461 | |||||||||
| 10 | 4 | 2 | - | 0 | 100.0 | % | 88.1 | 5 | 37 | 47 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 3,262,838 | ||||||
| 3 | 1 | - | 2 | 100.0 | 76.3 | 3 | 24 | 50 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 475,065 | ||||||||
| 2 | 0 | - | 4 | 100.0 | 64.6 | 1 | 14 | 49 | 32 | 3 | 0 | 4,040 | ||||||||
| 9 | 3 | 2 | - | 1 | 99.6 | 44.6 | 0 | 6 | 39 | 45 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1,902,531 | ||||||
| 2 | 1 | - | 3 | 99.0 | 29.5 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 52 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 64,197 | |||||||
| 1 | 0 | - | 5 | 98.2 | 19.0 | 19 | 50 | 29 | 2 | 221 | ||||||||||
| 8 | 3 | 3 | - | 0 | 94.3 | 13.4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 48 | 33 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2,537,792 | |||||
| 2 | 2 | - | 2 | 88.4 | 6.4 | 0 | 6 | 38 | 44 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 384,453 | |||||||
| 1 | 1 | - | 4 | 78.4 | 2.9 | 3 | 26 | 50 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 4,043 | ||||||||
| 0 | 0 | - | 6 | 80.0 | No | 20 | 60 | 20 | 5 | |||||||||||
| 7 | 2 | 3 | - | 1 | 59.4 | 0.4 | 0 | 13 | 46 | 34 | 6 | 0 | 1,027,946 | |||||||
| 1 | 2 | - | 3 | 41.7 | 0.1 | 0 | 6 | 36 | 46 | 12 | 0 | 32,190 | ||||||||
| 0 | 1 | - | 5 | 12.4 | No | 1 | 11 | 54 | 31 | 2 | 89 | |||||||||
| 6 | 2 | 4 | - | 0 | 23.2 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 49 | 25 | 3 | 1,025,537 | |||||||
| 1 | 3 | - | 2 | 10.7 | No | 0 | 10 | 45 | 39 | 6 | 128,021 | |||||||||
| 0 | 2 | - | 4 | 4.2 | No | 4 | 30 | 53 | 13 | 923 | ||||||||||
| 5 | 1 | 4 | - | 1 | 1.6 | No | 0 | 2 | 22 | 53 | 23 | 256,522 | ||||||||
| 0 | 3 | - | 3 | 0.3 | No | 0 | 9 | 46 | 45 | 5,036 | ||||||||||
| 4 | 1 | 5 | - | 0 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 5 | 45 | 50 | 206,147 | |||||||||
| 0 | 4 | - | 2 | Out | No | 1 | 26 | 73 | 14,904 | |||||||||||
| 3 | 0 | 5 | - | 1 | Out | No | 0 | 9 | 91 | 23,973 | ||||||||||
| 2 | 0 | 6 | - | 0 | Out | No | 2 | 98 | 20,952 | |||||||||||
| Total: | 87.4 | % | 57.7 | % | 17 | 20 | 20 | 18 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 16,381,472 | |||||||
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:41 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
