Canada Playoff Chances 1 50/50Lost to United States 3-4 (ot), playoff odds down 4.3 to 39.2% 1 points 0 1-1 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain Tuesday, 1/21 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | First Round Bye | 100.0* | Average seed | Canada 3 United States 4 (ot) | -4.4 | | -4.4 | | -0.3 | | If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway | Italy vs Japan | +0.9-1.6-2.6+0.1 | | -0.3-1.2-1.1+0.9 | | +0.0-0.1-0.1+0.0 | | Mexico vs France | +0.6-2.0-1.8+0.4 | | -0.1-1.0-0.6+0.5 | | +0.0-0.1-0.1+0.0 | | Germany vs Spain | +0.5-1.7-1.8+0.4 | | -0.5-1.1-0.4+0.8 | | +0.0-0.1-0.1+0.0 | | | If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway | Wednesday, 1/22 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | First Round Bye | 100.0* | Average seed | Spain vs Canada | -18.7-5.5+14.2+16.5 | | -10.6-5.0+8.8+9.6 | | -0.9-0.3+0.7+0.8 | | United States vs Italy | +1.0-1.7-2.2*-0.1 | | +0.5-1.6-1.8+0.3 | | +0.0-0.1-0.1+0.0 | | Japan vs France | +0.5-2.0-1.9+0.5 | | +0.1-0.6-0.7+0.2 | | +0.0-0.1-0.1+0.0 | | Mexico vs Germany | +0.5-1.9-1.8+0.4 | | +0.3-1.0-1.0+0.2 | | +0.0-0.1-0.1+0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Canada finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | First | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | TP | W | | L | - | OT | playoffs | Round Bye | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11 | | 5 | 0 | - | 0 | In | 99.8 | % | 49 | 44 | 7 | 0 | 0 | | | | 155,412 | | 10 | | 4 | 0 | - | 1 | 100.0 | % | 91.5 | | 11 | 42 | 38 | 8 | 0 | 0 | | | 153,725 | | 9 | | 4 | 1 | - | 0 | 99.7 | | 63.4 | | 1 | 18 | 44 | 30 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | 615,355 | | | 3 | 0 | - | 2 | 99.1 | | 46.5 | | 0 | 10 | 36 | 40 | 12 | 1 | 0 | | 61,339 | | 8 | | 3 | 1 | - | 1 | 84.4 | | 9.6 | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 33 | 41 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 492,233 | | | 2 | 0 | - | 3 | 70.7 | | 3.9 | | | 0 | 4 | 21 | 46 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 12,222 | | 7 | | 3 | 2 | - | 0 | 45.6 | | 0.4 | | | 0 | 0 | 9 | 36 | 41 | 13 | 1 | 984,401 | | | 2 | 1 | - | 2 | 27.6 | | 0.1 | | | | 0 | 3 | 24 | 46 | 24 | 2 | 146,822 | | | 1 | 0 | - | 4 | 12.1 | | No | | | | 1 | 11 | 43 | 39 | 6 | 1,256 | | 6 | | 2 | 2 | - | 1 | 4.8 | | 0.0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 30 | 49 | 17 | 590,428 | | | 1 | 1 | - | 3 | 1.2 | | No | | | | 0 | 1 | 17 | 51 | 31 | 19,656 | | | 0 | 0 | - | 5 | Out | No | | | | | | 11 | 40 | 49 | 47 | | 5 | | 2 | 3 | - | 0 | 0.4 | | No | | | | 0 | 0 | 10 | 47 | 42 | 787,700 | | | 1 | 2 | - | 2 | 0.0 | | No | | | | | 0 | 4 | 38 | 58 | 117,847 | | | 0 | 1 | - | 4 | Out | No | | | | | | 1 | 20 | 79 | 937 | | 4 | | 1 | 3 | - | 1 | 0.0 | | No | | | | | 0 | 0 | 19 | 81 | 315,392 | | | 0 | 2 | - | 3 | Out | No | | | | | | | 5 | 95 | 7,631 | | 3 | | 1 | 4 | - | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | 0 | 8 | 92 | 315,128 | | | 0 | 3 | - | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | 2 | 98 | 31,661 | | 1 | -2 | | Out | No | | | | | | | | 100 | 115,304 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 39.2 | % | 15.6 | % | 2 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 16 | 20 | 25 | 4,924,496 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Make Playoffs |