Canada Playoff Chances 1
Lost to United States 3-4 (ot), playoff odds down 13.7 to 14.9%
1 points 0 1-1
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain
| Tuesday, 1/21 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | First Round Bye | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Canada 3 United States 4 (ot) | +0.8 | -1.1 | +0.0 | |||
| If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway | ||||||
| Italy vs Japan | +0.8-0.9-2.2-0.9 | -0.1-0.2-0.1+0.4 | +0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1 | |||
| Mexico vs France | +0.8-1.1-2.0-0.6 | -0.1-0.2-0.1+0.3 | +0.0-0.0-0.1-0.0 | |||
| Germany vs Spain | +0.4-0.9-1.4*-0.0 | -0.2-0.2*+0.0+0.4 | +0.1-0.0-0.1-0.1 | |||
| If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway | ||||||
| Wednesday, 1/22 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | First Round Bye | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Spain vs Canada | -8.9-2.6+11.5+13.3 | -1.7-0.6+2.3+2.5 | -0.5-0.1+0.6+0.7 | |||
| Japan vs France | +0.4-1.2-1.3+0.3 | +0.0-0.1-0.1+0.0 | +0.0-0.1-0.1+0.0 | |||
| Mexico vs Germany | +0.3-1.0-1.0+0.2 | +0.1-0.3-0.3+0.1 | ||||
| United States vs Italy | +0.5-0.5-0.7-0.3 | +0.2-0.3-0.4-0.1 | ||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Canada finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | First | Chance will finish regular season at seed | |||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | L | - | OT | playoffs | Round Bye | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | Count | |||||
| 11 | 5 | 0 | - | 0 | In | 99.2 | % | 21 | 57 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 39,107 | |||||||
| 10 | 4 | 0 | - | 1 | 100.0 | % | 77.9 | 3 | 26 | 49 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 88,348 | ||||||
| 9 | 4 | 1 | - | 0 | 99.7 | 47.0 | 0 | 7 | 40 | 43 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 352,635 | ||||||
| 3 | 0 | - | 2 | 99.0 | 31.4 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 48 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 87,127 | |||||||
| 8 | 3 | 1 | - | 1 | 87.2 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 34 | 47 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 695,565 | |||||
| 2 | 0 | - | 3 | 74.7 | 2.8 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 50 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 41,257 | |||||||
| 7 | 3 | 2 | - | 0 | 57.8 | 0.4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 46 | 36 | 6 | 0 | 1,391,984 | ||||||
| 2 | 1 | - | 2 | 37.6 | 0.1 | 0 | 5 | 33 | 48 | 14 | 1 | 495,681 | ||||||||
| 1 | 0 | - | 4 | 20.5 | No | 1 | 19 | 51 | 26 | 2 | 9,478 | |||||||||
| 6 | 2 | 2 | - | 1 | 10.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 45 | 38 | 6 | 1,984,148 | |||||||
| 1 | 1 | - | 3 | 3.1 | No | 0 | 3 | 30 | 53 | 14 | 151,965 | |||||||||
| 0 | 0 | - | 5 | 0.2 | No | 0 | 14 | 54 | 32 | 854 | ||||||||||
| 5 | 2 | 3 | - | 0 | 1.4 | No | 0 | 1 | 24 | 54 | 21 | 2,647,852 | ||||||||
| 1 | 2 | - | 2 | 0.3 | No | 0 | 10 | 53 | 37 | 908,771 | ||||||||||
| 0 | 1 | - | 4 | Out | No | 1 | 35 | 64 | 16,857 | |||||||||||
| 4 | 1 | 3 | - | 1 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 2 | 36 | 62 | 2,425,165 | |||||||||
| 0 | 2 | - | 3 | Out | No | 13 | 87 | 134,378 | ||||||||||||
| 3 | 1 | 4 | - | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 19 | 81 | 2,425,950 | ||||||||||
| 0 | 3 | - | 2 | Out | No | 3 | 97 | 539,661 | ||||||||||||
| 1 | -2 | Out | No | 100 | 1,944,689 | * | ||||||||||||||
| Total: | 14.9 | % | 2.2 | % | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 26 | 43 | 16,381,472 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:41 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
