Vancouver Canucks Playoff Chances 2013-2014 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.1 to 38%

5 points 2 13-1

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Monday	None

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Phoenix vs Vancouver	-4.4-0.9-1.3+1.0+0.8+4.4		-0.4-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.4
Boston vs Dallas	+0.4+0.2-0.1+0.2+0.2-0.5
Florida vs Edmonton	+0.3-0.1+0.0-0.3+0.6-0.4
Montreal vs St. Louis	+0.3+0.1+0.1-0.2+0.1-0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Vancouver finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

113	-137						In		Yes		100																59	*
112		51	10		-	5	In		Yes		50				50												2	*
111		50	10		-	6	In		Yes		100																2
110		48	9		-	9	In		50.0	%	75	25															4	*
109		50	12		-	4	In		83.3		75	8			8	8											12	*
108		47	10		-	9	In		76.9		85	8			8												13	*
107		47	11		-	8	In		39.5		82	13		3	3												38	*
106		48	13		-	5	In		28.8		71	25			4												52	*
105		47	13		-	6	In		15.1		71	23	2		3												86	*
104		46	13		-	7	In		7.4		64	24	4		7	1	1										135	*
103		46	14		-	6	99.5	%	5.3		53	28	6	1	11	1			0								208	*
102		44	13		-	9	In		2.5		43	35	8	1	9	3	0										316	*
101		44	14		-	8	In		0.6		33	37	13	1	13	2	1	0									491	*
100		44	15		-	7	99.6		0.1		27	38	16	2	13	3	1	0		0		0					785	*
99		43	15		-	8	99.8		0.1		18	35	20	4	17	4	1	0	0								1,139	*
98		43	16		-	7	99.5		No		11	33	23	6	17	7	3	1	0	0	0	0					1,535	*
97		43	17		-	6	98.7		No		9	26	26	8	19	7	2	1	1	0	0	0					2,252	*
96		42	17		-	7	98.7		No		4	21	29	11	20	8	3	2	1	0	0						3,010	*
95		41	17		-	8	98.2		No		3	16	28	14	21	10	4	2	1	0	0	0	0	0			4,099	*
94		41	18		-	7	97.3		No		1	11	25	19	22	12	6	2	1	1	0	0	0				5,531	*
93		40	18		-	8	96.3		No		1	7	23	20	21	13	7	4	2	1	0	0	0	0			7,078	*
92		40	19		-	7	94.3		No		0	4	19	23	21	14	8	4	3	2	1	0	0	0			8,878	*
91		39	19		-	8	91.9		No		0	3	15	25	20	15	9	6	4	2	1	1	0	0			11,030	*
90		39	20		-	7	89.7		No		0	1	11	25	20	16	10	7	5	3	2	1	0	0			13,733	*
89		38	20		-	8	86.5		No		0	1	8	25	18	16	11	8	6	4	2	1	0	0			16,377	*
88		38	21		-	7	83.2		No		0	0	6	23	16	16	12	10	6	5	3	1	1	0			19,044	*
87		37	21		-	8	78.4		No		0	0	4	21	15	16	13	11	8	6	4	2	1	0			22,349	*
86		37	22		-	7	72.9		No			0	2	19	12	15	12	12	9	7	5	3	2	1			25,262	*
85		36	22		-	8	67.3		No			0	1	17	11	13	13	12	11	8	6	4	2	1			28,246	*
84		36	23		-	7	61.2		No			0	1	15	9	12	12	13	11	10	8	5	3	1			30,773	*
83		35	23		-	8	54.8		No			0	0	12	7	11	12	12	12	11	9	7	5	2			33,134	*
82		35	24		-	7	48.8		No			0	0	10	6	9	11	12	12	12	11	9	6	3			35,093	*
81		34	24		-	8	41.8		No				0	8	5	8	10	11	12	13	12	10	7	4			36,316	*
80		34	25		-	7	35.8		No				0	7	3	6	9	11	12	13	13	12	9	5			36,445	*
79		33	25		-	8	29.9		No				0	5	3	5	7	10	12	13	14	13	11	6			36,897	*
78		32	25		-	9	24.2		No				0	4	2	4	6	8	11	13	15	15	14	9			36,659	*
77		32	26		-	8	19.4		No				0	3	1	3	5	7	10	12	15	16	16	11			35,337	*
76		31	26		-	9	15.3		No					2	1	2	4	6	9	12	15	17	18	14			33,695	*
75		31	27		-	8	11.8		No				0	2	1	2	3	5	7	10	14	18	21	18			31,757	*
74		30	27		-	9	8.9		No				0	1	0	1	2	4	6	9	13	18	23	22			29,000	*
73		30	28		-	8	6.8		No					1	0	1	2	3	5	8	12	18	24	26			26,155	*
72		29	28		-	9	4.6		No					0	0	1	1	2	4	7	11	18	25	31			23,254	*
71		29	29		-	8	3.3		No					0	0	0	1	2	3	6	10	16	26	36			20,198	*
70		29	30		-	7	2.3		No					0	0	0	1	1	2	4	8	14	27	42			17,677	*
69		28	30		-	8	1.7		No					0	0	0	0	1	2	3	7	13	26	48			14,863	*
68		27	30		-	9	1.1		No					0		0	0	1	1	3	6	12	26	52			12,042	*
67		27	31		-	8	0.6		No					0	0	0	0	0	1	2	4	11	24	57			9,885	*
66		27	32		-	7	0.4		No					0			0	0	1	1	3	8	23	63			8,239	*
65		26	32		-	8	0.3		No					0		0	0	0	0	1	2	7	21	68			6,164	*
64		26	33		-	7	0.2		No					0		0	0	0	0	1	2	6	19	72			4,808	*
63		25	33		-	8	0.2		No					0			0	0	0	0	1	5	17	76			3,726	*
62		25	34		-	7	0.0		No									0	0	0	1	4	14	80			2,757	*
61		24	34		-	8	0.0		No					0					0	0	1	3	13	83			2,092	*
60		23	34		-	9	0.1		No									0		0	1	2	11	86			1,452	*
59		23	35		-	8	Out		No											0	0	2	9	89			1,030	*
58		23	36		-	7	Out		No										0		0	1	7	92			751	*
57		23	37		-	6	Out		No											0		1	6	93			483	*
56		21	36		-	9	Out		No													0	5	95			339	*
55		21	37		-	8	Out		No														5	95			249	*
54		21	38		-	7	Out		No														4	96			142	*
53		21	39		-	6	Out		No														1	99			106	*
52		20	39		-	7	Out		No														3	97			63	*
50	-51						Out		No															100			46	*
49		19	41		-	6	Out		No														17	83			12	*
5	-48						Out		No															100			75	*

Total:							38.0	%	0.0	%	0	1	2	8	6	7	7	7	8	8	9	10	12	15			703,480

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday	None

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Phoenix vs Vancouver	+0.6+0.1+0.2-0.4-0.5-0.5
Florida vs Edmonton	-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0-0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

None

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

111	-137						100
110		48	9		-	9	50	50
109		49	11		-	6	83	17
108		49	12		-	5	77	23
107		47	11		-	8	39	42	13	5
106		48	13		-	5	29	46	15	8	2
105		47	13		-	6	15	38	34	12	1
104		46	13		-	7	7	32	33	19	7	1	1
103		46	14		-	6	5	17	33	23	14	6	2
102		44	13		-	9	3	12	26	32	18	7	3	0
101		44	14		-	8	1	4	18	26	26	17	6	2	0	0
100		44	15		-	7	0	2	7	17	28	20	17	6	2	0
99		43	15		-	8	0	0	3	7	18	25	24	13	7	2	0	0
98		43	16		-	7			1	3	9	17	26	22	12	7	2	1	0
97		43	17		-	6				1	3	8	15	22	22	16	7	3	1	0
96		42	17		-	7				0	1	2	8	13	21	23	18	9	4	1	0	0
95		41	17		-	8				0	0	0	2	6	12	19	22	19	11	5	2	1	0	0
94		41	18		-	7						0	0	1	4	9	17	23	21	14	7	3	1	0	0
93		40	18		-	8						0	0	0	1	3	7	14	21	22	17	10	4	1	0	0
92		40	19		-	7								0	0	0	2	5	11	18	22	19	13	7	2	1	0	0	0
91		39	19		-	8										0	0	1	3	8	15	21	22	16	9	3	1	0	0
90		39	20		-	7										0	0	0	0	2	6	12	19	22	19	12	5	2	0	0	0
89		38	20		-	8												0	0	0	1	4	9	17	22	22	14	7	3	1	0	0	0
88		38	21		-	7														0	0	1	3	7	14	21	22	17	9	4	1	0	0
87		37	21		-	8												0			0	0	1	2	6	13	20	23	19	11	4	1	0	0	0
86		37	22		-	7																0	0	0	2	5	12	20	23	20	12	5	1	0	0
85		36	22		-	8																	0	0	0	1	4	11	19	24	21	13	5	1	0	0
84		36	23		-	7																		0	0	0	1	4	11	20	25	22	12	4	1	0
83		35	23		-	8																			0	0	0	1	5	12	21	26	21	11	3	0
82		35	24		-	7																				0	0	0	1	6	14	24	27	19	7	1
81		34	24		-	8																					0	0	0	2	7	17	28	28	14	3
80		34	25		-	7																						0	0	1	3	10	23	32	23	7
79		33	25		-	8																							0	0	1	5	17	32	31	13
78		32	25		-	9																							0	0	0	2	11	27	38	22
77		32	26		-	8																									0	1	6	21	41	31
76		31	26		-	9																									0	0	3	15	40	42
75		31	27		-	8																										0	1	10	37	52
74		30	27		-	9																										0	1	6	31	62
73		30	28		-	8																										0	0	3	25	71
72		29	28		-	9																											0	2	20	78
71		29	29		-	8																											0	1	15	84
70		29	30		-	7																											0	1	11	89
69		28	30		-	8																												0	8	92
68		27	30		-	9																												0	6	94
67		27	31		-	8																												0	4	96
66		27	32		-	7																												0	3	97
65		26	32		-	8																													2	98
64		26	33		-	7																													1	99
63		25	33		-	8																												0	1	99
62		25	34		-	7																													1	99
61		24	34		-	8																													0	100
60		23	34		-	9																													0	100
59		23	35		-	8																														100
58		23	36		-	7																													0	100
57		23	37		-	6																													0	100
5	-56																																			100

Total:							0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	3	3	4	5	6	8	11	16	30