St. Louis Blues Playoff Chances 2013-2014

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.04 to 97.4%

18 points 9 3-0

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Monday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
NY Rangers 4 Anaheim 1			+0.3
Winnipeg 5 Detroit 4			+0.2

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Montreal vs St. Louis	-0.7-0.2-0.3+0.1+0.0+0.4		-2.2-0.6-0.7+0.9+0.9+1.0		-0.2-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1
Florida vs Edmonton	+0.0+0.1+0.2+0.0+0.0-0.1
Carolina vs Philadelphia			+0.2+0.2+0.2-0.2-0.1-0.1
Minnesota vs Calgary			+0.0-0.2-0.2-0.1-0.2+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the St. Louis finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

137	-158						In		Yes		100																262	*
136		56	8		-	6	In		98.6	%	99				1												70	*
135		56	9		-	5	In		Yes		98				2												133	*
134		55	9		-	6	In		Yes		99				1												265	*
133		55	10		-	5	In		Yes		99				1												408	*
132		54	10		-	6	In		99.3		99				1												692	*
131		54	11		-	5	In		98.9		99	0			1	0											1,107	*
130		53	11		-	6	99.9	%	98.2		98	1			1	0			0								1,710	*
129		53	12		-	5	In		97.7		98	1			1	0	0										2,596	*
128		52	12		-	6	100.0		95.6		96	2	0		2	0			0								3,811	*
127		52	13		-	5	In		93.8		95	3			2	0	0	0									5,554	*
126		51	13		-	6	In		90.5		94	4	0		2	0	0										7,930	*
125		51	14		-	5	100.0		85.9		91	6	0		3	0	0	0			0						10,858	*
124		50	14		-	6	100.0		80.1		88	8	0		3	0	0	0	0								14,654	*
123		50	15		-	5	100.0		72.3		84	11	0	0	3	0	0	0		0		0					19,797	*
122		49	15		-	6	100.0		64.2		80	15	1	0	3	0	0	0	0		0	0					25,125	*
121		48	15		-	7	100.0		53.4		73	20	2	0	4	0	0	0	0	0		0					31,828	*
120		48	16		-	6	100.0		42.9		67	25	3	0	5	1	0	0	0	0	0						39,351	*
119		47	16		-	7	100.0		32.5		60	30	4	0	5	1	0	0	0		0	0					47,836	*
118		47	17		-	6	100.0		22.2		52	34	7	0	6	1	0	0	0	0	0						57,074	*
117		46	17		-	7	99.9		14.5		44	38	10	1	6	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0			66,541	*
116		46	18		-	6	99.9		8.6		36	41	13	1	7	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0				75,684	*
115		45	18		-	7	99.9		4.4		28	42	18	2	7	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0				84,263	*
114		45	19		-	6	99.9		2.2		22	41	23	4	8	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0				93,004	*
113		44	19		-	7	99.8		0.9		16	39	27	6	9	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0			100,693	*
112		44	20		-	6	99.8		0.3		12	35	31	8	9	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0			106,616	*
111		43	20		-	7	99.6		0.1		8	30	35	11	10	3	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0			110,360	*
110		43	21		-	6	99.5		0.0		5	26	37	15	11	4	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0			113,025	*
109		42	21		-	7	99.4		0.0		3	21	38	19	11	4	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0			112,856	*
108		42	22		-	6	99.1		No		2	16	37	24	11	5	3	1	1	0	0	0	0	0			111,230	*
107		41	22		-	7	98.8		No		1	12	36	28	12	5	3	2	1	0	0	0	0	0			108,570	*
106		41	23		-	6	98.4		No		1	9	33	32	12	6	4	2	1	0	0	0	0	0			101,954	*
105		40	23		-	7	98.0		No		0	7	30	36	12	6	4	3	1	1	0	0	0	0			95,838	*
104		40	24		-	6	97.5		No		0	4	26	39	12	7	5	3	1	1	0	0	0	0			87,433	*
103		39	24		-	7	96.8		No		0	3	23	42	12	7	6	4	2	1	0	0	0	0			79,313	*
102		39	25		-	6	95.9		No		0	2	20	44	12	8	6	4	2	1	0	0	0	0			70,327	*
101		38	25		-	7	94.8		No		0	1	17	45	12	8	7	5	3	1	1	0	0	0			60,921	*
100		38	26		-	6	93.6		No		0	1	14	45	11	9	8	6	3	2	1	0	0	0			52,465	*
99		37	26		-	7	91.8		No		0	1	11	46	11	9	9	6	4	2	1	0	0	0			43,799	*
98		37	27		-	6	90.2		No		0	0	9	45	10	9	9	8	5	3	1	1	0	0			36,670	*
97		36	27		-	7	88.7		No			0	7	45	10	9	10	8	6	3	2	1	0	0			30,069	*
96		36	28		-	6	86.1		No			0	6	42	9	9	10	9	7	4	2	1	0	0			23,692	*
95		35	28		-	7	83.9		No		0	0	5	42	8	9	10	10	7	5	3	1	0	0			18,920	*
94		35	29		-	6	80.3		No			0	4	39	7	8	11	11	8	6	3	2	1	0			14,787	*
93		34	29		-	7	77.9		No		0	0	3	38	7	8	11	11	9	6	4	2	1	0			11,284	*
92		34	30		-	6	75.2		No			0	2	35	6	9	11	12	10	7	4	2	1	0			8,213	*
91		33	30		-	7	70.9		No				1	32	6	8	12	12	11	8	5	3	2	0			6,161	*
90		33	31		-	6	67.3		No				1	30	5	7	11	13	11	9	7	4	2	0			4,505	*
89		32	31		-	7	63.0		No				1	27	5	7	11	13	13	9	7	4	3	1			3,114	*
88		32	32		-	6	60.2		No				1	26	4	6	11	12	13	10	8	6	2	1			2,191	*
87		31	32		-	7	53.3		No				1	21	4	6	9	13	14	12	9	7	4	2			1,570	*
86		30	32		-	8	48.6		No					21	3	5	9	12	14	13	11	6	6	2			1,069	*
85		30	33		-	7	46.4		No				0	18	3	4	7	14	13	14	12	9	4	2			756	*
84		29	33		-	8	41.7		No				0	17	2	4	6	12	14	13	12	11	6	3			499	*
83		29	34		-	7	38.5		No				1	13	2	5	8	9	13	12	13	15	7	2			335	*
82		29	35		-	6	38.7		No					17	1	5	5	11	7	16	10	13	10	5			186	*
81		28	35		-	7	33.3		No					15		4	7	8	10	15	17	13	8	4			117	*
80		28	36		-	6	25.3		No					8		3	8	7	9	11	12	19	12	12			75	*
79		28	37		-	5	12.8		No							3	8	3	26	10	10	10	21	10			39	*
78		28	38		-	4	18.2		No					6	3		6	3	9	21	24	9	9	9			33	*
77		26	37		-	7	12.5		No					6				6	25	13		19	25	6			16	*
76		25	37		-	8	Out		No											17	17	17	33	17			6	*
75		27	40		-	3	Out		No													33	33	33			3	*
74		25	39		-	6	Out		No												50		50				2
72		23	39		-	8	Out		No														100				1
18		0	70		-	0	Out		No															100			174

Total:							97.4	%	7.6	%	16	19	22	21	9	4	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	0			2,110,440

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday	None

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Montreal vs St. Louis	+0.6+0.1+0.2-0.3-0.3-0.3
Carolina vs Philadelphia	-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0*+0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

None

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

137	-158						100
136		56	8		-	6	99	1
133	-135						100
132		54	10		-	6	99	1
131		54	11		-	5	99	1
130		53	11		-	6	98	2
129		53	12		-	5	98	2
128		52	12		-	6	96	4	0
127		52	13		-	5	94	6	0
126		51	13		-	6	90	9	0
125		51	14		-	5	86	13	1	0
124		50	14		-	6	80	18	1	0	0
123		50	15		-	5	72	25	3	0	0
122		49	15		-	6	64	30	5	0	0
121		48	15		-	7	53	36	9	1	0
120		48	16		-	6	43	40	14	2	0	0
119		47	16		-	7	33	41	21	5	1	0	0
118		47	17		-	6	22	40	27	9	2	0	0	0
117		46	17		-	7	14	34	32	15	4	1	0	0
116		46	18		-	6	9	27	33	22	8	2	0	0
115		45	18		-	7	4	19	31	27	13	4	1	0	0
114		45	19		-	6	2	12	26	30	20	8	2	0	0
113		44	19		-	7	1	6	19	29	26	14	4	1	0	0
112		44	20		-	6	0	3	11	24	29	21	9	2	0	0	0
111		43	20		-	7	0	1	6	17	27	26	15	6	1	0	0
110		43	21		-	6	0	0	3	10	22	28	22	10	3	0	0
109		42	21		-	7	0	0	1	5	15	26	27	17	6	1	0	0
108		42	22		-	6		0	0	2	9	20	28	24	12	3	0	0	0
107		41	22		-	7		0	0	1	4	14	26	29	19	7	1	0
106		41	23		-	6		0	0	0	2	8	19	29	26	13	3	0	0
105		40	23		-	7			0	0	1	4	13	26	31	20	6	0	0
104		40	24		-	6				0	0	2	7	20	32	27	11	1	0
103		39	24		-	7				0	0	1	4	13	29	33	17	3	0	0
102		39	25		-	6					0	0	1	8	22	35	26	7	1	0
101		38	25		-	7					0	0	1	4	16	34	33	12	2	0	0
100		38	26		-	6						0	0	2	10	29	38	18	3	0	0
99		37	26		-	7							0	1	5	21	39	26	7	1	0
98		37	27		-	6							0	0	3	14	36	33	12	2	0	0
97		36	27		-	7								0	1	9	30	36	19	4	1	0
96		36	28		-	6								0	0	4	22	38	25	8	1	0	0
95		35	28		-	7									0	2	15	33	32	14	4	0	0	0
94		35	29		-	6									0	1	8	27	34	21	7	1	0	0
93		34	29		-	7								0	0	0	5	18	33	27	13	3	0	0	0
92		34	30		-	6										0	2	11	26	31	20	7	2	0	0
91		33	30		-	7										0	1	6	18	31	26	13	4	1	0
90		33	31		-	6											0	3	11	25	29	20	9	3	0
89		32	31		-	7											0	1	5	17	27	26	15	6	1	0	0
88		32	32		-	6												0	3	9	21	28	21	12	4	1	0	0
87		31	32		-	7												0	1	4	13	24	23	21	10	3	1	0	0
86		30	32		-	8													0	2	8	16	26	25	14	7	2	0
85		30	33		-	7														0	2	9	19	25	23	14	6	1	0
84		29	33		-	8														0	1	4	12	18	25	21	13	3	1
83		29	34		-	7															0	2	4	13	25	27	16	8	3	1
82		29	35		-	6																	3	7	16	22	25	15	9	3	2
81		28	35		-	7																		1	9	15	19	22	25	8	1	2
80		27	35		-	8																		1	1	16	13	29	21	13	4
79		28	37		-	5																			3		10	18	18	28	21	3
78		28	38		-	4																				3	15	9	18	30	15	3	6
77		26	37		-	7																					6		6	44	25	19
76		25	37		-	8																						17	17	33		17	17
75		27	40		-	3																									67		33
74		25	39		-	6																									50	50
72		23	39		-	8																										100
18		0	70		-	0																														100

Total:							8	8	8	9	9	9	9	9	9	8	7	4	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0			0