San Jose Sharks Playoff Chances 2013-2014

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.07 to 26.2%

15 points 6 5-3

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Monday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Winnipeg 5 Detroit 4	-0.4

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
San Jose vs Buffalo	+3.1+0.8+0.9-0.7-0.8-2.7		+0.0NoNoNoNoNo		+0.2+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.2
Florida vs Edmonton	+0.5+0.2-0.0-0.1+0.0-0.4
Boston vs Dallas	+0.4+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.1-0.4
Phoenix vs Vancouver	-0.2+0.0+0.0+0.2+0.0+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the San Jose finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

116	-151						In		99.4	%	100																175	*
115		48	16		-	4	In		No			100															1
114		44	13		-	11	In		No			50				50											2	*
113		44	14		-	10	In		No		67		17		17												6	*
112		44	15		-	9	In		No		31	25	6		31	6											16	*
111		42	14		-	12	In		No		7	21	11	4	46	7	4										28	*
110		43	16		-	9	96.9	%	No		3	13	22	3	50	3	3		3								32	*
109		43	17		-	8	In		No			10	23	11	32	21	3										62	*
108		41	16		-	11	98.9		No		1	11	20	6	42	15	3	1	1								89	*
107		41	17		-	10	97.4		No		1	6	11	8	35	21	12	4	3								154	*
106		40	17		-	11	97.0		No		0	5	16	11	32	18	10	5	1	2	0						266	*
105		40	18		-	10	97.4		No			3	11	13	36	22	8	4	2	1		1					378	*
104		40	19		-	9	96.0		No		0	1	6	15	35	18	14	6	2	1	0	0					602	*
103		39	19		-	10	94.6		No			1	6	13	34	19	13	7	3	1	1	0		0			986	*
102		39	20		-	9	94.5		No			0	6	11	32	25	15	6	3	2	0	0					1,532	*
101		38	20		-	10	92.6		No			0	5	12	31	22	15	9	4	2	1	0		0			2,280	*
100		38	21		-	9	91.8		No			0	3	11	29	23	15	10	5	2	1	0	0	0			3,218	*
99		37	21		-	10	88.4		No			0	2	9	25	23	19	10	7	3	1	1	0	0			4,518	*
98		37	22		-	9	86.8		No			0	1	8	24	23	17	13	7	4	2	1	0	0			6,399	*
97		36	22		-	10	84.6		No			0	1	7	22	22	18	13	8	4	2	1	0	0			8,757	*
96		36	23		-	9	81.7		No			0	1	6	19	22	19	14	9	5	3	1	0	0			11,587	*
95		35	23		-	10	78.4		No			0	1	5	18	21	19	15	10	6	3	1	1	0			15,517	*
94		35	24		-	9	75.1		No			0	0	5	16	20	19	15	12	7	4	2	1	0			19,820	*
93		34	24		-	10	71.6		No			0	0	4	14	18	19	16	12	8	5	2	1	0			25,111	*
92		34	25		-	9	67.2		No				0	3	11	17	19	17	14	9	5	3	1	0			31,725	*
91		33	25		-	10	63.8		No			0	0	3	10	16	18	17	14	10	6	3	1	0			38,751	*
90		33	26		-	9	59.8		No				0	2	9	14	17	17	15	11	8	4	2	1			46,457	*
89		32	26		-	10	55.7		No			0	0	2	8	13	16	17	16	12	9	5	2	1			55,250	*
88		32	27		-	9	51.2		No				0	1	6	11	15	17	16	13	10	6	3	1			63,991	*
87		31	27		-	10	46.8		No			0	0	1	5	10	14	16	17	14	11	7	3	1			72,942	*
86		31	28		-	9	42.6		No			0	0	1	4	9	13	16	16	15	12	8	4	1			82,184	*
85		30	28		-	10	38.6		No				0	1	3	8	12	15	16	16	13	9	5	2			89,986	*
84		30	29		-	9	34.6		No				0	1	3	7	11	14	16	16	14	10	6	2			98,058	*
83		29	29		-	10	30.7		No				0	0	2	5	9	13	16	16	15	12	8	3			103,758	*
82		29	30		-	9	27.1		No				0	0	2	5	8	12	15	16	16	13	9	4			108,070	*
81		28	30		-	10	23.8		No				0	0	1	4	7	11	14	16	17	14	10	5			111,124	*
80		28	31		-	9	20.3		No				0	0	1	3	6	10	14	16	17	16	12	6			112,389	*
79		27	31		-	10	17.7		No				0	0	1	3	5	9	13	16	17	17	13	7			111,180	*
78		27	32		-	9	15.2		No				0	0	1	2	5	8	12	15	17	17	15	8			108,066	*
77		26	32		-	10	12.7		No				0	0	1	2	4	7	11	14	17	18	16	10			102,917	*
76		26	33		-	9	10.6		No				0	0	0	1	3	6	10	14	17	19	18	12			97,325	*
75		25	33		-	10	8.9		No					0	0	1	2	5	8	13	17	20	20	14			89,985	*
74		25	34		-	9	7.1		No				0	0	0	1	2	4	7	12	16	20	21	16			81,243	*
73		24	34		-	10	5.9		No					0	0	1	2	3	6	11	16	20	23	19			72,055	*
72		24	35		-	9	4.8		No					0	0	0	1	3	6	10	15	20	24	21			63,323	*
71		23	35		-	10	3.6		No				0	0	0	0	1	2	5	9	14	20	25	24			54,498	*
70		23	36		-	9	2.9		No					0	0	0	1	2	4	8	13	19	26	27			45,988	*
69		22	36		-	10	2.4		No					0	0	0	1	2	3	7	12	19	26	31			38,040	*
68		22	37		-	9	1.9		No					0	0	0	0	1	3	6	11	18	27	34			30,986	*
67		21	37		-	10	1.4		No					0	0	0	0	1	2	5	9	17	28	38			24,981	*
66		21	38		-	9	1.0		No					0	0	0	0	1	2	4	8	16	28	40			19,322	*
65		20	38		-	10	1.0		No					0	0	0	0	1	2	3	8	16	27	44			15,076	*
64		20	39		-	9	0.6		No						0	0	0	0	1	3	7	14	27	47			11,391	*
63		19	39		-	10	0.6		No						0	0	0	0	1	3	6	12	27	51			8,475	*
62		19	40		-	9	0.3		No					0		0	0	0	1	2	5	11	27	54			6,176	*
61		19	41		-	8	0.3		No								0	0	0	1	4	11	24	60			4,302	*
60		18	41		-	9	0.3		No					0			0	0	0	1	4	10	22	62			2,903	*
59		18	42		-	8	0.1		No								0	0	0	1	3	8	22	67			2,022	*
58		17	42		-	9	0.1		No									0	0	0	2	8	21	68			1,365	*
57		17	43		-	8	0.1		No								0		0	0	1	6	20	72			928	*
56		16	43		-	9	Out		No										0	1	2	6	16	76			581	*
55		15	43		-	10	Out		No												1	5	15	80			369	*
54		16	45		-	7	Out		No											1	1	3	16	79			217	*
53		15	45		-	8	Out		No													8	18	74			130	*
52		15	46		-	7	Out		No												1	2	14	82			91	*
51		14	46		-	8	Out		No													4		96			46	*
50		14	47		-	7	Out		No													9	9	82			33	*
49		11	45		-	12	Out		No														27	73			11	*
48		12	47		-	9	Out		No													8		92			12	*
15	-47						Out		No															100			182	*

Total:							26.2	%	0.0	%	0	0	0	1	3	5	8	10	11	13	14	13	13	10			2,110,440

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday	None

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
San Jose vs Buffalo	-0.6-0.5-0.5+0.1+0.1+0.7
Carolina vs Philadelphia	+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0*+0.0-0.0
Florida vs Edmonton	+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

None

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

151		68	0		-	0	100
116		46	13		-	9		100
115		48	16		-	4					100
114		44	13		-	11		50				50
113		44	14		-	10		33	50	17
112		44	15		-	9		6	13	25	38	6	13
111		42	14		-	12		4	14		46	29	7
110		42	15		-	11			9	13	13	31	25	6	3
109		43	17		-	8			2	8	13	26	31	16	5
108		41	16		-	11			1	4	10	20	33	19	9	2	1
107		41	17		-	10				1	2	14	21	27	23	8	3
106		40	17		-	11				1	1	7	16	26	27	16	5	0
105		40	18		-	10					1	3	10	16	29	27	12	3	0
104		40	19		-	9					0	1	4	14	28	28	20	4	1
103		39	19		-	10					0	0	2	10	21	30	25	10	1
102		39	20		-	9						0	1	4	16	30	30	15	4	0
101		38	20		-	10							0	2	9	24	34	24	6	1	0
100		38	21		-	9							0	1	5	16	33	33	11	1
99		37	21		-	10							0	0	2	11	28	37	18	3	0
98		37	22		-	9									1	6	22	39	26	6	0	0
97		36	22		-	10								0	0	3	15	37	32	11	2	0	0
96		36	23		-	9									0	1	9	31	37	18	4	0	0
95		35	23		-	10									0	0	5	23	37	25	8	1	0	0
94		35	24		-	9										0	2	16	34	31	13	3	0	0
93		34	24		-	10										0	1	9	27	34	20	7	1	0	0
92		34	25		-	9										0	0	5	19	33	27	12	3	0	0	0
91		33	25		-	10										0	0	2	12	28	30	19	7	2	0	0	0
90		33	26		-	9											0	1	7	20	30	25	12	4	1	0	0
89		32	26		-	10											0	0	3	13	26	28	19	8	2	0	0	0
88		32	27		-	9												0	1	7	18	28	25	14	5	1	0	0	0
87		31	27		-	10												0	0	3	11	22	27	21	11	3	1	0	0
86		31	28		-	9												0	0	1	5	15	25	26	18	8	2	0	0	0
85		30	28		-	10													0	0	2	8	18	26	24	14	6	1	0	0
84		30	29		-	9													0	0	1	4	11	21	26	21	12	4	1	0	0
83		29	29		-	10														0	0	1	5	13	23	26	19	9	3	1	0	0
82		29	30		-	9														0	0	0	2	7	16	24	24	16	7	2	0	0	0	0
81		28	30		-	10														0	0	0	1	3	9	18	25	23	14	6	1	0	0	0
80		28	31		-	9																0	0	1	4	11	21	26	21	11	4	1	0	0
79		27	31		-	10																0	0	0	1	5	13	23	26	19	9	3	0	0
78		27	32		-	9																	0	0	0	2	7	16	25	25	16	6	1	0	0	0
77		26	32		-	10																		0	0	1	3	9	20	27	23	12	4	1	0	0
76		26	33		-	9																			0	0	1	4	13	24	28	20	8	2	0	0
75		25	33		-	10																			0	0	0	2	7	17	27	27	15	5	1	0
74		25	34		-	9																				0	0	1	3	10	23	30	23	9	2	0
73		24	34		-	10																				0	0	0	1	5	16	28	29	16	4	0
72		24	35		-	9																					0	0	0	2	9	23	33	24	7	1
71		23	35		-	10																						0	0	1	5	17	32	31	13	1
70		23	36		-	9																							0	0	2	11	27	36	20	3
69		22	36		-	10																							0	0	1	6	22	38	28	5
68		22	37		-	9																							0	0	0	3	15	37	36	8
67		21	37		-	10																									0	2	10	33	42	13
66		21	38		-	9																									0	1	6	27	47	20
65		20	38		-	10																										0	3	21	50	26
64		20	39		-	9																									0	0	2	16	49	33
63		19	39		-	10																										0	1	11	47	41
62		19	40		-	9																										0	0	7	43	49
61		19	41		-	8																											0	4	38	57
60		18	41		-	9																											0	3	34	64
59		18	42		-	8																											0	2	27	71
58		17	42		-	9																												1	22	77
57		17	43		-	8																												0	16	84
56		16	43		-	9																												0	15	85
55		15	43		-	10																												0	12	88
54		16	45		-	7																													11	89
53		15	45		-	8																													3	97
52		15	46		-	7																													4	96
51		14	46		-	8																													2	98
50		14	47		-	7																													6	94
49		11	45		-	12																														100
48		12	47		-	9																													8	92
15	-47																																			100

Total:							0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	3	4	5	5	6	6	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	6	6	4	2