Phoenix Coyotes Playoff Chances 2013-2014 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.1 to 53.7%

15 points 6 6-3

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Monday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Winnipeg 5 Detroit 4	*-0.4

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Phoenix vs Vancouver	+4.6+0.9+1.3-0.9-0.9-4.7		+0.4+0.3+0.4-0.1-0.1-0.4		+0.4+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.4
Florida vs Edmonton	+0.5-0.0-0.3*+0.3-0.6-0.3
San Jose vs Buffalo	-0.3+0.2-0.5+0.3-0.4+0.4
Montreal vs St. Louis	+0.4+0.2-0.3+0.3-0.3-0.4
Minnesota vs Calgary					+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.1-0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Phoenix finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

119	-149						In		98.0	%	100																100	*
118		48	12		-	7	In		94.4		97	3															36	*
117		48	13		-	6	In		Yes		98				2												51	*
116		48	14		-	5	In		94.8		94	2			4												97	*
115		46	13		-	8	In		93.9		95	1			4												147	*
114		46	14		-	7	In		91.7		91	2			5	1	0										266	*
113		45	14		-	8	In		90.1		91	2			7	1											382	*
112		45	15		-	7	In		82.8		90	4			5	0		0									577	*
111		44	15		-	8	In		75.6		83	7			9	1											832	*
110		44	16		-	7	99.8	%	69.0		81	8	0		9	2	0	0		0							1,253	*
109		43	16		-	8	99.9		56.9		76	11	0		10	2	1	0	0								1,726	*
108		43	17		-	7	99.8		47.2		71	13	0		12	2	1	0	0					0			2,351	*
107		42	17		-	8	99.8		36.6		65	17	1	0	12	4	1	0	0	0							3,288	*
106		42	18		-	7	99.5		26.1		57	21	2	0	14	4	2	0	0	0	0	0					4,318	*
105		41	18		-	8	99.4		15.3		50	24	3	0	14	5	2	1	0	0	0	0					5,706	*
104		41	19		-	7	99.2		9.5		41	27	5	0	17	6	3	1	0	0	0	0	0				7,402	*
103		40	19		-	8	98.7		4.6		33	28	7	1	17	8	4	2	1	0	0	0	0				9,352	*
102		40	20		-	7	98.2		1.4		25	30	9	1	17	9	4	2	1	1	0	0	0				11,471	*
101		39	20		-	8	97.1		0.6		19	29	12	2	17	11	5	3	2	1	0	0	0	0			14,181	*
100		39	21		-	7	95.7		0.1		13	26	15	3	17	11	6	4	2	1	1	0	0	0			16,652	*
99		38	21		-	8	93.9		No		9	23	17	4	17	12	8	5	3	2	1	0	0	0			19,748	*
98		38	22		-	7	91.5		0.0		6	19	18	5	16	13	9	6	4	2	1	1	0	0			22,433	*
97		37	22		-	8	88.8		No		3	15	19	6	15	13	10	7	5	3	2	1	0	0			25,399	*
96		37	23		-	7	85.7		No		2	11	18	8	15	13	11	8	6	4	2	1	1	0			28,408	*
95		36	23		-	8	81.7		No		1	8	16	10	13	13	11	10	7	5	3	2	1	0			30,960	*
94		36	24		-	7	77.0		No		0	5	14	11	11	13	12	11	8	6	4	3	1	0			33,139	*
93		35	24		-	8	71.6		No		0	3	11	12	10	12	12	11	10	7	5	4	2	1			34,910	*
92		34	24		-	9	65.7		No		0	2	9	12	9	11	12	12	11	9	7	5	3	1			36,134	*
91		34	25		-	8	60.0		No		0	1	7	12	7	10	12	12	11	10	8	6	4	1			36,807	*
90		33	25		-	9	53.5		No		0	1	5	11	6	9	11	12	12	11	10	7	5	2			36,500	*
89		33	26		-	8	46.6		No		0	0	3	10	4	7	10	12	12	12	11	9	6	3			36,142	*
88		32	26		-	9	40.2		No			0	2	9	4	6	9	11	12	13	13	10	8	4			35,209	*
87		32	27		-	8	34.3		No		0	0	1	7	3	5	8	10	12	13	13	12	10	5			33,133	*
86		31	27		-	9	28.4		No			0	1	6	2	4	7	9	12	13	14	14	12	7			30,946	*
85		31	28		-	8	23.4		No			0	0	5	1	3	6	8	11	13	15	15	14	9			28,509	*
84		30	28		-	9	18.4		No				0	4	1	2	4	7	10	12	15	16	17	12			25,739	*
83		30	29		-	8	14.5		No				0	3	1	2	3	6	8	11	15	18	19	15			22,947	*
82		29	29		-	9	11.3		No				0	2	0	1	3	5	7	10	14	18	21	19			20,057	*
81		29	30		-	8	8.4		No				0	2	0	1	2	3	6	9	13	18	23	23			17,100	*
80		28	30		-	9	7.0		No				0	1	0	1	2	3	5	7	12	18	24	27			14,347	*
79		28	31		-	8	4.8		No				0	1	0	1	1	2	4	6	10	18	26	32			12,050	*
78		27	31		-	9	3.3		No					0	0	0	1	2	3	5	9	16	27	37			9,862	*
77		27	32		-	8	2.0		No					0	0	0	1	1	2	4	8	15	27	41			8,105	*
76		26	32		-	9	1.6		No					0	0	0	0	1	2	3	7	13	26	48			6,322	*
75		26	33		-	8	1.0		No					0	0	0	0	1	1	3	5	11	26	52			4,970	*
74		25	33		-	9	0.6		No					0		0	0	0	1	2	5	10	24	57			3,691	*
73		25	34		-	8	0.5		No					0			0	0	1	1	4	8	22	63			2,818	*
72		24	34		-	9	0.3		No							0	0	0	0	1	3	7	21	68			2,107	*
71		24	35		-	8	0.2		No					0			0		0	1	2	4	18	75			1,469	*
70		23	35		-	9	0.2		No									0		1	2	5	17	76			1,038	*
69		23	36		-	8	0.3		No							0		0	0	1	1	4	15	79			722	*
68		23	37		-	7	Out		No											0	1	3	12	84			518	*
67		22	37		-	8	Out		No												0	2	13	85			328	*
66		22	38		-	7	Out		No												1		12	87			221	*
65		21	38		-	8	Out		No													1	10	89			174	*
64		21	39		-	7	Out		No												1	1	7	91			100	*
63		20	39		-	8	Out		No												2		6	92			63	*
62		21	41		-	5	Out		No													2	2	96			48	*
61		18	39		-	10	Out		No															100			22	*
60		19	41		-	7	Out		No													6		94			16	*
59		19	42		-	6	Out		No															100			8	*
58		17	41		-	9	Out		No														10	90			10	*
15	-57						Out		No															100			63	*

Total:							53.7	%	1.4	%	5	6	7	6	7	7	8	8	8	8	8	8	8	8			703,480

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday	None

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Phoenix vs Vancouver	-0.9-0.9-0.9*+0.1+0.1+1.1
Boston vs Dallas	-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0*+0.1-0.0
San Jose vs Buffalo	-0.0+0.0+0.1-0.1+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

None

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

149		67	0		-	0	100
127		53	8		-	6		100
121	-125						100
120		49	11		-	7	90	10
119		48	11		-	8	100
118		48	12		-	7	94	6
117		48	13		-	6	100
116		48	14		-	5	95	5
115		46	13		-	8	94	6
114		46	14		-	7	92	8
113		45	14		-	8	90	9	1
112		45	15		-	7	83	16	1	0
111		44	15		-	8	76	23	1	0
110		44	16		-	7	69	26	5	0
109		43	16		-	8	57	35	7	1	0
108		43	17		-	7	47	40	11	2	0
107		42	17		-	8	37	40	19	4	1	0
106		42	18		-	7	26	40	23	9	2	0	0
105		41	18		-	8	15	35	30	14	4	1	0	0
104		41	19		-	7	10	27	31	22	8	2	0	0
103		40	19		-	8	5	17	29	28	14	5	1	0	0
102		40	20		-	7	1	10	23	29	22	11	4	1	0	0
101		39	20		-	8	1	4	13	24	26	19	9	3	1	0	0
100		39	21		-	7	0	1	6	16	23	25	17	9	3	1	0
99		38	21		-	8		0	2	7	16	24	23	16	8	3	1	0	0
98		38	22		-	7	0	0	0	2	7	15	22	23	16	9	3	1	0	0	0
97		37	22		-	8		0	0	0	2	7	14	22	23	17	10	4	1	0	0
96		37	23		-	7			0	0	0	2	6	13	20	23	19	11	5	2	0	0	0
95		36	23		-	8					0	0	1	4	11	18	22	20	13	6	2	1	0	0	0
94		36	24		-	7					0	0	0	1	3	8	16	21	21	16	8	3	1	0	0	0
93		35	24		-	8							0	0	1	2	6	13	20	22	18	11	5	2	0	0	0
92		34	24		-	9						0		0	0	0	1	4	10	17	22	21	14	7	2	1	0	0	0
91		34	25		-	8								0	0	0	0	1	3	8	15	21	22	17	9	4	1	0	0
90		33	25		-	9											0	0	0	2	6	12	19	22	19	12	5	2	0	0	0
89		33	26		-	8												0	0	0	1	4	10	17	22	21	14	7	2	1	0	0
88		32	26		-	9													0	0	0	1	3	8	15	21	22	16	9	3	1	0	0
87		32	27		-	8															0	0	1	2	6	14	21	23	18	10	4	1	0	0
86		31	27		-	9																0	0	0	2	5	13	20	24	19	11	4	1	0	0
85		31	28		-	8																		0	0	2	5	12	21	25	20	11	4	1	0	0
84		30	28		-	9																			0	0	2	5	13	22	25	20	10	3	0	0
83		30	29		-	8																			0	0	0	2	6	14	23	26	19	8	2	0
82		29	29		-	9																				0	0	1	2	7	17	26	26	16	5	1
81		29	30		-	8																					0	0	1	3	10	21	29	24	11	2
80		28	30		-	9																						0	0	1	4	14	27	31	19	4
79		28	31		-	8																								0	2	8	21	33	28	9
78		27	31		-	9																								0	1	4	14	33	35	15
77		27	32		-	8																									0	2	8	26	41	24
76		26	32		-	9																									0	1	4	20	42	33
75		26	33		-	8																										0	2	14	41	43
74		25	33		-	9																										0	1	9	36	54
73		25	34		-	8																										0	0	6	32	62
72		24	34		-	9																											0	3	25	71
71		24	35		-	8																												2	21	78
70		23	35		-	9																												0	13	86
69		23	36		-	8																												1	10	89
68		23	37		-	7																												0	8	92
67		22	37		-	8																													7	93
66		22	38		-	7																													5	95
65		21	38		-	8																													5	95
64		20	38		-	9																													2	98
63		20	39		-	8																														100
62		21	41		-	5																													2	98
15	-61																																			100

Total:							1	2	2	2	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3