Phoenix Coyotes Playoff Chances 2013-2014

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.1 to 31.1%

15 points 6 6-3

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Monday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Winnipeg 5 Detroit 4	-0.5

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Phoenix vs Vancouver	+3.1+0.4+0.8-1.1-1.0-3.5		+0.0NoNoNoNoNo		+0.2+0.0+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.3
Boston vs Dallas	+0.5+0.3+0.1+0.1-0.2-0.5
Florida vs Edmonton	+0.5+0.1+0.2-0.1-0.2-0.4
San Jose vs Buffalo	-0.4-0.3-0.1+0.2*+0.1+0.4

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Phoenix finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

149		67	0		-	0	In		Yes		100																174
113	-116						In		No						100												2	*
112		43	13		-	11	In		No		11	11	44		22		11										9	*
111		45	16		-	6	In		No			75				25											4	*
110		43	15		-	9	In		No		10	25	25	10	15	15											20	*
109		43	16		-	8	98.3	%	No			14	28	5	33	10	7	2		2							58	*
108		42	16		-	9	In		No		2	8	15	13	42	13	8										88	*
107		41	16		-	10	97.5		No			8	17	9	41	15	7	1	2	1							158	*
106		40	16		-	11	99.6		No		0	6	15	10	42	17	7	2		0							254	*
105		40	17		-	10	97.3		No		0	4	13	14	35	16	11	4	2			0					366	*
104		41	19		-	7	98.8		No		0	2	11	15	35	21	12	3	1	0	0						574	*
103		39	18		-	10	97.4		No			1	7	15	35	21	12	6	1	1	0	0					907	*
102		39	19		-	9	96.4		No		0	0	6	15	35	22	12	5	2	1	1						1,337	*
101		38	19		-	10	96.6		No		0	1	6	13	32	23	14	8	2	1	0	0	0				2,056	*
100		38	20		-	9	94.8		No			0	4	14	30	24	15	8	3	1	0	0	0				3,051	*
99		37	20		-	10	93.1		No			0	3	13	29	24	16	9	4	2	1	0	0	0			4,290	*
98		37	21		-	9	90.1		No			0	2	11	27	24	16	10	6	3	1	0	0	0			6,010	*
97		36	21		-	10	88.8		No			0	1	10	24	23	18	11	6	3	1	1	0	0			8,430	*
96		36	22		-	9	86.8		No			0	1	9	23	24	18	13	7	4	2	1	0	0			11,319	*
95		35	22		-	10	84.7		No			0	1	8	21	23	19	14	8	4	2	1	0	0			14,944	*
94		35	23		-	9	81.1		No			0	0	7	19	21	19	14	10	5	3	1	0	0			19,302	*
93		34	23		-	10	77.8		No			0	0	5	16	21	19	16	11	6	3	1	0	0			24,988	*
92		34	24		-	9	74.7		No			0	0	5	15	20	19	16	12	7	4	2	1	0			31,050	*
91		33	24		-	10	71.1		No			0	0	4	13	18	19	17	13	8	5	2	1	0			37,569	*
90		33	25		-	9	67.4		No			0	0	3	11	17	19	17	14	9	5	3	1	0			45,743	*
89		32	25		-	10	63.5		No			0	0	3	10	16	18	18	15	10	6	3	1	0			54,789	*
88		32	26		-	9	58.7		No			0	0	2	8	14	17	17	15	12	8	4	2	1			63,426	*
87		31	26		-	10	54.6		No			0	0	2	7	12	16	17	16	13	9	5	2	1			72,444	*
86		31	27		-	9	50.9		No				0	1	6	11	15	17	16	13	10	6	3	1			81,837	*
85		30	27		-	10	46.5		No				0	1	5	10	14	17	17	14	11	7	4	1			89,541	*
84		30	28		-	9	42.1		No				0	1	4	8	13	16	16	15	12	8	4	2			97,865	*
83		29	28		-	10	37.8		No				0	1	3	7	12	15	17	16	13	9	5	2			104,013	*
82		29	29		-	9	33.5		No				0	0	2	6	10	14	16	16	14	11	6	3			108,629	*
81		28	29		-	10	30.0		No				0	0	2	5	9	13	16	17	15	12	7	3			111,855	*
80		28	30		-	9	26.2		No				0	0	2	4	8	12	15	17	16	13	9	4			112,391	*
79		27	30		-	10	23.1		No				0	0	1	4	7	11	15	17	16	14	10	5			111,946	*
78		27	31		-	9	19.8		No				0	0	1	3	6	10	14	16	17	15	12	6			109,650	*
77		26	31		-	10	17.1		No					0	1	2	5	9	13	16	17	17	13	7			104,323	*
76		26	32		-	9	14.6		No				0	0	1	2	4	8	12	15	17	18	15	9			98,695	*
75		25	32		-	10	12.3		No					0	0	2	4	7	11	15	17	18	16	10			90,382	*
74		25	33		-	9	10.2		No					0	0	1	3	6	10	13	17	19	18	13			81,467	*
73		24	33		-	10	8.5		No					0	0	1	2	5	9	13	17	19	19	14			73,128	*
72		24	34		-	9	6.9		No					0	0	1	2	4	8	12	16	20	21	17			63,776	*
71		23	34		-	10	5.6		No					0	0	1	2	3	6	11	16	20	22	19			54,608	*
70		23	35		-	9	4.3		No					0	0	0	1	3	6	9	15	20	24	22			46,026	*
69		22	35		-	10	3.6		No					0	0	0	1	2	5	9	14	20	24	25			37,955	*
68		22	36		-	9	2.9		No					0	0	0	1	2	4	8	13	19	25	28			31,313	*
67		21	36		-	10	2.2		No					0	0	0	1	1	3	7	11	19	26	32			24,829	*
66		21	37		-	9	1.8		No					0	0	0	0	1	3	6	10	17	27	35			19,588	*
65		20	37		-	10	1.4		No					0	0	0	0	1	2	5	10	17	28	38			14,816	*
64		20	38		-	9	1.2		No					0	0	0	0	1	2	4	8	16	28	41			11,351	*
63		19	38		-	10	0.6		No						0	0	0	0	1	3	7	15	27	46			8,276	*
62		19	39		-	9	0.7		No							0	0	0	1	3	7	13	26	48			5,905	*
61		19	40		-	8	0.4		No					0			0	0	1	3	6	12	26	52			4,258	*
60		18	40		-	9	0.3		No							0	0	0	1	2	4	11	24	57			2,872	*
59		18	41		-	8	0.2		No								0	0	1	1	4	10	24	60			2,008	*
58		17	41		-	9	0.2		No								0	0	0	1	4	8	22	64			1,270	*
57		17	42		-	8	0.1		No								0		0	1	2	8	23	66			911	*
56		16	42		-	9	Out		No										0	0	2	7	17	73			538	*
55		16	43		-	8	Out		No										0	0	2	7	18	72			337	*
54		16	44		-	7	Out		No										0	1	0	5	20	73			251	*
53		15	44		-	8	Out		No											1		5	11	83			127	*
52		15	45		-	7	Out		No													5	14	81			78	*
51		14	45		-	8	Out		No												2	2	19	77			43	*
50		14	46		-	7	Out		No													7		93			15	*
49		12	45		-	10	Out		No														19	81			16	*
48		13	47		-	7	Out		No														20	80			5	*
47		11	46		-	10	Out		No														17	83			6	*
15	-46						Out		No															100			178	*

Total:							31.1	%	0.0	%	0	0	0	1	4	6	9	11	12	13	13	12	10	8			2,110,440

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Winnipeg 5 Detroit 4	+0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Phoenix vs Vancouver	-0.5-0.5-0.5+0.1+0.1+0.7
Carolina vs Philadelphia	+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0
Montreal vs St. Louis	+0.0+0.1+0.1-0.0*+0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

None

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

149		67	0		-	0	100
116		44	10		-	13				100
113		43	12		-	12		100
112		43	13		-	11			11	22	33	22	11
111		45	16		-	6			75		25
110		43	15		-	9				10	15	35	20	20
109		43	16		-	8			3	3	22	17	26	19	7	2
108		42	16		-	9				1	6	19	32	23	14	6
107		41	16		-	10				1	3	16	16	32	23	7	1
106		40	16		-	11				0	0	6	16	23	28	19	6	1
105		40	17		-	10					0	2	9	25	28	22	11	2
104		41	19		-	7					0	1	6	16	27	29	17	4	0
103		39	18		-	10							2	9	20	31	24	12	1
102		39	19		-	9						0	1	4	15	29	33	15	3	0
101		38	19		-	10						0	0	2	9	23	35	23	8	1
100		38	20		-	9								1	4	16	34	34	10	1	0
99		37	20		-	10						0	0	0	2	10	29	37	17	4	0	0
98		37	21		-	9								0	1	5	22	40	25	6	1	0
97		36	21		-	10									0	3	15	36	33	11	2	0	0
96		36	22		-	9									0	1	9	31	37	18	4	0	0
95		35	22		-	10									0	0	5	23	37	25	7	1	0	0
94		35	23		-	9									0	0	2	15	35	31	13	3	0	0
93		34	23		-	10										0	1	9	28	33	21	7	1	0	0
92		34	24		-	9										0	0	5	20	33	27	12	3	1	0	0
91		33	24		-	10											0	2	12	28	30	18	7	1	0	0
90		33	25		-	9											0	1	7	21	30	25	12	4	1	0	0	0
89		32	25		-	10											0	0	3	13	26	29	19	8	2	0	0	0
88		32	26		-	9												0	1	7	18	28	25	14	5	1	0	0	0
87		31	26		-	10												0	0	3	11	23	28	21	10	3	1	0	0
86		31	27		-	9												0	0	1	6	15	25	26	17	8	2	0	0
85		30	27		-	10													0	0	2	8	19	26	24	14	5	1	0	0	0
84		30	28		-	9													0	0	1	4	11	21	26	21	11	4	1	0	0
83		29	28		-	10													0	0	0	1	5	14	23	26	19	9	3	1	0	0
82		29	29		-	9													0	0	0	0	2	7	16	25	24	16	7	2	0	0	0
81		28	29		-	10														0	0	0	1	3	9	19	25	23	13	5	1	0	0	0
80		28	30		-	9																0	0	1	4	11	21	26	21	11	4	1	0	0
79		27	30		-	10																0	0	0	1	6	14	23	26	18	8	2	0	0	0
78		27	31		-	9																	0	0	0	2	7	17	25	25	15	6	1	0	0
77		26	31		-	10																		0	0	1	3	10	20	27	23	12	4	1	0
76		26	32		-	9																		0	0	0	1	5	14	24	27	19	8	2	0	0
75		25	32		-	10																			0	0	0	2	7	18	27	26	14	4	1	0
74		25	33		-	9																				0	0	1	3	11	23	30	22	9	2	0
73		24	33		-	10																					0	0	1	6	16	29	29	15	4	0
72		24	34		-	9																					0	0	0	3	10	23	32	23	7	1
71		23	34		-	10																						0	0	1	5	17	31	31	13	2
70		23	35		-	9																							0	0	2	11	27	36	20	3
69		22	35		-	10																							0	0	1	6	21	37	28	6
68		22	36		-	9																								0	0	3	15	35	36	10
67		21	36		-	10																								0	0	1	10	32	42	15
66		21	37		-	9																								0	0	1	6	26	46	22
65		20	37		-	10																									0	0	3	20	48	29
64		20	38		-	9																										0	2	14	47	37
63		19	38		-	10																										0	1	10	44	46
62		19	39		-	9																											0	6	39	54
61		19	40		-	8																										0	0	4	34	62
60		18	40		-	9																											0	2	27	71
59		18	41		-	8																												1	23	76
58		17	41		-	9																												1	17	81
57		17	42		-	8																												0	15	85
56		16	42		-	9																												0	11	89
55		16	43		-	8																													7	93
54		16	44		-	7																													6	94
53		15	44		-	8																													3	97
52		15	45		-	7																													3	97
51		14	45		-	8																													2	98
15	-50																																			100

Total:							0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	3	4	5	5	6	6	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	6	6	4	2