Ottawa Senators Playoff Chances 2013-2014 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.2 to 62.1%
20 points   10 4-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

MondayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Columbus vs Ottawa-4.5*-0.5*-0.6*+0.7+0.6+4.4
-2.0-0.5-0.4+1.5+1.4+1.7
-0.5-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.5
Florida vs Edmonton-0.3*-0.1*-0.1*-0.1*+0.2+0.4
San Jose vs Buffalo+0.3*-0.2*+0.0*+0.2*-0.0-0.3
Montreal vs St. Louis-0.0*-0.0-0.1*-0.0*+0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Ottawa finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
124-156InYes100150*
1234914-5InYes97367*
1224814-6InYes100106*
1214714-7In99.5%97121184*
1204715-6In99.097120297*
1194615-7In98.397020474*
1184515-8In99.197030679*
1174516-7In97.8951400983*
1164416-8In97.194141001,373*
1154417-799.9%94.994231001,877*
1144317-899.992.3904410002,569*
1134318-7100.088.78850510003,426*
1124218-899.883.88370710000004,735*
1114219-799.877.879100821000005,914*
1104119-899.769.6751218210000007,742*
1094019-999.460.4691519311000009,801*
1084020-899.150.06120101042100000012,125*
1074021-798.838.553243011531100000014,412*
1063921-898.127.545274012632100000017,322*
1053922-797.117.936296012742110000020,041*
1043822-895.610.32830101127532110000023,027*
1033722-994.34.72130121128642111000025,933*
1023723-891.92.01527152119753211000028,662*
1013623-989.10.71024174119864321100031,244*
1003624-885.70.1620195109875422100033,157*
993524-981.50.0416197910976532110034,757*
983525-877.00.0211199891087643211036,019*
973425-971.7No181711791098654211036,247*
963426-865.6No051512681099865321036,276*
953326-959.5No031213589109976432135,694*
943327-853.2No02913579910997542134,798*
933227-945.9No016124689101098753132,909*
923228-840.1No0041235791010109864230,340*
913128-934.4No003112478101011101085327,973*
903129-827.7No0292357910111111107325,405*
893029-923.2No0171356810111212119522,335*
883030-818.0No0161245791112131211719,767*
872930-914.8No051135681012131413917,201*
862931-810.5No030123579121415161214,285*
852831-98.3No030123469111416181411,902*
842832-85.9No02001235710141720189,682*
832732-94.1No100113479121723217,602*
822733-83.2No100112358121723266,088*
812633-92.1No100012247101725304,820*
802634-81.3No10001235101626363,506*
792534-90.9No0000113491426412,824*
782535-80.3No000012481226462,074*
772536-70.2No000012341126531,460*
762436-80.2No0001251023591,039*
752336-9OutNo001482066699*
742337-8OutNo011252169472*
732237-9OutNo01341675338*
722238-8OutNo241778216*
712138-9OutNo131285149*
702139-8OutNo4187877*
692039-9OutNo369062*
682040-8OutNo39734*
672041-7OutNo168432*
661941-8OutNo10012*
652043-5OutNo11899*
641741-10OutNo1007*
631742-9OutNo13888*
20-62OutNo10062*
Total:62.1%7.9%121096666666555443703,480

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

MondayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Columbus vs Ottawa+1.1+0.1+0.2-0.9-0.8-0.9

What If

None

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
122-156100
1214714-7991
1204715-6991
1194615-7982
1184515-8991
1174516-79820
1164416-8973
1154417-79550
1144317-89270
1134318-789111
1124218-8841510
1114219-7782020
1104119-8702740
1094019-96032710
1084020-850371120
1074021-7394117300
1063921-82741237100
1053922-7183629133100
1043822-8102833208200
1033722-95193027145100
1023723-8210232921103100
1013623-9151425261883100
1003624-80271624241672100
993524-900281724231572100
983525-80003816232316831000
973425-9001381522231693100
963426-80027142122181041000
953326-900025121923191262000
943327-8001491622211583100
933227-900127142022171041000
923228-8000251118222013621000
913128-900013815212116931000
903129-800126132022191152000
893029-9000014101822211472100
883030-8001381521221783100
872930-9001271421231894100
862931-800002613212319104100
852831-90002512212420114100
842832-800251221262010300
832732-9002614232619820
822733-800271726261650
812633-901310203024111
802634-80014142731184
792534-900272233279
782535-800315303615
772536-729274121
762436-806214329
752336-9002144538
742337-81103455
732237-963163
722238-8032670
712138-931781
702139-812574
692039-91684
682040-8694
672041-7397
661941-8892
652043-51189
20-64100
Total:876655554444433333222222211110