New Jersey Devils Playoff Chances 2013-2014 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.1 to 44.8%
14 points   7 7-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

MondayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Boston vs Dallas-0.3*+0.0*+0.3*+0.0*-0.2+0.3
San Jose vs Buffalo+0.3*+0.0*-0.0*-0.4*+0.2-0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the New Jersey finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
118-150InYes100162*
1174813-7In94.0%924584*
1164713-8In96.29325104*
1154714-7In96.79631180*
1144614-899.7%92.789460301*
1134615-7In87.8895610419*
1124515-8In83.584682617*
1114516-7In76.47810092928*
1104416-899.968.5741301021001,376*
1094417-799.658.868151123100001,846*
1084317-899.547.36119201331000002,662*
1074318-799.438.253223014521000003,477*
1064218-899.126.545254015621000004,681*
1054219-798.616.6372860167311000006,154*
1044119-897.79.72929911684211000007,776*
1034120-796.84.222301211695311000009,772*
1024020-895.51.81528142171063211000011,921*
1013920-993.40.610241631711753211000014,423*
1003921-891.50.17201851611864211000017,240*
993821-987.80.04161971513865321100020,200*
983822-884.2No21218814131076432110023,297*
973722-980.9No18171013131196532110025,781*
963723-875.5No151411121211108643210028,985*
953623-969.7No031112101211109764311030,946*
943624-864.0No0291391111109865421033,556*
933524-957.4No01612710111010986532134,763*
923525-851.3No0041269101010998642135,994*
913425-944.5No031157910101099753136,421*
903426-837.8No029468910111010864236,674*
893326-932.0No0183579101111101086335,866*
883327-826.7No0162468910111111107434,149*
873227-921.8No052357810111212119532,899*
863228-816.8No041245791112131311730,109*
853128-913.5No031235681012141413927,982*
843129-89.9No021124579111416161225,290*
833029-97.1No020123468111416181522,393*
823030-85.5No010112458101317201819,652*
812930-94.2No01001234691317222216,851*
802931-82.9No01001123581216242714,122*
792831-91.9No0000112471017253211,757*
782832-81.1No00001123691526379,526*
772732-90.7No00000122471526427,884*
762733-80.7No00000012371326486,187*
752633-90.3No000011361124544,769*
742634-80.3No0000001241123593,622*
732534-90.1No0000113821652,703*
722535-80.2No0000013719692,124*
712435-90.1No00012620711,450*
702436-8OutNo0011415791,140*
692437-7OutNo00141480729*
682337-8OutNo013986481*
672338-7OutNo010021185355*
662238-8OutNo02791229*
652138-9OutNo11594141*
642139-8OutNo69493*
632039-9OutNo2239465*
622141-6OutNo29842*
612041-7OutNo39731*
14-60OutNo10099*
Total:44.8%1.5%3556666667777778703,480

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

MondayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Phoenix vs Vancouver+0.0*+0.0+0.1*+0.0*+0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

None

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
118-150100
1174813-7946
1164713-8964
1154714-7973
1144614-8937
1134615-788111
1124515-883151
1114516-7762120
1104416-8682831
1094417-75933710
1084317-847391220
1074318-7384116400
1064218-82740248200
1054219-717353013410
1044119-8102732208200
1034120-74183027155100
1024020-8210222922114100
1013920-9141324261893100
1003921-8016152424178310
993821-900271623231683100
983822-800271522231693100
973722-90012715212317941000
963723-8000261220231811510000
953623-9000151118222013621000
943624-80013816212116831000
933524-9001261320221811520000
923525-80000141018212014731000
913425-900013815212217941000
903426-800026121923191252000
893326-900014101722211473100
883327-80001381521221793100
873227-90002614212318104100
863228-80002613202419114100
853128-90000151321251910410
843129-80000251322252010300
833029-90002614242618820
823030-8000271726261551
812930-9001310212924101
802931-80015152831184
792831-9000292234267
782832-801415323414
772732-900210274021
762733-8015214331
752633-903174238
742634-801103950
732534-9063558
722535-8052867
712435-9032573
702436-812178
692437-711684
682337-801288
672338-711288
662238-8595
652239-7892
642139-8496
632039-9397
622141-6100
612041-7397
14-60100
Total:222233333333444444444444444432