New Jersey Devils Playoff Chances 2013-2014

Did not play, playoff odds down 1.9 to 17.4%

14 points 7 7-0

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Monday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs
NY Rangers 4 Anaheim 1	-0.3
Winnipeg 5 Detroit 4	+0.3

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs
Boston vs Dallas	-0.2-0.2-0.1-0.0+0.0+0.3
San Jose vs Buffalo	+0.2+0.1-0.0+0.1-0.0-0.2
Montreal vs St. Louis	-0.2-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1
Columbus vs Ottawa	-0.2-0.2-0.1+0.1-0.0+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the New Jersey finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

150		68	0		-	0	In		Yes		100																174
116		48	14		-	6	In		No		25	50				25											4	*
115		47	14		-	7	In		No		11	11	22		44		11										9	*
114		46	14		-	8	In		5.3	%	21	32	16		11	11	11										19	*
113		45	14		-	9	93.3	%	6.7		7		7	7	40	20	13		7								15	*
112		45	15		-	8	In		No		3	11	5	3	35	30	11	3									37	*
111		45	16		-	7	98.3		No		3	7	8	2	33	27	15	3		2							60	*
110		44	16		-	8	93.9		No		4	11	16	2	31	12	13	5	4	1	1			1			114	*
109		43	16		-	9	95.9		No		1	11	10	7	26	26	11	5	2	1		1		1			196	*
108		43	17		-	8	93.8		No		1	5	12	3	33	19	12	9	4	1	1	0					289	*
107		42	17		-	9	94.0		No		0	4	10	5	29	21	16	9	4	1	0	1					496	*
106		42	18		-	8	91.7		No		0	4	8	7	27	21	15	9	5	3	1	0	0				699	*
105		41	18		-	9	90.2		No			2	5	9	26	22	16	11	5	3	1	0	0	0			1,122	*
104		40	18		-	10	87.8		No		0	1	5	8	24	22	16	12	6	3	2	1	0	0			1,760	*
103		40	19		-	9	85.3		No		0	0	3	8	21	22	17	13	8	3	2	1	1	0	0		2,473	*
102		40	20		-	8	82.1		No			0	3	8	18	20	19	14	9	4	2	1	1	0		0	3,529	*
101		39	20		-	9	80.5		No			0	2	8	17	21	18	15	9	6	3	1	1	0	0		5,103	*
100		38	20		-	10	76.9		No			0	1	7	16	19	18	15	10	6	4	2	1	0	0	0	7,089	*
99		38	21		-	9	72.1		No			0	1	6	14	18	18	16	12	7	4	3	1	1	0	0	9,543	*
98		37	21		-	10	68.4		No			0	1	5	11	17	18	16	13	8	5	3	2	1	0	0	12,648	*
97		37	22		-	9	64.9		No			0	0	4	10	15	18	18	13	9	6	3	2	1	0	0	16,626	*
96		36	22		-	10	61.2		No			0	0	3	9	14	17	18	14	10	6	4	2	1	0	0	21,546	*
95		36	23		-	9	56.9		No			0	0	3	8	12	16	18	14	11	8	5	3	1	1	0	27,250	*
94		35	23		-	10	52.3		No			0	0	2	7	11	15	17	15	12	9	6	3	2	1	0	33,751	*
93		35	24		-	9	47.9		No				0	2	5	10	14	17	16	13	10	6	4	2	1	0	41,008	*
92		34	24		-	10	43.9		No			0	0	2	5	9	13	16	15	13	11	7	5	3	1	0	49,621	*
91		34	25		-	9	39.6		No			0	0	1	4	8	11	16	15	14	11	8	6	3	2	1	57,839	*
90		33	25		-	10	35.0		No				0	1	3	6	10	14	15	14	12	9	7	4	2	1	66,593	*
89		33	26		-	9	31.1		No			0	0	1	2	5	9	13	15	15	13	10	8	5	3	1	75,329	*
88		32	26		-	10	27.5		No				0	1	2	5	8	12	14	15	13	11	9	6	3	1	84,211	*
87		32	27		-	9	24.0		No				0	0	2	4	7	11	13	14	14	12	10	7	4	2	91,988	*
86		31	27		-	10	20.6		No				0	0	1	3	6	10	13	14	14	13	11	8	5	2	98,752	*
85		31	28		-	9	17.8		No			0	0	0	1	3	5	9	12	13	14	13	11	9	6	3	104,591	*
84		30	28		-	10	15.3		No				0	0	1	2	4	8	11	13	14	14	13	10	7	4	108,984	*
83		30	29		-	9	12.9		No				0	0	1	2	4	7	10	12	14	14	13	11	9	5	110,986	*
82		29	29		-	10	10.5		No				0	0	0	1	3	6	9	11	13	14	14	12	10	6	111,548	*
81		29	30		-	9	8.8		No				0	0	0	1	2	5	8	11	13	14	14	13	11	7	110,057	*
80		28	30		-	10	7.1		No				0	0	0	1	2	4	7	10	12	14	15	15	13	9	106,251	*
79		28	31		-	9	5.8		No				0	0	0	1	2	3	6	9	11	13	15	15	14	10	101,044	*
78		27	31		-	10	4.8		No					0	0	0	1	3	5	8	10	13	15	16	16	12	94,516	*
77		27	32		-	9	3.7		No					0	0	0	1	2	4	7	10	12	15	17	17	14	86,688	*
76		26	32		-	10	2.9		No					0	0	0	1	2	4	6	9	11	15	17	19	17	78,696	*
75		26	33		-	9	2.3		No					0	0	0	1	1	3	5	8	11	14	17	20	19	69,822	*
74		25	33		-	10	1.7		No					0	0	0	0	1	2	4	7	10	14	18	21	22	60,538	*
73		25	34		-	9	1.3		No					0	0	0	0	1	2	4	6	9	13	18	22	25	52,272	*
72		24	34		-	10	1.0		No					0	0	0	0	1	2	3	5	8	12	18	23	28	44,327	*
71		24	35		-	9	0.8		No					0	0	0	0	1	1	3	4	7	11	17	24	31	36,582	*
70		23	35		-	10	0.6		No					0	0	0	0	0	1	2	4	6	11	16	24	35	29,763	*
69		23	36		-	9	0.4		No					0	0	0	0	0	1	2	3	6	9	15	25	38	23,580	*
68		22	36		-	10	0.3		No						0	0	0	0	1	1	3	5	9	14	25	42	18,491	*
67		22	37		-	9	0.4		No					0	0		0	0	0	1	2	4	7	14	24	46	14,184	*
66		21	37		-	10	0.2		No								0	0	0	1	2	4	7	13	24	49	10,836	*
65		21	38		-	9	0.1		No							0	0	0	0	1	1	3	6	12	24	53	7,885	*
64		21	39		-	8	0.2		No								0	0	0	0	1	2	5	10	23	57	5,852	*
63		20	39		-	9	0.0		No							0		0	0	0	1	2	5	9	22	61	4,160	*
62		20	40		-	8	Out		No										0	0	1	2	3	8	22	64	2,959	*
61		19	40		-	9	Out		No										0	0	1	1	3	8	19	68	1,962	*
60		18	40		-	10	0.2		No								0	0		0	1	1	2	6	19	70	1,369	*
59		18	41		-	9	0.1		No									0		0	0	1	3	5	16	75	890	*
58		18	42		-	8	Out		No											0	1	0	2	4	17	76	593	*
57		17	42		-	9	Out		No													0	1	3	16	79	406	*
56		17	43		-	8	Out		No												0		1	3	14	82	235	*
55		17	44		-	7	Out		No												1		2	2	16	79	126	*
54		15	43		-	10	Out		No												1		2		11	86	85	*
53		15	44		-	9	Out		No																6	94	48	*
52		15	45		-	8	Out		No												9				18	73	11	*
51		14	45		-	9	Out		No																9	91	11	*
50		14	46		-	8	Out		No																7	93	15	*
49		14	47		-	7	Out		No															20		80	5	*
14	-47						Out		No																	100	179	*

Total:							17.4	%	0.0	%	0	0	0	1	2	3	5	7	9	10	11	11	11	11	11	10	2,110,440

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Winnipeg 5 Detroit 4	+0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
San Jose vs Buffalo	-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

None

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

150		68	0		-	0	100
116		48	14		-	6		50	50
115		47	14		-	7		33	33	11	11	11
114		46	14		-	8	5	11	37	26	21
113		45	14		-	9	7	20	13	7	20	27	7
112		45	15		-	8		3	16	11	24	32	11	3
111		45	16		-	7			8	17	30	25	12	7	2
110		44	16		-	8			2	15	24	30	21	6	3
109		43	16		-	9			1	7	11	21	30	19	9	3
108		43	17		-	8				3	7	19	32	25	10	4	0
107		42	17		-	9				1	5	9	22	29	24	8	1
106		42	18		-	8				0	2	8	16	29	27	13	4	0
105		41	18		-	9					1	3	11	22	31	22	8	2		0
104		40	18		-	10					0	2	6	16	28	27	17	4	0
103		40	19		-	9						0	2	8	23	33	23	9	1
102		40	20		-	8						0	1	4	17	31	30	15	3	0
101		39	20		-	9							0	2	9	24	36	23	6	0
100		38	20		-	10							0	1	5	18	33	32	11	1	0
99		38	21		-	9							0	0	2	11	29	36	18	3	0
98		37	21		-	10								0	1	6	23	38	25	6	1	0
97		37	22		-	9								0	0	3	15	36	32	11	2	0	0
96		36	22		-	10								0	0	1	9	31	36	18	4	1	0
95		36	23		-	9									0	0	5	23	38	25	8	1	0	0
94		35	23		-	10										0	2	15	34	31	13	3	0	0	0
93		35	24		-	9										0	1	9	28	34	20	7	1	0	0
92		34	24		-	10										0	0	5	20	33	26	12	3	0	0	0
91		34	25		-	9										0	0	2	13	28	31	18	7	1	0	0
90		33	25		-	10										0	0	1	7	20	30	25	12	4	1	0	0	0
89		33	26		-	9											0	0	3	13	26	29	19	8	2	0	0
88		32	26		-	10												0	1	7	19	28	25	14	5	1	0	0	0
87		32	27		-	9												0	0	3	11	23	28	21	10	3	1	0	0
86		31	27		-	10												0	0	1	5	15	25	26	17	7	2	0	0	0
85		31	28		-	9													0	0	2	8	19	26	24	14	5	1	0	0	0
84		30	28		-	10												0	0	0	1	4	11	21	26	21	11	4	1	0	0	0
83		30	29		-	9													0	0	0	1	5	14	23	25	18	9	3	1	0	0
82		29	29		-	10													0	0	0	0	2	7	17	24	24	16	7	2	0	0	0
81		29	30		-	9															0	0	1	3	9	19	26	23	13	5	1	0	0
80		28	30		-	10															0	0	0	1	4	12	21	26	21	11	4	1	0	0
79		28	31		-	9																0	0	0	1	6	14	23	26	18	9	2	0	0
78		27	31		-	10																	0	0	0	2	7	17	25	25	15	6	1	0	0
77		27	32		-	9																		0	0	1	3	10	20	27	23	12	4	1	0
76		26	32		-	10																			0	0	1	5	13	24	28	20	8	2	0	0
75		26	33		-	9																			0	0	0	2	7	17	27	26	15	4	1	0
74		25	33		-	10																				0	0	1	3	11	23	30	22	9	2	0
73		25	34		-	9																					0	0	1	6	16	29	29	15	4	0
72		24	34		-	10																						0	0	2	10	24	33	23	7	1
71		24	35		-	9																						0	0	1	5	17	32	31	12	1
70		23	35		-	10																						0	0	0	2	11	28	36	20	2
69		23	36		-	9																							0	0	1	6	22	39	27	5
68		22	36		-	10																								0	0	3	16	37	35	8
67		22	37		-	9																									0	2	10	34	42	13
66		21	37		-	10																									0	1	6	29	46	18
65		21	38		-	9																								0	0	0	4	22	49	24
64		21	39		-	8																										0	2	16	50	32
63		20	39		-	9																											1	12	49	38
62		20	40		-	8																											0	7	46	47
61		19	40		-	9																											0	6	40	54
60		18	40		-	10																												4	38	58
59		18	41		-	9																											0	2	32	66
58		18	42		-	8																												1	24	75
57		17	42		-	9																												0	19	80
56		17	43		-	8																													24	76
55		17	44		-	7																													17	83
54		15	43		-	10																													13	87
53		15	44		-	9																													6	94
52		15	45		-	8																													18	82
14	-51																																			100

Total:							0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	4	5	6	6	7	7	7	7	7	7	6	6	6	5	5	4	2	1