Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Sports Club Stats, which I have open
in like seven browser tabs always
-Katie Baker

New York Rangers Playoff Chances 2013-2014 50/50

Beat Anaheim 4-1, playoff odds up 2.4 to 51.3%

21 points 10 3-1

Add your own league!

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Monday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
NY Rangers 4 Anaheim 1	+4.5		+1.7		+0.5

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Montreal vs St. Louis	-0.4+0.0-0.0+0.0-0.3+0.4

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the NY Rangers finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

125	-157						In		Yes		100																157	*
124		48	13		-	7	In		Yes		97				3												70	*
123		47	13		-	8	In		Yes		97				2	1											106	*
122		47	14		-	7	In		99.4	%	97	1			2	1	1										180	*
121		47	15		-	6	In		99.6		95	0			4	1											276	*
120		46	15		-	7	In		Yes		96				4		0										415	*
119		45	15		-	8	In		98.7		93	0			6	1	0	0									676	*
118		45	16		-	7	In		99.3		93	0			5	1		0									982	*
117		44	16		-	8	99.9	%	98.4		90	0			8	1	0	0		0							1,361	*
116		44	17		-	7	99.9		96.4		88	1			8	2	0	0	0				0				1,858	*
115		43	17		-	8	99.7		95.8		85	2	0		10	2	0	0	0			0	0				2,639	*
114		43	18		-	7	99.8		92.5		81	3	0		11	3	1	0	0				0		0		3,579	*
113		42	18		-	8	99.6		88.9		77	4	0		12	4	1	1	0	0	0	0	0				4,540	*
112		42	19		-	7	99.3		83.5		73	5	0		13	5	2	1	0	0	0	0		0			6,029	*
111		41	19		-	8	99.0		77.6		68	8	0		13	5	3	1	1	0	0	0	0	0			7,696	*
110		41	20		-	7	98.4		70.7		62	10	0	0	15	7	3	2	1	0	0	0	0				9,551	*
109		40	20		-	8	97.7		60.6		55	13	1		15	7	4	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0		11,853	*
108		40	21		-	7	96.3		49.9		48	15	1	0	15	9	5	3	2	1	0	0	0	0	0		14,560	*
107		39	21		-	8	94.9		38.8		40	17	2	0	15	10	6	4	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	17,237	*
106		39	22		-	7	92.7		27.2		33	19	3	0	15	10	7	5	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	19,995	*
105		38	22		-	8	90.1		17.6		26	20	4	0	14	11	8	6	4	2	2	1	1	0	0	0	23,021	*
104		37	22		-	9	86.7		10.4		19	21	6	0	13	12	9	6	5	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	25,617	*
103		37	23		-	8	82.8		4.8		14	19	8	1	12	12	10	8	6	4	3	2	1	1	0	0	28,466	*
102		36	23		-	9	78.7		2.0		9	17	9	2	11	11	11	9	7	5	4	3	1	1	0	0	31,236	*
101		36	24		-	8	73.4		0.6		6	14	10	2	10	11	10	9	8	6	5	3	2	1	1	0	32,934	*
100		35	24		-	9	67.8		0.2		4	11	11	3	9	10	10	10	9	7	6	4	3	2	1	0	34,895	*
99		35	25		-	8	61.2		0.0		2	8	10	4	7	10	11	10	9	8	7	6	4	3	1	0	35,693	*
98		34	25		-	9	55.2		No		1	6	9	4	6	9	10	10	10	9	8	7	5	3	2	1	36,476	*
97		34	26		-	8	49.1		No		0	4	8	5	5	7	9	10	10	10	9	8	6	4	3	1	36,637	*
96		33	26		-	9	42.3		No		0	2	6	5	4	6	9	9	10	10	10	9	7	6	4	2	35,827	*
95		33	27		-	8	36.0		No		0	1	5	5	3	5	7	9	10	10	11	10	9	7	5	2	34,661	*
94		32	27		-	9	29.7		No		0	1	3	5	2	4	6	8	10	10	11	11	10	9	6	3	33,080	*
93		32	28		-	8	24.7		No		0	0	2	5	2	3	5	7	9	10	11	12	12	10	8	4	30,930	*
92		31	28		-	9	20.0		No			0	1	4	1	3	4	6	8	10	11	12	12	12	10	6	28,212	*
91		31	29		-	8	15.3		No			0	1	3	1	2	3	5	7	9	10	12	13	14	12	8	25,295	*
90		30	29		-	9	12.2		No			0	0	3	1	1	3	4	6	8	10	12	14	15	14	10	22,674	*
89		30	30		-	8	9.0		No			0	0	2	0	1	2	3	5	6	9	11	14	16	16	13	19,594	*
88		29	30		-	9	6.4		No			0	0	1	0	1	1	3	4	6	8	10	13	17	19	17	16,700	*
87		29	31		-	8	5.0		No				0	1	0	0	1	2	3	4	7	9	13	17	21	20	14,375	*
86		28	31		-	9	3.4		No				0	1	0	0	1	1	2	4	6	8	12	17	23	25	11,857	*
85		28	32		-	8	2.1		No				0	1	0	0	0	1	2	3	4	7	12	17	24	29	9,557	*
84		27	32		-	9	1.5		No				0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	4	6	11	15	25	34	7,799	*
83		27	33		-	8	1.1		No					0		0	0	0	1	2	3	5	8	15	26	39	6,192	*
82		26	33		-	9	1.0		No					0		0	0	0	1	1	2	4	7	14	26	44	4,693	*
81		26	34		-	8	0.5		No					0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	3	6	13	25	49	3,686	*
80		25	34		-	9	0.3		No					0		0	0	0	0	1	1	2	5	11	24	55	2,776	*
79		25	35		-	8	0.2		No				0				0	0	0	1	1	2	4	10	21	61	1,972	*
78		25	36		-	7	0.1		No							0			0	0	0	1	2	9	22	65	1,498	*
77		24	36		-	8	0.2		No								0	0		1	0	1	2	7	19	70	1,084	*
76		23	36		-	9	Out		No												1	1	3	4	16	75	712	*
75		23	37		-	8	Out		No													1	1	3	12	82	492	*
74		22	37		-	9	Out		No											0	0		1	2	12	85	367	*
73		22	38		-	8	Out		No												0		2	3	11	83	232	*
72		22	39		-	7	Out		No															1	11	88	161	*
71		20	38		-	10	Out		No														2	4	7	87	100	*
70		21	40		-	7	Out		No														2		6	92	66	*
69		19	39		-	10	Out		No																5	95	40	*
68		19	40		-	9	Out		No															4	4	93	27	*
21	-67						Out		No																	100	86	*

Total:							51.3	%	9.8	%	11	7	5	3	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	703,480

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday	100.0*	Lottery seed
NY Rangers 4 Anaheim 1	-0.9

Tuesday	None

What If

None

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

123	-157						100
122		47	14		-	7	99	1
121		47	15		-	6	100	0
120		46	15		-	7	100
119		45	15		-	8	99	1
118		45	16		-	7	99	1
117		44	16		-	8	98	2
116		44	17		-	7	96	3	0
115		43	17		-	8	96	4	0
114		43	18		-	7	93	7	0
113		42	18		-	8	89	11	0	0
112		42	19		-	7	83	15	1	0
111		41	19		-	8	78	20	2	0
110		41	20		-	7	71	25	4	0
109		40	20		-	8	61	32	7	1	0
108		40	21		-	7	50	37	11	2	0	0
107		39	21		-	8	39	40	17	4	0	0	0
106		39	22		-	7	27	41	24	7	1	0	0
105		38	22		-	8	18	36	29	13	3	1	0
104		37	22		-	9	10	28	32	19	8	2	0	0
103		37	23		-	8	5	19	30	27	14	5	1	0	0
102		36	23		-	9	2	11	23	28	21	10	3	1	0	0
101		36	24		-	8	1	5	14	25	26	18	8	3	1	0	0
100		35	24		-	9	0	2	7	17	25	24	16	8	2	1	0	0
99		35	25		-	8	0	0	2	8	16	24	23	16	7	2	1	0	0	0
98		34	25		-	9		0	1	3	8	16	23	22	16	8	3	1	0	0
97		34	26		-	8		0	0	1	2	8	15	22	23	17	9	3	1	0	0
96		33	26		-	9			0	0	0	2	6	13	21	22	18	11	4	1	0	0
95		33	27		-	8			0	0	0	0	2	5	11	19	22	20	12	6	2	0	0	0
94		32	27		-	9					0	0	0	1	3	9	16	22	21	15	8	3	1	0	0	0
93		32	28		-	8							0	0	1	2	7	14	20	22	17	10	5	1	0	0	0
92		31	28		-	9								0	0	0	1	5	11	18	22	20	13	7	2	1	0	0		0
91		31	29		-	8									0	0	0	1	3	8	15	21	22	17	9	4	1	0	0	0
90		30	29		-	9											0	0	1	2	6	12	19	22	19	12	5	2	0	0	0
89		30	30		-	8												0	0	0	1	4	10	17	22	21	14	7	2	1	0
88		29	30		-	9													0	0	0	1	3	8	15	21	22	16	9	4	1	0	0
87		29	31		-	8															0	0	1	2	7	13	21	22	18	10	4	1	0	0
86		28	31		-	9																	0	0	2	5	12	21	24	19	10	4	1	0	0
85		28	32		-	8																	0	0	0	2	5	12	20	24	20	11	4	1	0
84		27	32		-	9																			0	0	1	5	13	21	26	20	10	3	0	0
83		27	33		-	8																				0	0	1	5	15	23	27	19	8	2	0
82		26	33		-	9																					0	0	2	7	16	26	27	15	5	1
81		26	34		-	8																						0	1	2	10	20	29	25	11	2
80		25	34		-	9																							0	1	5	12	27	30	20	6
79		25	35		-	8																								0	2	8	20	33	29	8
78		25	36		-	7																							0	0	1	4	13	32	35	14
77		24	36		-	8																										1	8	26	40	24
76		23	36		-	9																									0	1	4	18	46	31
75		23	37		-	8																											2	16	36	46
74		22	37		-	9																											1	8	38	52
73		22	38		-	8																											0	6	30	64
72		21	38		-	9																												5	25	70
71		20	38		-	10																												2	23	75
70		21	40		-	7																													15	85
69		19	39		-	10																													18	83
68		19	40		-	9																													11	89
67		19	41		-	8																													9	91
21	-66																																			100

Total:							10	8	7	6	6	5	5	5	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	3	3	2	2	2	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	1	1	0