New York Islanders Playoff Chances 2013-2014

Did not play, playoff odds down 1.3 to 10.6%

12 points 5 7-2

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Monday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
NY Rangers 4 Anaheim 1	-0.3

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Washington vs NY Islanders	-1.7-0.5-0.4+0.4+0.4+1.9		NoNoNoNoNo+0.0		-0.3-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.3
Boston vs Dallas	-0.2-0.1-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.2
Montreal vs St. Louis	-0.2-0.2-0.0+0.0-0.0+0.1
San Jose vs Buffalo	+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1+0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the NY Islanders finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

116	-148						In		Yes		100																175	*
112		47	15		-	6	In		No				25		25	25	25										4	*
111		47	16		-	5	In		No						50		50										2	*
110		46	16		-	6	In		No			25	25		25		25										4	*
109		44	15		-	9	In		No			8	15	23	15	23	15										13	*
108		45	17		-	6	96.3	%	No			4	15	4	44	15	7	7	4								27	*
107		43	16		-	9	93.9		No			6	15	6	33	18	6	9	6								33	*
106		42	16		-	10	95.9		No			8	7	15	36	12	8	9	3	1							74	*
105		42	17		-	9	94.3		No		1	2	7	6	33	21	16	7	3	2	1						140	*
104		41	17		-	10	93.4		No			1	6	7	27	29	13	10	4	2	1						181	*
103		41	18		-	9	90.2		No			1	5	10	26	23	16	10	5	3	1		1				317	*
102		40	18		-	10	86.3		No			1	1	12	24	21	17	10	8	4	2		0				534	*
101		40	19		-	9	84.5		No			0	2	8	22	20	18	14	8	3	2	1	0	0	0	0	826	*
100		39	19		-	10	80.8		No			0	2	7	16	19	20	16	9	5	3	1	1	1	0		1,187	*
99		39	20		-	9	76.5		No			0	1	7	16	19	17	16	10	7	4	1	1	0	0		1,806	*
98		38	20		-	10	73.9		No			0	1	7	14	18	18	16	11	7	4	3	1	0	0	0	2,544	*
97		38	21		-	9	69.0		No				0	5	13	16	18	17	13	8	5	3	2	0	0	0	3,665	*
96		37	21		-	10	65.7		No				0	4	12	16	17	17	13	10	5	3	2	1	0	0	5,123	*
95		37	22		-	9	61.3		No				0	4	10	14	17	17	13	10	7	4	2	1	1	0	7,178	*
94		36	22		-	10	58.2		No				0	3	8	13	16	17	14	11	7	4	3	1	0	0	9,825	*
93		36	23		-	9	53.6		No				0	3	7	12	15	17	15	12	8	6	3	2	1	0	13,011	*
92		35	23		-	10	49.3		No				0	2	6	11	14	17	15	13	9	6	4	2	1	0	17,101	*
91		35	24		-	9	44.6		No				0	2	5	9	13	16	16	13	10	7	5	3	1	0	21,981	*
90		34	24		-	10	40.0		No				0	1	4	8	12	15	15	14	11	8	6	4	2	1	27,396	*
89		34	25		-	9	36.0		No				0	1	3	7	10	14	15	14	11	9	7	4	2	1	34,419	*
88		33	25		-	10	31.8		No				0	1	3	6	9	13	15	14	13	10	7	5	3	1	41,556	*
87		33	26		-	9	28.3		No				0	1	2	5	8	12	14	14	13	11	9	6	3	1	49,599	*
86		32	26		-	10	24.3		No				0	0	2	4	7	11	14	14	13	12	10	7	4	2	58,676	*
85		32	27		-	9	21.7		No				0	0	1	3	6	10	12	14	14	12	10	8	5	2	67,785	*
84		31	27		-	10	18.4		No				0	0	1	3	5	9	12	14	14	13	12	9	6	3	76,791	*
83		31	28		-	9	15.8		No				0	0	1	2	4	8	11	13	14	13	12	10	7	4	85,035	*
82		30	28		-	10	13.1		No					0	1	2	4	7	10	12	13	14	13	11	8	5	92,592	*
81		30	29		-	9	11.1		No					0	0	1	3	6	9	11	13	14	14	12	10	6	99,732	*
80		29	29		-	10	9.1		No				0	0	0	1	2	5	8	11	13	14	14	14	11	7	105,679	*
79		29	30		-	9	7.4		No					0	0	1	2	4	7	9	12	14	15	15	12	8	109,653	*
78		28	30		-	10	6.0		No				0	0	0	1	2	4	6	9	11	14	15	15	14	10	111,588	*
77		28	31		-	9	4.8		No				0	0	0	0	1	3	5	8	11	13	15	16	15	12	111,540	*
76		27	31		-	10	4.0		No					0	0	0	1	2	4	7	10	12	15	17	17	14	110,121	*
75		27	32		-	9	3.0		No					0	0	0	1	2	4	6	9	12	14	17	19	16	106,177	*
74		26	32		-	10	2.4		No					0	0	0	1	2	3	5	8	11	14	18	20	19	100,995	*
73		26	33		-	9	1.9		No					0	0	0	0	1	3	4	7	10	14	18	21	22	94,750	*
72		25	33		-	10	1.4		No					0	0	0	0	1	2	4	6	9	13	18	22	25	86,422	*
71		25	34		-	9	1.1		No					0	0	0	0	1	2	3	5	8	12	17	23	28	77,792	*
70		24	34		-	10	0.8		No					0	0	0	0	1	1	3	5	7	11	17	24	31	69,066	*
69		24	35		-	9	0.5		No					0	0	0	0	0	1	2	4	6	11	16	25	35	60,190	*
68		23	35		-	10	0.5		No					0	0	0	0	0	1	2	3	6	10	15	25	39	51,420	*
67		23	36		-	9	0.3		No					0		0	0	0	1	1	3	5	8	15	25	42	42,901	*
66		22	36		-	10	0.3		No					0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	4	8	14	25	46	35,090	*
65		22	37		-	9	0.2		No						0	0	0	0	0	1	2	3	7	13	24	49	28,562	*
64		21	37		-	10	0.1		No						0	0	0	0	0	1	1	3	6	12	24	53	23,032	*
63		21	38		-	9	0.1		No							0	0	0	0	1	1	3	5	11	23	56	17,722	*
62		20	38		-	10	0.0		No								0	0	0	0	1	2	4	10	22	61	13,566	*
61		20	39		-	9	0.1		No							0	0	0	0	0	1	2	4	8	21	64	10,220	*
60		19	39		-	10	0.0		No									0	0	0	0	1	3	7	20	67	7,436	*
59		19	40		-	9	0.0		No									0	0	0	0	1	3	7	19	70	5,453	*
58		18	40		-	10	Out		No										0	0	0	1	2	6	17	73	3,851	*
57		18	41		-	9	0.0		No								0			0	0	0	1	5	16	76	2,580	*
56		17	41		-	10	0.1		No								0				0	0	1	5	14	79	1,780	*
55		17	42		-	9	0.1		No									0	0		0	0	2	2	14	81	1,271	*
54		16	42		-	10	Out		No										0			0	1	3	10	85	818	*
53		16	43		-	9	Out		No														1	2	10	87	454	*
52		16	44		-	8	Out		No													1	1	3	9	87	319	*
51		15	44		-	9	Out		No														1	2	11	87	189	*
50		15	45		-	8	Out		No										1				1	3	10	85	118	*
49		14	45		-	9	Out		No														1		5	94	87	*
48		14	46		-	8	Out		No															5	5	89	38	*
47		14	47		-	7	Out		No															3		97	29	*
46		12	46		-	10	Out		No																7	93	14	*
45		12	47		-	9	Out		No																33	67	3	*
12	-44						Out		No																	100	182	*

Total:							10.6	%	0.0	%	0	0	0	0	1	2	3	5	6	8	9	11	12	13	14	16	2,110,440

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Winnipeg 5 Detroit 4	+0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Washington vs NY Islanders	+0.6+0.1+0.1-0.5-0.5-0.5

What If

None

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

116	-148						100
112		47	15		-	6				75		25
111		47	16		-	5					50			50
110		46	16		-	6					50	50
109		43	14		-	11				8	31	15	8	15	23
108		45	17		-	6				4	15	22	37	22
107		43	16		-	9					9	12	36	21	12	6	3
106		42	16		-	10					1	7	26	22	26	9	8	1
105		42	17		-	9				1	1	4	11	31	31	14	4	3
104		41	17		-	10						2	7	21	25	28	15	3
103		41	18		-	9						1	2	12	21	36	21	7	2
102		41	19		-	8							1	4	18	30	29	16	1	0
101		40	19		-	9							0	3	10	27	34	22	4	1
100		39	19		-	10							0	1	5	18	34	29	10	1
99		39	20		-	9								0	3	12	31	35	16	3	0
98		38	20		-	10								0	1	6	23	39	24	6	1
97		38	21		-	9									0	3	15	36	33	11	2	0
96		37	21		-	10									0	2	9	33	35	17	4	1	0
95		37	22		-	9									0	1	5	23	38	25	8	1	0	0
94		36	22		-	10										0	2	16	34	30	14	3	0	0
93		36	23		-	9										0	1	9	29	33	20	7	1	0	0
92		35	23		-	10										0	0	5	20	32	27	12	3	0	0	0
91		35	24		-	9											0	2	13	28	30	19	6	1	0	0
90		34	24		-	10											0	1	7	20	30	25	12	4	1	0	0
89		34	25		-	9											0	0	3	13	25	29	19	8	2	0	0	0
88		33	25		-	10												0	1	7	18	27	25	14	5	1	0	0	0	0
87		33	26		-	9												0	0	3	11	22	27	21	10	3	1	0	0
86		32	26		-	10												0	0	1	5	15	25	26	17	8	2	0	0	0
85		32	27		-	9													0	0	2	8	18	26	24	15	6	2	0	0	0
84		31	27		-	10													0	0	1	4	11	20	26	22	12	4	1	0	0
83		31	28		-	9													0	0	0	1	5	13	22	25	19	10	3	1	0	0
82		30	28		-	10														0	0	0	2	7	15	24	25	17	8	2	0	0	0
81		30	29		-	9															0	0	1	3	8	18	25	23	15	6	1	0	0	0
80		29	29		-	10																0	0	1	4	11	20	26	22	12	4	1	0	0
79		29	30		-	9																	0	0	1	5	13	22	26	20	9	3	0	0	0
78		28	30		-	10																	0	0	0	2	7	16	25	25	17	7	2	0	0
77		28	31		-	9																		0	0	1	3	9	19	27	24	13	4	1	0
76		27	31		-	10																			0	0	1	4	12	23	28	21	9	2	0	0
75		27	32		-	9																			0	0	0	2	6	16	27	27	16	5	1	0
74		26	32		-	10																				0	0	1	3	10	22	30	23	10	2	0
73		26	33		-	9																					0	0	1	5	15	28	30	16	4	0
72		25	33		-	10																					0	0	0	2	9	23	33	24	7	1
71		25	34		-	9																						0	0	1	5	16	32	32	13	1
70		24	34		-	10																						0	0	0	2	10	28	37	20	3
69		24	35		-	9																							0	0	1	6	22	39	27	5
68		23	35		-	10																								0	0	3	15	37	35	9
67		23	36		-	9																								0	0	1	10	34	42	13
66		22	36		-	10																									0	1	6	28	47	19
65		22	37		-	9																									0	0	4	22	49	25
64		21	37		-	10																										0	2	16	49	33
63		21	38		-	9																										0	1	12	47	40
62		20	38		-	10																											0	8	43	48
61		20	39		-	9																											0	5	38	57
60		19	39		-	10																											0	3	34	63
59		19	40		-	9																											0	2	28	70
58		18	40		-	10																												1	24	75
57		18	41		-	9																												1	20	79
56		17	41		-	10																												0	15	84
55		17	42		-	9																												0	11	88
54		16	42		-	10																													8	92
53		16	43		-	9																													8	92
52		16	44		-	8																													5	95
51		15	44		-	9																													3	97
50		15	45		-	8																												1	4	95
49		14	45		-	9																													2	98
48		14	46		-	8																													3	97
12	-47																																			100

Total:							0			0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	2	3	4	4	5	5	6	7	7	8	8	9	9	9	7	4