Montreal Canadiens Playoff Chances 2013-2014 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.07 to 46.4%

15 points 7 7-1

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Monday	None

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Montreal vs St. Louis	+4.2+0.7*+0.3-1.1-0.6-4.2		+0.4+0.4+0.4-0.2*-0.1-0.5		+0.5+0.1+0.1-0.1*-0.1-0.5
Boston vs Dallas	-0.4+0.0-0.2+0.2+0.2+0.4
Florida vs Edmonton	-0.3-0.2-0.1+0.3-0.2+0.4

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Montreal finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

120	-149						In		Yes		100																79	*
119		50	13		-	4	In		93.3	%	93	7															15	*
118		48	12		-	7	In		Yes		100																40	*
117		48	13		-	6	In		Yes		96				4												46	*
116		47	13		-	7	In		98.8		98				2												85	*
115		46	13		-	8	In		94.8		95	1			4												135	*
114		46	14		-	7	In		90.1		89	5	0		4	1											282	*
113		46	15		-	6	In		87.6		89	5			5	1	0										371	*
112		45	15		-	7	In		83.1		86	7			7	1											568	*
111		45	16		-	6	99.8	%	78.6		82	10	1		6	1	0	0	0	0							845	*
110		44	16		-	7	99.8		69.8		77	11	1		9	2	0	0	0	0							1,249	*
109		43	16		-	8	99.9		60.3		70	16	1	0	10	2	1	0	0	0							1,774	*
108		43	17		-	7	99.7		47.7		63	19	2	0	12	3	1	0	0	0		0					2,509	*
107		42	17		-	8	99.4		36.4		56	23	3	0	13	4	1	1	0	0	0	0					3,309	*
106		42	18		-	7	99.2		27.2		46	27	4	0	14	5	2	1	0	0	0	0	0				4,438	*
105		41	18		-	8	98.9		16.3		38	30	7	0	15	6	2	1	1	0	0	0	0				5,710	*
104		41	19		-	7	98.4		9.3		30	31	9	1	15	7	3	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0		7,488	*
103		40	19		-	8	97.7		4.6		23	31	12	2	16	8	4	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0		9,410	*
102		40	20		-	7	96.3		1.9		16	29	15	3	17	9	5	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	0		11,603	*
101		39	20		-	8	94.5		0.7		11	26	18	4	16	11	6	4	2	1	1	0	0	0	0		14,185	*
100		39	21		-	7	92.3		0.2		7	21	20	5	16	11	7	5	3	2	1	1	0	0	0		16,767	*
99		38	21		-	8	90.0		0.0		4	17	20	8	15	12	8	6	4	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	19,637	*
98		38	22		-	7	87.4		0.0		2	13	20	10	15	12	9	7	5	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	22,439	*
97		37	22		-	8	83.1		No		1	9	18	11	13	12	10	8	6	4	3	2	1	1	0	0	25,581	*
96		37	23		-	7	78.2		No		1	5	16	13	12	12	10	9	7	5	4	3	2	1	0	0	28,140	*
95		36	23		-	8	73.0		No		0	3	13	14	11	11	11	9	8	6	5	4	2	1	1	0	30,824	*
94		36	24		-	7	67.6		No		0	2	10	15	9	10	11	10	9	7	6	4	3	2	1	0	33,388	*
93		35	24		-	8	61.2		No		0	1	7	15	8	10	10	10	10	9	7	6	4	2	1	0	34,983	*
92		34	24		-	9	54.6		No		0	0	5	14	6	9	10	10	10	9	8	7	5	3	2	1	35,843	*
91		34	25		-	8	47.8		No		0	0	3	12	5	8	9	10	10	10	9	8	7	4	3	1	36,809	*
90		33	25		-	9	41.6		No			0	2	11	4	6	8	10	10	10	10	9	8	6	4	2	36,889	*
89		33	26		-	8	35.1		No			0	1	9	3	5	7	9	10	11	11	10	9	7	5	2	35,962	*
88		32	26		-	9	28.6		No			0	1	7	2	4	6	8	10	10	11	11	10	9	7	3	35,068	*
87		32	27		-	8	24.2		No			0	0	6	2	3	5	7	9	10	11	12	11	11	8	4	33,214	*
86		31	27		-	9	19.0		No			0	0	5	1	3	4	6	8	9	11	12	13	13	10	6	30,991	*
85		31	28		-	8	15.2		No			0	0	4	1	2	3	5	7	8	10	12	14	14	12	8	28,510	*
84		30	28		-	9	11.4		No				0	3	1	2	3	4	6	8	10	12	14	15	14	10	25,641	*
83		30	29		-	8	8.7		No				0	2	0	1	2	3	4	7	9	11	13	16	17	14	22,914	*
82		29	29		-	9	6.3		No				0	2	0	1	2	2	4	6	8	10	13	17	19	17	20,094	*
81		29	30		-	8	4.4		No				0	1	0	1	1	2	3	4	7	9	13	18	21	20	17,282	*
80		28	30		-	9	3.3		No					1	0	0	1	1	2	4	5	8	12	17	23	24	14,476	*
79		28	31		-	8	2.3		No					1	0	0	0	1	2	3	5	7	11	17	24	29	11,949	*
78		27	31		-	9	1.5		No					0		0	0	1	1	2	4	6	10	16	25	34	9,912	*
77		27	32		-	8	1.1		No					0	0	0	0	0	1	1	3	5	9	14	26	40	7,702	*
76		27	33		-	7	0.8		No					0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	4	7	13	25	46	6,072	*
75		26	33		-	8	0.4		No					0		0	0	0	0	1	2	3	6	12	25	51	4,842	*
74		25	33		-	9	0.3		No							0	0	0	0	1	1	2	5	11	24	56	3,684	*
73		25	34		-	8	0.2		No					0			0	0	0	1	1	2	4	10	22	61	2,862	*
72		25	35		-	7	0.1		No					0		0		0	0	0	1	1	3	8	21	65	2,123	*
71		24	35		-	8	Out		No											0	0	1	2	6	17	73	1,441	*
70		23	35		-	9	0.1		No							0				0	0	0	2	5	17	75	1,049	*
69		23	36		-	8	Out		No										0	0		1	1	4	15	79	733	*
68		23	37		-	7	0.2		No									0			0	0	1	3	10	85	470	*
67		22	37		-	8	Out		No														0	4	12	83	363	*
66		21	37		-	9	Out		No														1	1	10	88	221	*
65		21	38		-	8	Out		No															1	6	93	157	*
64		21	39		-	7	Out		No															2	5	93	111	*
63		19	38		-	10	Out		No																9	91	54	*
62		20	40		-	7	Out		No																5	95	37	*
61		20	41		-	6	Out		No																7	93	15	*
15	-60						Out		No																	100	90	*

Total:							46.4	%	1.4	%	3	5	6	8	6	6	6	6	6	6	7	7	7	7	7	7	703,480

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday	None

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Montreal vs St. Louis	-0.9-0.9-0.8+0.2*+0.1+1.1
Phoenix vs Vancouver	+0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0*+0.1-0.0
San Jose vs Buffalo	-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

None

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

120	-149						100
119		50	13		-	4	93	7
117	-118						100
116		47	13		-	7	99	1
115		46	13		-	8	95	5
114		46	14		-	7	90	9	1
113		46	15		-	6	88	11	1
112		45	15		-	7	83	16	1	0
111		45	16		-	6	79	19	2
110		44	16		-	7	70	26	4
109		43	16		-	8	60	33	7	0	0
108		43	17		-	7	48	39	11	2	0
107		42	17		-	8	36	42	17	4	1	0
106		42	18		-	7	27	39	25	8	2	0
105		41	18		-	8	16	36	30	13	3	1	0
104		41	19		-	7	9	28	32	21	8	2	0	0
103		40	19		-	8	5	18	30	26	14	6	1	0	0
102		40	20		-	7	2	10	22	29	22	10	4	1	0	0
101		39	20		-	8	1	4	14	24	26	19	9	3	1	0	0
100		39	21		-	7	0	1	6	15	24	24	17	8	3	1	0	0
99		38	21		-	8	0	0	2	8	16	23	24	16	7	3	1	0	0
98		38	22		-	7	0	0	0	2	8	16	22	23	16	9	3	1	0	0
97		37	22		-	8		0	0	1	2	7	15	22	22	17	9	4	1	0	0	0
96		37	23		-	7			0	0	0	2	6	13	21	22	19	11	4	1	0	0	0	0
95		36	23		-	8				0	0	0	1	5	11	18	22	20	13	6	2	1	0	0	0
94		36	24		-	7					0	0	0	1	3	9	16	22	21	15	8	3	1	0	0
93		35	24		-	8						0	0	0	1	2	6	13	20	22	18	11	5	2	0	0	0
92		34	24		-	9						0		0	0	0	1	5	11	18	22	20	13	7	2	1	0	0
91		34	25		-	8									0	0	0	1	3	8	15	21	21	17	9	3	1	0	0	0
90		33	25		-	9										0	0	0	0	2	6	12	19	23	19	12	5	2	0	0	0
89		33	26		-	8											0	0	0	0	1	4	10	17	22	21	14	7	2	1	0	0
88		32	26		-	9														0	0	1	3	8	16	22	22	16	8	3	1	0	0
87		32	27		-	8														0	0	0	1	2	7	14	21	23	18	10	4	1	0	0
86		31	27		-	9															0	0	0	0	2	6	13	21	24	19	10	4	1	0	0
85		31	28		-	8																	0	0	0	1	5	12	21	24	20	11	4	1	0	0
84		30	28		-	9																		0	0	0	2	6	13	22	25	20	9	3	0	0
83		30	29		-	8																				0	0	2	6	14	24	26	18	8	2	0
82		29	29		-	9																				0	0	0	2	7	17	27	26	15	5	1
81		29	30		-	8																					0	0	1	3	10	22	29	24	10	2
80		28	30		-	9																							0	1	5	14	28	31	17	4
79		28	31		-	8																							0	0	2	9	22	33	26	8
78		27	31		-	9																							0	0	1	4	16	32	33	14
77		27	32		-	8																								0	0	2	9	27	41	22
76		27	33		-	7																									0	1	5	21	43	31
75		26	33		-	8																									0	0	2	13	42	42
74		25	33		-	9																										0	1	10	37	52
73		25	34		-	8																										0	1	6	35	59
72		25	35		-	7																											0	4	27	69
71		24	35		-	8																											0	1	23	75
70		23	35		-	9																												2	18	81
69		23	36		-	8																												1	14	85
68		23	37		-	7																												0	11	89
67		22	37		-	8																												0	11	89
66		21	37		-	9																												0	5	95
65		21	38		-	8																												1	3	96
64		21	39		-	7																													3	97
63		19	38		-	10																													6	94
62		20	40		-	7																													3	97
15	-61																																			100

Total:							1	2	2	2	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3