Montreal Canadiens Playoff Chances 2013-2014

Did not play, playoff odds down 1.9 to 28.4%
15 points   7 7-1

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
NY Rangers 4 Anaheim 1 -0.5
Winnipeg 5 Detroit 4 +0.3
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Montreal vs St. Louis+3.7+1.2+1.6*-0.0*-0.2-2.3
+0.0No*-0.0-0.0NoNo
+0.3+0.1+0.1-0.0*-0.0-0.2
Boston vs Dallas-0.4*+0.0*-0.1*+0.2*+0.0+0.3
San Jose vs Buffalo+0.3*+0.0*+0.3*-0.0*-0.2-0.2
Columbus vs Ottawa-0.2*-0.2*-0.1*+0.3*-0.1+0.2
Florida vs Edmonton-0.2*-0.2*-0.0*+0.1*+0.1+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Montreal finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
121-149InYes100175*
1204911-7In66.7%67333*
1194912-6InYes1001
1184913-5In50.067336*
1174611-10In7.1362173614*
1164713-7In4.54127999522*
1154613-8InNo212672319543*
1144614-798.6%4.319227301263169*
1134514-898.1No14251023295111105*
1124515-798.8No12211432517511169*
1114415-898.2No61613428189311331*
1104315-996.6No5131452821832100497*
1094316-895.9No21013727231042100765*
1084317-795.6No171472720145310001,167*
1074217-895.4No041182924136311001,803*
1064117-993.3No0410927221384210002,608*
1054118-891.9No027925241595210003,658*
1044018-990.4No016102424151062100005,399*
1034019-888.8No0151022231712631100007,591*
1023919-985.8No03920221713742100010,202*
1013920-883.2No029182118148421000013,433*
1003820-980.6No028172118159531100017,861*
993821-876.5No0171520181511642100022,769*
983721-973.0No0161319181612742100029,115*
973722-869.1No0051118181613953110035,797*
963622-965.3No0051016181713963210043,347*
953623-861.4No0049151717141074210052,172*
943523-956.7No0037131617151185311060,322*
933524-852.7No0036111517151296321069,634*
923424-948.2No0025101416161396421078,451*
913425-843.9No00024913161613107531087,381*
903325-939.5No0014812151614118642194,829*
893326-835.6No00137111415141296421101,328*
883226-931.3No00126913151413107531107,285*
873227-827.5No0125812151413118632110,532*
863127-924.1No0114711141514129742111,761*
853128-820.8No000136101314141211852111,634*
843028-918.2No00013591214141311963109,515*
833029-815.2No00124811131414121074105,454*
822929-912.9No000124710121414131185100,133*
812930-810.8No0001369121314141210692,416*
802830-98.9No0001358111314141311785,174*
792831-87.3No0001247101214141413975,320*
782731-95.9No0001146911131515141067,018*
772732-84.7No0000135811131516161257,821*
762632-93.9No000124710121516171549,089*
752633-83.1No00012469121417191741,145*
742533-92.3No000011358111417201933,662*
732534-81.7No00001247101318212227,036*
722434-91.5No0000124691318222521,314*
712435-81.0No0000123581217232916,512*
702335-90.8No000113571116243212,914*
692336-80.5No00001247101624359,675*
682236-90.5No00001235101524407,213*
672237-80.4No00113581425435,221*
662137-90.2No0012471425463,676*
652138-80.2No00012371323512,588*
642038-90.1No00011261126511,743*
632039-80.2No0011151022591,203*
622040-70.3No00013592359782*
611940-80.2No001114101964523*
601941-7OutNo011391770337*
591841-8OutNo1481869213*
581842-7OutNo112231279126*
571742-8OutNo33217472*
561743-7OutNo3138438*
551643-8OutNo297128*
541644-7OutNo138715*
15-53OutNo100185*
Total:28.4%0.0%0001368101111111098752,110,440

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

MondayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Montreal vs St. Louis-0.6-0.6-0.6-0.1-0.1+0.5

What If

None

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
121-149100
1204911-76733
1194912-6100
1184913-550171717
1174611-1075021147
1164713-7527272714
1154613-8164226142
1144614-741619321973
1134514-812272717125
1124515-751227301971
1114415-8281825241681
1104315-904122229219300
1094316-8016142228216300
1084317-7002919272313510
1074217-801413242719920
1064117-90271726271641
1054118-8013102127241120
1044018-900151628281751
1034019-80029223125910
1023919-900141529311730
1013920-80029243424610
1003820-900141733321110
993821-80021029381830
983721-90162239256100
973722-800315373211100
963622-9019313817400
953623-80052438247100
943523-9002173630122000
933524-801103034196100
923424-9005213426112000
913425-80021430301751000
903325-9018233124103000
893326-80041528281762000
883226-900282128241241000
873227-80141325271992000
863127-900171726251662000
853128-8000310202622124100
843028-90015132326191031000
833029-800261624251782000
822929-9000381825231562000
812930-80001410202522124100
802830-9001513222619103100
792831-800026152425178200
782731-900138182624156100
772732-8000131121272212310
762632-900015142427198200
752633-80002718282614400
742533-9001311233022810
732534-800161629291530
722434-90031024332371
712435-80015173231121
702335-90003112836193
692336-80162237285
682236-900031637359
672237-80110334214
662137-916284620
652138-803204828
642038-902164834
632039-81104643
622040-7174349
611940-8153757
601941-7043462
591841-812574
581842-722275
571742-811782
561642-91684
551744-6793
15-54100
Total:000000000125788887766554332210