Edmonton Oilers Playoff Chances 2013-2014 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.1 to 57.7%

16 points 8 7-0

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Monday	None

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Florida vs Edmonton	-4.3-0.7-0.9+0.8+0.9+4.3		-0.6-0.1-0.1+0.5+0.5+0.5		-0.4*-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.4
Montreal vs St. Louis	+0.4-0.1-0.1-0.3+0.2-0.4
Boston vs Dallas					+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.1-0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Edmonton finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

121	-150						In		Yes		100																88	*
120		49	12		-	6	In		95.8	%	96	4															24	*
118	-119						In		98.9		100																92	*
117		47	13		-	7	In		95.7		96	1			2	1											92	*
116		47	14		-	6	In		94.1		97	3			1												152	*
115		46	14		-	7	In		96.2		96	1			3	0											234	*
114		46	15		-	6	99.8	%	91.4		94	1			4	0			0								405	*
113		45	15		-	7	In		86.3		91	3			5	0	0										569	*
112		44	15		-	8	In		83.7		89	4			6	1	0										854	*
111		44	16		-	7	In		75.9		86	6	0		7	1	0										1,264	*
110		43	16		-	8	In		67.5		83	8	0		8	2	0										1,758	*
109		43	17		-	7	99.9		58.9		77	11	0		9	2	0	0	0	0							2,399	*
108		42	17		-	8	99.8		47.5		72	14	1		11	2	0	0	0	0							3,311	*
107		42	18		-	7	99.7		37.6		66	16	1	0	12	3	1	0	0	0	0						4,382	*
106		41	18		-	8	99.7		25.1		58	22	2	0	12	4	1	1	0	0	0						5,879	*
105		41	19		-	7	99.5		16.3		51	24	3	0	13	5	2	1	0	0	0	0	0				7,471	*
104		40	19		-	8	99.1		9.0		42	27	5	0	15	7	3	1	1	0	0	0	0	0			9,340	*
103		40	20		-	7	98.8		4.3		35	29	7	1	15	8	3	2	1	0	0	0	0				11,486	*
102		39	20		-	8	98.1		1.7		27	30	10	1	16	8	4	2	1	1	0	0	0	0			14,141	*
101		39	21		-	7	97.0		0.5		20	30	13	2	16	10	5	3	2	1	0	0	0				16,793	*
100		38	21		-	8	95.8		0.1		14	28	15	2	17	10	6	3	2	1	1	0	0	0			19,821	*
99		38	22		-	7	94.0		0.0		9	24	18	4	16	11	7	5	3	2	1	0	0	0			22,291	*
98		37	22		-	8	91.7		No		6	20	19	5	15	12	8	6	4	2	1	1	0	0			25,380	*
97		37	23		-	7	88.7		0.0		4	16	19	7	14	13	10	7	5	3	2	1	0	0			28,343	*
96		36	23		-	8	85.3		No		2	11	19	9	13	13	10	8	6	4	3	1	1	0			30,944	*
95		36	24		-	7	81.7		No		1	8	17	10	12	13	11	9	7	5	3	2	1	0			33,373	*
94		35	24		-	8	76.5		No		1	5	15	11	10	12	12	10	8	6	4	3	1	0			34,708	*
93		35	25		-	7	71.8		No		0	3	12	12	9	11	12	11	9	8	6	3	2	1			35,739	*
92		34	25		-	8	65.5		No		0	2	9	13	8	10	12	12	11	9	7	5	3	1			36,931	*
91		34	26		-	7	59.3		No		0	1	7	12	6	9	11	12	12	10	8	6	4	1			37,098	*
90		33	26		-	8	53.3		No		0	1	5	12	5	8	11	12	12	11	10	7	5	2			36,299	*
89		32	26		-	9	46.9		No		0	0	3	11	4	7	9	12	12	12	11	9	6	3			35,004	*
88		32	27		-	8	40.6		No			0	2	9	3	6	9	11	12	13	12	10	8	4			33,115	*
87		31	27		-	9	34.3		No			0	1	8	2	5	8	10	11	13	14	13	10	5			31,195	*
86		31	28		-	8	27.9		No			0	1	7	2	4	6	9	11	13	14	14	12	7			28,393	*
85		30	28		-	9	23.6		No			0	0	6	1	3	6	8	10	13	14	15	14	9			25,484	*
84		30	29		-	8	18.8		No			0	0	4	1	2	4	6	9	12	15	17	17	12			23,099	*
83		29	29		-	9	14.5		No			0	0	3	1	2	3	5	8	11	14	18	19	15			20,063	*
82		29	30		-	8	11.5		No				0	3	0	1	3	4	7	10	14	18	21	18			17,113	*
81		28	30		-	9	8.6		No				0	2	0	1	2	3	6	9	13	18	22	23			14,440	*
80		28	31		-	8	5.8		No				0	1	0	1	2	2	5	8	12	18	24	26			11,794	*
79		28	32		-	7	4.6		No					1	0	0	1	2	4	7	11	17	25	32			9,846	*
78		27	32		-	8	3.0		No				0	1	0	0	1	1	3	5	10	16	26	37			7,910	*
77		26	32		-	9	2.1		No				0	0	0	0	0	1	2	5	8	15	26	42			6,198	*
76		26	33		-	8	1.5		No					0	0	0	0	1	2	4	6	13	26	48			4,872	*
75		25	33		-	9	1.0		No					0		0	0	0	1	2	5	12	24	54			3,736	*
74		25	34		-	8	0.8		No					0			0	0	1	2	4	11	24	58			2,745	*
73		24	34		-	9	0.6		No					0		0	0	0	1	1	3	8	23	64			2,023	*
72		24	35		-	8	0.5		No					0	0		0	0	0	1	2	7	21	69			1,434	*
71		23	35		-	9	Out		No											1	2	5	21	71			1,031	*
70		23	36		-	8	0.3		No							0	0			0	1	4	20	75			796	*
69		22	36		-	9	0.4		No					0				0		1	0	3	13	82			497	*
68		22	37		-	8	0.3		No								0				0	4	10	86			345	*
67		21	37		-	9	Out		No										0		0	1	15	83			236	*
66		21	38		-	8	Out		No												1	1	8	90			139	*
65		20	38		-	9	Out		No													2	4	94			100	*
64		20	39		-	8	Out		No														9	91			57	*
63		19	39		-	9	Out		No														9	91			35	*
62		19	40		-	8	Out		No														8	92			24	*
60	-61						Out		No															100			27	*
59		19	43		-	5	Out		No														17	83			6	*
16	-58						Out		No															100			62	*

Total:							57.7	%	1.9	%	6	7	8	7	8	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	6			703,480

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday	None

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Florida vs Edmonton	+1.2+0.1+0.2-0.9-0.9-0.9
Boston vs Dallas	-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

None

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

121	-150						100
120		49	12		-	6	96	4
119		49	13		-	5	97	3
118		48	13		-	6	100
117		47	13		-	7	96	4
116		47	14		-	6	94	6
115		46	14		-	7	96	4
114		46	15		-	6	91	9
113		45	15		-	7	86	13	1
112		44	15		-	8	84	15	1	0
111		44	16		-	7	76	22	2	0
110		43	16		-	8	68	28	4	0
109		43	17		-	7	59	33	7	0
108		42	17		-	8	48	39	12	2	0
107		42	18		-	7	38	40	18	4	0	0
106		41	18		-	8	25	40	25	8	2	0	0
105		41	19		-	7	16	34	30	14	4	1	0	0
104		40	19		-	8	9	27	32	21	8	2	0	0
103		40	20		-	7	4	18	30	27	15	5	1	0	0
102		39	20		-	8	2	9	22	29	22	11	4	1	0	0
101		39	21		-	7	1	4	14	24	26	19	9	3	1	0	0
100		38	21		-	8	0	1	6	15	24	25	17	8	3	1	0	0	0
99		38	22		-	7	0	0	2	7	16	23	23	16	8	3	1	0	0
98		37	22		-	8		0	0	2	7	15	23	23	17	8	3	1	0	0	0
97		37	23		-	7	0	0	0	0	2	7	14	21	23	17	10	4	1	0	0
96		36	23		-	8				0	0	2	6	13	20	23	19	11	5	2	0	0
95		36	24		-	7				0	0	0	1	5	11	18	23	20	13	7	2	1	0	0
94		35	24		-	8					0	0	0	1	3	8	15	22	21	16	8	3	1	0	0	0		0
93		35	25		-	7						0	0	0	1	2	6	13	20	22	18	11	5	2	0	0	0	0
92		34	25		-	8								0	0	0	1	4	10	18	22	20	14	7	2	1	0	0		0
91		34	26		-	7									0	0	0	1	3	8	15	21	22	16	9	4	1	0	0	0
90		33	26		-	8									0		0	0	0	2	6	12	19	22	20	12	5	2	0	0	0
89		32	26		-	9												0	0	0	1	4	10	17	22	21	14	7	2	1	0	0
88		32	27		-	8													0	0	0	1	3	8	16	21	22	16	9	3	1	0	0	0
87		31	27		-	9														0	0	0	1	2	7	14	21	23	18	10	4	1	0	0
86		31	28		-	8																0	0	0	2	6	13	21	24	19	11	4	1	0	0
85		30	28		-	9																	0	0	0	2	5	13	21	24	19	11	4	1	0	0
84		30	29		-	8																	0	0	0	0	2	6	13	22	26	19	10	3	0	0
83		29	29		-	9																			0	0	0	2	6	14	24	26	18	8	2	0
82		29	30		-	8																				0	0	0	2	7	17	26	26	16	5	1
81		28	30		-	9																					0	0	1	3	10	22	29	23	11	2
80		28	31		-	8																					0	0	0	1	5	14	27	31	18	4
79		28	32		-	7																						0	0	0	2	8	22	33	26	8
78		27	32		-	8																								0	1	4	14	31	35	15
77		26	32		-	9																								0	0	2	8	27	40	22
76		26	33		-	8																									0	1	5	20	41	32
75		25	33		-	9																										0	2	14	41	42
74		25	34		-	8																										0	1	10	37	51
73		24	34		-	9																											0	6	31	63
72		24	35		-	8																											0	3	26	71
71		23	35		-	9																												2	22	76
70		23	36		-	8																												1	18	82
69		23	37		-	7																												1	13	85
68		22	37		-	8																												0	8	92
67		21	37		-	9																													6	94
66		21	38		-	8																													5	95
65		20	38		-	9																													2	98
64		20	39		-	8																													4	96
63		19	39		-	9																													3	97
62		19	40		-	8																													4	96
16	-61																																			100

Total:							2	2	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	3	2