Edmonton Oilers Playoff Chances 2013-2014

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.2 to 57.1%

16 points 8 7-0

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Monday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Winnipeg 5 Detroit 4	-0.4

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Florida vs Edmonton	-3.8-1.4-1.1*+0.4+0.5+3.2		-0.2-0.1-0.1+0.0*+0.0+0.2
San Jose vs Buffalo	-0.5-0.2-0.2+0.0+0.1+0.5
Boston vs Dallas	+0.5+0.2+0.1-0.4+0.1-0.5
Phoenix vs Vancouver	-0.3+0.2-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Edmonton finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

121	-150						In		Yes		100																176	*
120		48	11		-	8	In		66.7	%	33				67												3
119		48	12		-	7	In		20.0		60	10	10		20												10	*
118		47	12		-	8	In		18.2		36	27			27		9										11	*
117		47	13		-	7	In		21.7		43	26	4		22	4											23	*
116		46	13		-	8	In		13.8		38	28	7		17	7	3										29	*
115		45	13		-	9	In		1.6		28	34	7		25	5	2										61	*
114		45	14		-	8	In		2.8		22	28	13	1	29	6	2										109	*
113		45	15		-	7	In		1.1		13	27	15	4	31	6	2	1									186	*
112		44	15		-	8	In		0.3		15	25	15	4	30	8	2										297	*
111		44	16		-	7	In		No		8	19	22	6	35	9	2	0									491	*
110		43	16		-	8	99.6	%	No		4	16	22	7	34	12	3	1	0	0							792	*
109		42	16		-	9	99.8		No		3	13	22	9	36	11	4	1	0	0							1,092	*
108		42	17		-	8	99.7		No		1	11	18	11	39	14	4	2	0		0	0	0				1,719	*
107		41	17		-	9	99.2		No		1	9	18	13	37	15	5	1	0	0							2,484	*
106		41	18		-	8	98.9		No		0	6	15	14	39	16	6	2	1	0	0						3,763	*
105		40	18		-	9	98.9		No		0	4	15	16	37	18	7	3	1	0	0		0				5,266	*
104		40	19		-	8	98.3		No		0	2	12	16	37	19	8	3	1	0	0		0				7,162	*
103		39	19		-	9	97.9		No		0	1	9	17	36	21	10	4	1	1	0	0	0				10,090	*
102		39	20		-	8	97.5		No		0	1	7	16	35	22	11	4	2	1	0	0	0	0			13,426	*
101		38	20		-	9	96.5		No		0	1	5	16	33	23	13	5	2	1	0	0	0	0			17,655	*
100		38	21		-	8	95.4		No			0	4	15	32	24	14	7	3	1	0	0	0	0			22,569	*
99		37	21		-	9	94.3		No		0	0	3	14	30	24	15	7	4	1	1	0	0	0			28,530	*
98		37	22		-	8	92.9		No			0	2	13	28	25	16	9	4	2	1	0	0	0			35,198	*
97		36	22		-	9	91.6		No		0	0	2	12	27	25	17	10	5	2	1	0	0	0			43,049	*
96		36	23		-	8	89.5		No			0	1	10	24	24	18	11	6	3	1	0	0	0			51,374	*
95		35	23		-	9	87.5		No			0	1	9	23	24	19	12	7	3	2	1	0	0			60,228	*
94		35	24		-	8	85.0		No			0	1	8	20	23	20	13	8	4	2	1	0	0			69,166	*
93		34	24		-	9	82.3		No			0	0	7	18	23	20	14	9	5	3	1	0	0			78,574	*
92		34	25		-	8	79.2		No			0	0	6	17	21	20	15	10	6	3	1	1	0			86,768	*
91		33	25		-	9	75.8		No			0	0	5	14	20	20	16	11	7	4	2	1	0			95,203	*
90		33	26		-	8	72.4		No			0	0	4	13	19	20	17	12	8	4	2	1	0			101,955	*
89		32	26		-	9	68.6		No			0	0	3	11	18	20	17	13	9	5	3	1	0			106,866	*
88		32	27		-	8	64.5		No			0	0	3	9	16	19	18	14	10	6	4	2	0			110,728	*
87		31	27		-	9	60.5		No			0	0	2	8	15	18	18	15	11	7	4	2	1			112,379	*
86		31	28		-	8	56.4		No				0	2	7	13	17	18	15	12	8	5	2	1			112,113	*
85		30	28		-	9	51.8		No			0	0	1	6	12	16	17	16	13	9	6	3	1			109,605	*
84		30	29		-	8	47.7		No			0	0	1	5	10	15	17	16	14	11	7	4	1			105,870	*
83		29	29		-	9	43.6		No				0	1	4	9	14	16	16	14	11	8	5	2			99,618	*
82		29	30		-	8	39.6		No			0	0	1	3	8	12	16	16	15	12	9	6	2			93,050	*
81		28	30		-	9	35.4		No				0	1	3	7	11	15	16	15	13	10	7	3			85,146	*
80		28	31		-	8	31.4		No			0	0	1	2	5	10	14	16	16	14	11	8	4			75,737	*
79		27	31		-	9	27.7		No				0	0	2	5	9	12	15	16	15	13	9	4			67,645	*
78		27	32		-	8	24.4		No			0	0	0	1	4	8	11	15	16	15	14	10	5			57,613	*
77		26	32		-	9	20.9		No				0	0	1	3	7	10	13	16	16	15	12	7			49,148	*
76		26	33		-	8	18.3		No				0	0	1	3	6	9	13	16	16	16	13	8			41,462	*
75		25	33		-	9	15.2		No				0	0	1	2	4	8	12	15	17	17	15	9			33,973	*
74		25	34		-	8	13.1		No					0	0	2	4	7	11	14	17	18	16	11			27,349	*
73		24	34		-	9	10.9		No					0	0	2	3	6	9	13	17	19	18	13			21,603	*
72		24	35		-	8	9.5		No					0	0	1	3	5	9	12	16	19	19	16			16,970	*
71		23	35		-	9	7.9		No					0	0	1	2	4	8	11	16	19	20	18			12,844	*
70		23	36		-	8	5.9		No					0	0	1	2	3	6	11	14	20	23	20			9,640	*
69		22	36		-	9	5.6		No					0	0	0	2	3	6	10	14	19	23	22			7,191	*
68		22	37		-	8	4.2		No						0	0	1	3	5	9	13	18	24	27			5,086	*
67		21	37		-	9	3.2		No					0	0	0	1	2	4	8	13	17	27	28			3,644	*
66		21	38		-	8	2.1		No						0	0	1	1	4	7	12	17	26	33			2,539	*
65		20	38		-	9	1.9		No					0		0	0	2	3	6	10	16	28	36			1,729	*
64		20	39		-	8	2.4		No								1	2	3	5	9	15	24	42			1,155	*
63		19	39		-	9	1.4		No								0	1	2	3	8	13	25	47			778	*
62		19	40		-	8	0.8		No					0				1	3	4	9	15	24	44			518	*
61		18	40		-	9	0.6		No									1	2	2	7	12	25	52			313	*
60		18	41		-	8	0.5		No									1	1	2	8	13	29	47			191	*
59		17	41		-	9	Out		No												7	11	27	55			117	*
58		18	43		-	6	Out		No										1	1	5	9	29	55			77	*
57		17	43		-	7	Out		No											2	6	10	16	65			49	*
56		15	42		-	10	Out		No										3		7	7	21	62			29	*
55		16	44		-	7	Out		No												8	17	8	67			12	*
54		15	44		-	8	Out		No												11		11	78			9	*
53		15	45		-	7	Out		No														67	33			3	*
52		15	46		-	6	Out		No															100			5	*
51		14	46		-	7	Out		No														100				1
16	-50						Out		No															100			176	*

Total:							57.1	%	0.0	%	0	0	1	4	10	14	15	14	12	10	8	6	4	2			2,110,440

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday	None

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Florida vs Edmonton	+0.7+0.2+0.1-0.4-0.4-0.5
Washington vs NY Islanders	+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0*+0.0-0.0
Montreal vs St. Louis	+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0*-0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

None

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

121	-150						100
120		48	11		-	8	67		33
119		48	12		-	7	20	60	10		10
118		47	12		-	8	18	18	45	18
117		47	13		-	7	22	26	35	17
116		46	13		-	8	14	34	28	10	14
115		45	13		-	9	2	26	41	18	11	2
114		45	14		-	8	3	12	32	27	19	6	2
113		45	15		-	7	1	8	21	33	23	12	2	1
112		44	15		-	8	0	5	13	24	31	16	8	2	0	0
111		44	16		-	7		1	6	17	27	25	16	5	2
110		43	16		-	8		1	3	10	22	27	23	10	4	1
109		42	16		-	9		0	1	5	14	27	25	17	8	1	0
108		42	17		-	8		0	1	3	9	18	27	24	13	3	1
107		41	17		-	9			0	1	4	12	23	28	21	9	2	0
106		41	18		-	8				0	1	7	15	27	27	15	6	1	0
105		40	18		-	9				0	1	3	10	21	29	23	11	2	0
104		40	19		-	8					0	1	5	15	26	30	18	5	1	0
103		39	19		-	9					0	0	2	8	21	32	26	10	1	0
102		39	20		-	8					0	0	1	4	15	28	32	17	3	0
101		38	20		-	9					0	0	0	2	8	24	34	24	6	0	0
100		38	21		-	8							0	1	4	16	34	32	11	1	0
99		37	21		-	9							0	0	2	10	28	38	18	3	0	0
98		37	22		-	8							0	0	1	5	22	39	26	6	1	0	0
97		36	22		-	9								0	0	3	14	37	33	11	2	0	0	0
96		36	23		-	8								0	0	1	9	31	37	18	4	0	0
95		35	23		-	9									0	0	5	23	38	25	7	1	0	0
94		35	24		-	8									0	0	2	16	35	31	13	3	0	0
93		34	24		-	9										0	1	9	29	34	20	6	1	0	0
92		34	25		-	8										0	0	5	21	34	26	11	3	0	0
91		33	25		-	9											0	2	14	29	30	17	6	1	0	0
90		33	26		-	8											0	1	8	22	31	24	11	3	0	0	0
89		32	26		-	9											0	0	4	15	27	28	18	6	1	0	0
88		32	27		-	8											0	0	2	8	20	29	24	12	4	1	0	0
87		31	27		-	9												0	1	4	13	24	28	19	9	3	0	0	0	0
86		31	28		-	8												0	0	1	7	17	26	25	15	6	2	0	0
85		30	28		-	9												0	0	0	3	10	20	27	22	12	4	1	0	0
84		30	29		-	8													0	0	1	5	13	23	26	19	9	3	1	0	0
83		29	29		-	9														0	0	2	7	16	24	24	16	7	2	0	0	0
82		29	30		-	8														0	0	1	3	9	18	25	23	14	6	1	0	0	0	0
81		28	30		-	9															0	0	1	4	11	20	26	21	12	4	1	0	0
80		28	31		-	8															0	0	0	1	5	13	23	25	19	9	3	1	0	0
79		27	31		-	9																0	0	0	2	7	16	24	25	17	7	2	0	0
78		27	32		-	8																	0	0	1	3	9	19	26	23	14	5	1	0	0
77		26	32		-	9																		0	0	1	4	11	22	26	22	11	3	1	0
76		26	33		-	8																			0	0	1	5	15	25	27	18	7	2	0	0
75		25	33		-	9																			0	0	0	2	8	19	27	26	14	4	0	0
74		25	34		-	8																				0	0	1	4	12	23	29	21	8	2	0
73		24	34		-	9																				0	0	0	1	6	17	29	28	15	3	0
72		24	35		-	8																					0	0	0	2	10	24	32	23	7	1
71		23	35		-	9																						0	0	1	6	18	31	30	13	1
70		23	36		-	8																							0	0	3	11	27	36	20	3
69		22	36		-	9																							0	0	1	6	21	38	29	6
68		22	37		-	8																								0	0	4	15	36	36	9
67		21	37		-	9																									0	2	10	31	42	16
66		21	38		-	8																										1	6	23	48	22
65		20	38		-	9																										0	3	21	47	29
64		20	39		-	8																										0	1	14	47	38
63		19	39		-	9																											1	9	43	47
62		19	40		-	8																											1	6	41	52
61		18	40		-	9																											1	2	38	59
60		18	41		-	8																												2	28	70
59		17	41		-	9																												1	20	79
58		18	43		-	6																													23	77
57		17	43		-	7																												2	12	86
56		15	42		-	10																													17	83
55		16	44		-	7																														100
54		16	45		-	6																													22	78
52	-53																																			100
51		14	46		-	7																													100
16	-50																																			100

Total:							0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	3	5	8	9	9	9	8	7	7	6	5	5	4	3	3	2	2	1	1	0