Detroit Red Wings Playoff Chances 2013-2014

Lost to Winnipeg 4-5, playoff odds down 2.3 to 90.7%
21 points   10 5-1

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Winnipeg 5 Detroit 4 -1.8
-2.8
-0.3
NY Rangers 4 Anaheim 1 *-0.1
+0.4
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Boston vs Dallas-0.2*-0.0*-0.0*+0.1*-0.0+0.2
Montreal vs St. Louis-0.2*+0.0*+0.0*+0.2*-0.0+0.1
+0.2*+0.2*+0.1*-0.1*-0.1-0.1
San Jose vs Buffalo+0.2*-0.0*-0.0*-0.1*-0.0-0.2
Florida vs Edmonton-0.2*+0.2*-0.0*+0.1*+0.0+0.1
Carolina vs Philadelphia+0.1*+0.1*+0.2*-0.1*+0.0-0.1
Minnesota vs Calgary*+0.0-0.2-0.2*-0.2*-0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Detroit finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
139-153InYes100178*
138565-5InYes86147*
136-137InYes10020*
135557-4InYes95540*
134558-3InYes98266*
133548-4InYes973140*
132538-5In99.7%97210288*
131539-4In99.1950400467*
130529-5In98.494150772*
1295210-499.9%97.592161001,329*
1285110-5In94.991271001,936*
1275010-699.993.488308100002,965*
1265011-599.990.28639100004,475*
1254911-6100.085.5835010200006,483*
1244912-599.979.880701120009,149*
1234812-699.971.9769011310000012,841*
1224813-5100.062.5701311331000017,503*
1214713-699.953.5651610144100000022,902*
1204714-599.942.158202014410000029,547*
1194614-699.832.15123301551000000037,623*
1184615-599.722.144275016621000000046,010*
1174515-699.614.4363070167210000000055,521*
1164516-599.68.2293210117821000000065,347*
1154416-699.34.4233313217831000000075,363*
1144417-599.22.0173217217932100000085,849*
1134317-698.90.812292141710421000000094,919*
1124318-598.40.382523617115210000000103,193*
1114218-697.90.152125917126311000000109,497*
1104219-597.30.0317261217126321000000114,379*
1094119-696.50.0213261516137421000000116,937*
1084019-795.50.019241816148521100000117,114*
1074020-694.3No16222215149631100000114,903*
1063920-792.8No041925141410642100000111,388*
1053921-691.2No031627141410742110000105,444*
1043821-789.2No02132913141185321000098,298*
1033822-687.2No01103012141296421000088,935*
1023722-784.7No01830111412107421100080,040*
1013723-681.6No00629101312118531100070,696*
1003623-778.4No0042991313119632100061,256*
993624-675.6No00328812131210642110051,838*
983524-771.9No0226711131310753210042,995*
973525-667.7No0124610131311864210035,314*
963425-763.3No012359121412964311028,543*
953426-659.9No012158121312975321022,407*
943326-755.7No00120481113131086421017,372*
933327-650.6No0017371112131297532113,248*
923227-746.8No0015261013131110753219,983*
913228-641.7No001425911131310964217,529*
903128-738.9No01225811131311975315,343*
893129-632.4No011146101412121185423,799*
883029-729.5No08146101313131286522,665*
873030-625.7No8125912131212108531,877*
862930-721.0No6124711131313109631,258*
852931-619.9No602481113121013984840*
842831-717.8No05114811111213131084533*
832832-615.1No301397111316101287364*
822732-714.9No2014641013121115119202*
812733-612.3No31178912121216109146*
802633-74.6No2223515151412201165*
792533-83.8No2281312101217151052*
782635-53.8No41282719151526*
772434-88.7No44449994391323*
762233-1160.0No204020205*
752537-4OutNo10203010102010*
742336-7OutNo5025254*
732236-825.0No252525254*
21-70OutNo100175*
Total:90.7%5.3%10131416141175421110002,110,440

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Winnipeg 5 Detroit 4 +0.6
TuesdayNone

What If

None

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
133-153100
132538-51000
131539-4991
130529-5982
1295210-4982
1285110-59550
1275010-69360
1265011-5901000
1254911-6861410
1244912-5801920
1234812-6722530
1224813-56231600
1214713-65336910
1204714-5424115200
1194614-6324121510
1184615-52239279200
1174515-6143432154100
1164516-5827332282000
1154416-64183127144100
1144417-521226302082000
1134317-6161829261451000
1124318-503112429219300
1114218-6016172726166100
1104219-500310222822113000
1094119-60015152627187100
1084019-700029202824123000
1074020-6001413252919710
1063920-70002719292613300
1053921-6001413263120610
1043821-700271932271110
1033822-6001313283318300
1023722-700017223626710
1013723-6000416343411100
1003623-7000210283818300
993624-60015214026610
983524-700215363312200
973525-60019313718400
963425-70042438248100
953426-60216343113300
943326-701102734206100
933327-600520332612300
923227-7021328301872000
913228-6016213125124100
903128-703132529198200
893129-6017182626156100
883029-70131122272211310
873030-601413252618930
862930-7017162526167200
852931-6131021252213510
842831-7151120261914410
832832-6027132125181022
822732-70251622281853
812733-61361723261482
802633-7231522251896
792533-826153719192
782635-5882342154
772434-841717301749
762233-1120402020
752537-440203010
742336-7502525
732236-85050
702239-5100
21066-0100
Total:56789991010985211000000000000000