Dallas Stars Playoff Chances 2013-2014

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.1 to 72.7%

15 points 7 6-1

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Monday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Winnipeg 5 Detroit 4	-0.4

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Boston vs Dallas	-3.1-0.8-1.0+0.8+0.7+2.8		-0.2-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.2
Florida vs Edmonton	+0.5+0.3+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.4
San Jose vs Buffalo	-0.4-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.3
Phoenix vs Vancouver	-0.3-0.0-0.0+0.3+0.1+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Dallas finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

127	-151						In		99.4	%	100																176	*
124		52	11		-	5	In		Yes		50				50												2	*
123		52	12		-	4	In		85.7		86				14												7	*
122		51	12		-	5	In		68.8		69	25			6												16	*
121		49	11		-	8	In		56.5		83	13			4												23	*
120		49	12		-	7	In		51.1		56	16	4		20	4											45	*
119		49	13		-	6	In		40.5		52	17			27	4											84	*
118		48	13		-	7	In		27.9		52	23	5	1	15	4											129	*
117		47	13		-	8	In		15.4		37	32	4		20	5	0	0									246	*
116		47	14		-	7	In		8.1		26	31	8	1	27	6	1										369	*
115		46	14		-	8	In		4.5		24	30	12	1	26	6	1										578	*
114		46	15		-	7	99.9	%	2.4		18	31	14	1	27	7	1	0			0						901	*
113		45	15		-	8	In		1.0		10	29	17	4	29	9	2	0									1,357	*
112		45	16		-	7	100.0		0.2		9	24	19	4	32	10	2	0	0								2,073	*
111		44	16		-	8	100.0		0.1		6	21	20	6	35	10	1	0		0							3,027	*
110		44	17		-	7	99.6		0.1		3	18	21	8	35	12	2	1	0	0							4,384	*
109		43	17		-	8	99.6		0.0		3	13	21	10	36	13	3	1	0	0	0						6,124	*
108		43	18		-	7	99.6		0.0		1	10	21	12	36	15	4	1	0	0			0				8,286	*
107		42	18		-	8	99.5		No		1	7	19	14	37	16	4	1	0	0	0	0					11,515	*
106		42	19		-	7	99.2		No		0	5	16	16	37	18	5	2	1	0	0	0					15,230	*
105		41	19		-	8	98.8		No		0	3	14	17	37	19	6	2	1	0	0	0	0				19,858	*
104		41	20		-	7	98.7		No		0	2	11	18	37	21	7	3	1	0	0	0	0				25,138	*
103		40	20		-	8	98.3		No		0	1	9	18	36	22	8	3	1	0	0	0	0				31,786	*
102		40	21		-	7	97.6		No		0	1	7	18	35	23	10	4	2	1	0	0	0	0			38,561	*
101		39	21		-	8	96.8		No		0	0	5	18	33	25	11	5	2	1	0	0	0	0			46,802	*
100		39	22		-	7	96.2		No		0	0	4	17	32	25	12	5	2	1	0	0	0	0			55,011	*
99		38	22		-	8	95.0		No		0	0	3	16	31	26	13	6	3	1	0	0	0	0			64,280	*
98		37	22		-	9	93.7		No		0	0	2	15	29	26	14	7	4	2	1	0	0	0			73,151	*
97		37	23		-	8	92.5		No			0	2	13	27	26	16	9	4	2	1	0	0	0			82,594	*
96		36	23		-	9	90.5		No			0	1	12	25	26	16	10	5	2	1	0	0	0			90,763	*
95		36	24		-	8	88.7		No			0	1	11	23	26	17	11	6	3	1	1	0	0			98,287	*
94		35	24		-	9	86.5		No			0	1	10	21	25	18	12	7	4	2	1	0	0			103,624	*
93		35	25		-	8	83.9		No			0	0	8	19	24	19	13	8	5	2	1	0	0			107,989	*
92		34	25		-	9	81.0		No			0	0	7	17	23	19	14	9	5	3	1	1	0			111,253	*
91		34	26		-	8	78.0		No			0	0	6	15	22	19	15	10	6	3	2	1	0			111,585	*
90		33	26		-	9	74.7		No			0	0	5	14	21	19	15	11	7	4	2	1	0			110,627	*
89		33	27		-	8	70.8		No			0	0	5	12	20	19	16	12	8	5	3	1	0			107,657	*
88		32	27		-	9	67.2		No			0	0	4	10	18	19	16	13	9	6	3	1	0			102,208	*
87		32	28		-	8	63.3		No			0	0	3	9	16	18	16	14	10	7	4	2	1			96,935	*
86		31	28		-	9	59.3		No			0	0	3	8	15	17	17	14	11	8	5	2	1			89,142	*
85		31	29		-	8	55.1		No				0	2	7	13	16	17	15	12	9	6	3	1			80,565	*
84		30	29		-	9	50.8		No			0	0	2	5	12	15	16	15	13	10	7	4	1			71,406	*
83		30	30		-	8	46.8		No			0	0	2	4	10	14	16	16	14	11	7	4	2			63,495	*
82		29	30		-	9	42.1		No				0	1	4	9	13	15	16	14	12	9	5	2			54,328	*
81		29	31		-	8	38.2		No				0	1	3	8	12	14	15	14	13	10	6	3			45,926	*
80		28	31		-	9	34.5		No				0	1	2	7	11	14	15	15	14	11	7	3			38,422	*
79		28	32		-	8	30.9		No				0	1	2	5	9	13	15	15	14	12	8	4			31,275	*
78		27	32		-	9	27.3		No				0	1	1	4	9	12	14	15	15	13	10	5			25,212	*
77		27	33		-	8	23.6		No					0	1	4	7	11	13	15	16	15	11	6			19,949	*
76		26	33		-	9	20.3		No				0	0	1	3	6	9	13	15	16	16	13	8			15,612	*
75		26	34		-	8	17.6		No				0	1	1	3	5	9	12	14	16	17	14	10			11,938	*
74		25	34		-	9	15.1		No				0	0	1	2	4	8	11	14	16	17	15	11			8,814	*
73		25	35		-	8	12.7		No					0	1	1	4	7	10	13	15	17	18	13			6,512	*
72		24	35		-	9	11.0		No					0	0	1	3	6	9	12	15	19	18	16			4,737	*
71		24	36		-	8	8.8		No					0	0	1	3	4	7	12	15	18	21	18			3,369	*
70		23	36		-	9	7.3		No					0	0	1	2	4	7	11	16	18	21	20			2,256	*
69		23	37		-	8	5.7		No						0	1	1	3	5	9	15	18	23	23			1,620	*
68		23	38		-	7	4.6		No					0	0	0	1	3	5	8	15	19	23	25			1,107	*
67		22	38		-	8	3.6		No					0		0	1	2	2	9	15	17	23	31			731	*
66		22	39		-	7	2.7		No					0	0	0	1	1	3	7	11	18	24	35			439	*
65		21	39		-	8	1.5		No								0	1	3	4	10	20	27	34			274	*
64		20	39		-	9	3.6		No								1	3	3	3	7	19	23	41			197	*
63		20	40		-	8	1.0		No									1	1	1	11	22	19	45			97	*
62		20	41		-	7	1.5		No									2		5	5	14	33	42			66	*
61		19	41		-	8	2.3		No									2	2	7	5	12	26	47			43	*
60		17	40		-	11	Out		No													14	19	67			21	*
59		19	43		-	6	Out		No													27	9	64			11	*
58		19	44		-	5	Out		No											25	25		25	25			4	*
57		17	43		-	8	Out		No													29	14	57			7	*
56		15	42		-	11	Out		No														33	67			3	*
15	-55						Out		No															100			181	*

Total:							72.7	%	0.0	%	0	0	2	8	17	19	15	12	9	7	5	3	2	1			2,110,440

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday	None

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Boston vs Dallas	+0.6+0.1+0.1-0.4-0.4-0.5
Montreal vs St. Louis	+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0*+0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

None

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

128	-151						100
127		53	9		-	6		100
124		52	11		-	5	100
123		52	12		-	4	86	14
122		49	10		-	9	69	31
121		49	11		-	8	57	35	9
120		49	12		-	7	51	36	11	2
119		49	13		-	6	40	35	19	6
118		48	13		-	7	28	41	23	5	2	1
117		47	13		-	8	15	37	30	13	5
116		47	14		-	7	8	31	30	22	7	1
115		46	14		-	8	4	20	32	26	15	2	1
114		46	15		-	7	2	13	27	28	20	8	2	0
113		45	15		-	8	1	6	20	29	27	11	5	1	0
112		45	16		-	7	0	3	11	22	28	23	9	3	0	0
111		44	16		-	8	0	1	6	16	27	26	15	6	2	0	0
110		44	17		-	7	0	0	3	10	21	28	21	13	4	1	0
109		43	17		-	8	0	0	1	5	14	23	27	19	8	2	0	0
108		43	18		-	7	0		0	2	7	18	26	25	15	5	1	0
107		42	18		-	8			0	1	3	11	23	28	21	10	3	0	0
106		42	19		-	7			0	0	1	6	15	26	28	18	6	1	0
105		41	19		-	8			0	0	0	3	9	21	29	25	11	2	0
104		41	20		-	7				0	0	1	4	14	27	30	18	5	0	0
103		40	20		-	8					0	0	2	8	21	31	26	10	1	0	0
102		40	21		-	7				0	0	0	1	4	14	29	32	17	3	0
101		39	21		-	8					0	0	0	2	8	23	35	25	6	0	0
100		39	22		-	7							0	1	4	16	34	33	11	1	0
99		38	22		-	8							0	0	2	10	29	38	17	3	0	0
98		37	22		-	9							0	0	1	6	22	41	25	5	0	0
97		37	23		-	8							0	0	0	3	15	39	32	9	1	0	0
96		36	23		-	9								0	0	1	10	33	38	15	3	0	0
95		36	24		-	8									0	0	5	26	40	22	6	1	0	0
94		35	24		-	9									0	0	3	18	38	29	10	2	0	0	0
93		35	25		-	8										0	1	11	32	33	17	4	1	0	0
92		34	25		-	9									0	0	0	6	25	34	24	9	2	0	0
91		34	26		-	8										0	0	3	16	31	29	15	4	1	0	0
90		33	26		-	9										0	0	1	10	25	31	22	9	2	0	0	0
89		33	27		-	8											0	1	5	17	28	27	16	5	1	0	0	0
88		32	27		-	9											0	0	2	10	22	28	22	11	3	1	0	0	0
87		32	28		-	8												0	1	5	15	25	27	18	8	2	0	0	0
86		31	28		-	9												0	0	2	8	18	26	24	14	5	1	0	0
85		31	29		-	8												0	0	1	3	11	21	26	21	11	4	1	0	0		0
84		30	29		-	9												0	0	0	1	5	14	23	25	18	9	3	1	0	0
83		30	30		-	8														0	0	2	7	16	25	24	16	7	2	0	0	0
82		29	30		-	9														0	0	1	3	9	18	25	22	14	6	1	0	0
81		29	31		-	8														0	0	0	1	4	11	20	25	21	12	4	1	0	0
80		28	31		-	9																0	0	1	5	13	22	25	19	10	3	1	0	0
79		28	32		-	8																	0	0	2	7	16	24	25	17	8	2	0	0	0
78		27	32		-	9																	0	0	1	3	9	18	26	23	14	5	1	0
77		27	33		-	8																		0	0	1	4	10	20	26	22	12	4	1	0	0
76		26	33		-	9																			0	0	1	5	14	24	27	19	8	2	0
75		26	34		-	8																				0	0	2	8	18	27	26	14	4	1	0
74		25	34		-	9																				0	0	1	3	11	23	29	22	9	2	0
73		25	35		-	8																					0	0	1	5	16	28	29	16	4	0
72		24	35		-	9																					0	0	0	3	9	22	32	25	9	1
71		24	36		-	8																								1	4	15	31	32	16	2
70		23	36		-	9																								0	2	11	25	37	20	4
69		23	37		-	8																									1	5	19	37	33	6
68		23	38		-	7																									0	4	14	34	37	11
67		22	38		-	8																									0	0	9	31	42	17
66		22	39		-	7																										0	5	25	45	25
65		21	39		-	8																											3	20	47	30
64		20	39		-	9																												13	41	46
63		20	40		-	8																												9	34	57
62		20	41		-	7																												5	36	59
61		19	41		-	8																													30	70
60		17	40		-	11																												10	19	71
59		19	43		-	6																													27	73
58		19	44		-	5																														100
57		17	43		-	8																													14	86
15	-56																																			100

Total:							0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	3	6	11	13	12	10	8	7	5	4	4	3	2	2	1	1	1	1	0	0	0