Columbus Blue Jackets Playoff Chances 2013-2014 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.3 to 52.2%

18 points 8 3-2

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Monday	None

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Columbus vs Ottawa	+4.5+0.8+1.0*-0.5-0.7-4.6		+1.5+1.3+1.5*-0.2-0.6-1.8		+0.5+0.1+0.2-0.1-0.1-0.5
San Jose vs Buffalo	+0.3+0.1-0.0+0.1+0.1-0.3
Montreal vs St. Louis	-0.3+0.1-0.2+0.4-0.1+0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Columbus finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

124	-156						In		Yes		100																130	*
123		49	13		-	7	In		Yes		98				2												42	*
122		49	14		-	6	In		Yes		98				1		1										83	*
121		48	14		-	7	In		99.2	%	97				2	1											132	*
120		47	14		-	8	In		99.0		96	0			3												204	*
119		47	15		-	7	In		99.7		96				3	0											324	*
118		46	15		-	8	In		99.1		95	0			4	0	0										465	*
117		46	16		-	7	In		97.4		94	1			4	1											720	*
116		45	16		-	8	99.8	%	97.2		92	1			6	1	0		0								1,019	*
115		45	17		-	7	99.9		94.5		90	2			7	1	0		0								1,472	*
114		44	17		-	8	99.8		92.6		87	3	0		7	2	0	0	0	0							2,014	*
113		44	18		-	7	99.9		88.6		83	5	0		9	2	1	0	0								2,677	*
112		43	18		-	8	99.8		83.4		80	7	0		10	3	1	0	0	0							3,752	*
111		42	18		-	9	99.6		76.8		74	8	1		12	3	1	1	0	0	0	0					4,815	*
110		42	19		-	8	99.2		69.2		67	12	1		13	4	2	1	0	0	0	0	0				6,474	*
109		42	20		-	7	98.8		59.6		61	15	1		13	5	2	1	1	0	0	0	0				8,065	*
108		41	20		-	8	98.3		49.3		54	18	2	0	14	6	3	1	1	0	0	0	0				10,133	*
107		40	20		-	9	97.5		37.2		46	21	3	0	14	8	4	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	12,353	*
106		40	21		-	8	96.6		27.1		38	23	4	0	15	9	5	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	0		14,903	*
105		39	21		-	9	94.6		17.0		31	24	6	0	15	9	6	4	2	1	1	0	0	0	0		17,886	*
104		39	22		-	8	93.2		9.5		23	25	8	1	15	10	7	4	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	20,352	*
103		38	22		-	9	90.1		4.6		17	24	10	1	14	11	8	6	4	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	23,204	*
102		38	23		-	8	87.0		1.8		13	22	12	2	13	12	9	7	5	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	25,922	*
101		37	23		-	9	83.2		0.5		8	18	13	3	13	12	10	7	6	4	3	2	1	1	0	0	28,643	*
100		37	24		-	8	79.0		0.1		5	15	14	4	11	11	10	9	7	5	4	2	2	1	0	0	31,044	*
99		36	24		-	9	73.6		0.0		3	11	14	5	10	11	11	9	8	6	5	3	2	1	1	0	33,164	*
98		36	25		-	8	68.2		0.0		2	8	13	6	9	10	11	10	9	7	6	4	3	2	1	0	34,767	*
97		35	25		-	9	62.3		No		1	6	12	7	7	9	10	10	10	8	7	5	4	2	1	0	35,737	*
96		35	26		-	8	55.5		No		0	3	9	8	6	9	10	10	10	9	8	7	5	3	2	1	36,369	*
95		34	26		-	9	48.7		No		0	2	7	8	5	7	9	10	10	10	9	8	6	5	3	1	36,305	*
94		34	27		-	8	42.2		No		0	1	5	8	4	6	8	9	11	10	10	9	7	6	4	2	35,630	*
93		33	27		-	9	36.8		No		0	0	4	8	3	5	7	9	10	10	11	10	9	7	5	2	34,064	*
92		33	28		-	8	30.8		No		0	0	2	7	2	4	6	8	9	10	11	11	10	9	6	3	32,225	*
91		32	28		-	9	25.5		No			0	2	6	2	4	5	7	9	10	11	11	11	10	8	4	30,148	*
90		32	29		-	8	20.7		No			0	1	5	1	3	4	6	8	9	11	12	12	12	9	6	27,749	*
89		31	29		-	9	15.7		No			0	0	4	1	2	3	5	7	9	11	12	14	13	12	8	25,250	*
88		31	30		-	8	12.5		No				0	3	1	1	3	4	6	8	10	12	14	15	14	10	22,289	*
87		30	30		-	9	9.9		No				0	3	0	1	2	4	5	7	9	12	14	15	16	13	19,248	*
86		30	31		-	8	6.7		No			0	0	2	0	1	2	2	4	6	8	11	14	17	18	16	16,805	*
85		29	31		-	9	5.1		No				0	1	0	1	1	2	3	5	7	10	13	17	20	19	14,105	*
84		29	32		-	8	3.4		No				0	1	0	0	1	1	3	4	6	9	13	17	22	24	11,672	*
83		28	32		-	9	2.3		No					1	0	0	0	1	2	3	5	8	11	18	23	27	9,443	*
82		28	33		-	8	2.0		No					0	0	0	0	1	1	2	4	6	10	15	25	34	7,737	*
81		27	33		-	9	1.3		No					0		0	0	1	1	2	3	6	10	16	25	36	6,064	*
80		27	34		-	8	0.9		No					0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	4	7	14	26	44	4,755	*
79		26	34		-	9	0.5		No					0		0	0	0	1	1	1	3	6	12	25	51	3,597	*
78		26	35		-	8	0.4		No					0		0	0	0	0	1	2	3	5	12	26	52	2,710	*
77		25	35		-	9	0.2		No					0			0	0	0	0	1	2	5	9	23	60	1,988	*
76		25	36		-	8	0.1		No					0		0				0	1	1	4	7	20	68	1,488	*
75		24	36		-	9	0.1		No									0		0	0	1	2	7	19	70	1,049	*
74		24	37		-	8	0.1		No									0	0		0	0	2	6	18	73	735	*
73		24	38		-	7	Out		No												0		1	3	16	79	493	*
72		22	37		-	10	Out		No													0	1	5	15	79	360	*
71		23	39		-	7	Out		No														1	1	12	85	234	*
70		22	39		-	8	Out		No															2	11	87	162	*
69		22	40		-	7	Out		No														1	1	9	89	91	*
68		20	39		-	10	Out		No																7	93	69	*
67		21	41		-	7	Out		No												2			2	5	91	44	*
66		21	42		-	6	Out		No																6	94	17	*
64	-65						Out		No																	100	22	*
63		18	42		-	9	Out		No																17	83	6	*
18	-62						Out		No																	100	61	*

Total:							52.2	%	6.4	%	9	7	6	4	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	5	703,480

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday	None

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Columbus vs Ottawa	-0.9-0.8-0.9+0.1+0.2+1.1
Phoenix vs Vancouver	+0.0+0.1+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

None

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

122	-156						100
121		48	14		-	7	99	1
120		47	14		-	8	99	1
119		47	15		-	7	100	0
118		46	15		-	8	99	1
117		46	16		-	7	97	3
116		45	16		-	8	97	3
115		45	17		-	7	94	6
114		44	17		-	8	93	7	0
113		44	18		-	7	89	11	0	0
112		43	18		-	8	83	16	1	0
111		42	18		-	9	77	21	3	0
110		42	19		-	8	69	26	4	0
109		42	20		-	7	60	32	7	1	0
108		41	20		-	8	49	37	11	2	0
107		40	20		-	9	37	40	18	4	1	0
106		40	21		-	8	27	39	24	7	2	0
105		39	21		-	9	17	36	29	13	4	1	0	0
104		39	22		-	8	9	27	32	21	8	2	0	0	0
103		38	22		-	9	5	18	30	27	14	5	1	0	0
102		38	23		-	8	2	10	23	28	22	11	3	1	0	0
101		37	23		-	9	1	4	13	24	26	19	9	3	1	0	0
100		37	24		-	8	0	1	6	16	24	24	17	8	3	1	0	0
99		36	24		-	9	0	0	2	7	16	23	23	16	8	3	1	0	0	0
98		36	25		-	8	0	0	0	2	8	16	23	23	16	8	3	1	0	0	0	0
97		35	25		-	9		0	0	1	2	7	15	22	23	17	9	4	1	0	0	0
96		35	26		-	8			0	0	0	2	6	13	20	23	18	11	5	1	0	0	0
95		34	26		-	9				0	0	0	1	5	11	19	23	20	13	6	2	0	0	0
94		34	27		-	8						0	0	1	3	9	16	21	21	15	8	3	1	0	0	0
93		33	27		-	9						0	0	0	1	2	6	13	20	22	18	11	5	1	0	0
92		33	28		-	8							0	0	0	0	1	5	11	17	22	20	14	7	2	1	0	0	0
91		32	28		-	9									0	0	0	1	3	8	15	21	22	16	9	4	1	0	0	0
90		32	29		-	8									0	0	0	0	1	2	6	12	19	22	19	12	5	2	0	0	0
89		31	29		-	9												0	0	0	1	4	10	17	22	21	14	7	2	1	0	0
88		31	30		-	8													0	0	0	1	3	8	16	21	22	16	9	3	1	0	0
87		30	30		-	9															0	0	1	2	6	14	21	23	18	10	4	1	0	0
86		30	31		-	8																0	0	0	2	6	13	21	23	19	11	4	1	0	0
85		29	31		-	9																	0	0	0	2	5	13	21	24	20	10	3	1	0
84		29	32		-	8																			0	0	1	5	13	22	26	19	10	3	0	0
83		28	32		-	9																			0		0	2	6	15	24	26	18	8	2	0
82		28	33		-	8																					0	1	2	8	17	26	26	15	5	1
81		27	33		-	9																					0	0	1	3	9	22	29	25	9	2
80		27	34		-	8																							0	1	5	14	27	30	18	4
79		26	34		-	9																								0	2	8	21	33	27	9
78		26	35		-	8																								0	1	4	15	33	34	13
77		25	35		-	9																									0	2	9	29	40	21
76		25	36		-	8																										1	5	22	43	30
75		24	36		-	9																										0	3	18	39	41
74		24	37		-	8																										0	2	9	41	48
73		24	38		-	7																											0	6	33	60
72		22	37		-	10																											0	3	29	68
71		23	39		-	7																											0	3	26	71
70		22	39		-	8																												1	19	81
69		22	40		-	7																												1	9	90
68		20	39		-	10																													10	90
67		21	41		-	7																													9	91
66		21	42		-	6																													6	94
18	-65																																			100

Total:							6	6	6	5	5	5	5	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	2	2	2	2	2	2	1	1	1	1