Chicago Blackhawks Playoff Chances 2013-2014 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.1 to 54.6%
11 points   5 9-1

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

MondayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Montreal vs St. Louis+0.4*-0.2*+0.3*-0.1*-0.3-0.4
San Jose vs Buffalo-0.4*-0.2*+0.2*+0.0*+0.3+0.3
Boston vs Dallas+0.3*+0.3*+0.2*-0.2*-0.2-0.4

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Chicago finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
115-145In97.9%10097*
1144812-7In89.396428*
1134712-8In97.898245*
1124713-7In83.39334102*
1114613-8In71.18884142*
1104614-7In68.89082253*
1094615-6In58.68112160389*
1084515-7In46.7761715100582*
1074415-899.9%34.67120107100850*
1064416-799.926.167222810001,173*
1054316-899.914.157283091001,733*
1044317-799.910.052295010210002,471*
1034217-899.74.8413281124100003,373*
1024218-799.81.633361111341100004,378*
1014118-899.40.72636142145210005,615*
1004119-799.20.1203518315621000007,391*
994019-899.0No133122417731100009,326*
984020-798.2No8272571784210000011,643*
973920-897.2No52226917105311000014,096*
963921-796.0No317261218116421100016,785*
953821-894.5No112251517127432100019,615*
943721-992.6No18231816138632110022,650*
933722-889.9No05192016139743210025,637*
923723-786.3No031522141311864211028,519*
913623-882.5No021222131311975321030,793*
903523-977.9No018221213121086421033,028*
893524-872.9No016211012121197532034,717*
883525-766.9No04208111211109642136,341*
873425-861.1No031771012121110863136,737*
863325-954.3No02156911121211974236,940*
853326-848.4No011358101212121196335,812*
843226-941.6No011147911121312107434,989*
833227-834.9No00935810121313129533,287*
823127-929.7No0724791113141412731,059*
813128-823.6No0613581013151514928,730*
803028-919.6No0513579121516161125,892*
793029-815.6No0412469121417181422,864*
782929-911.9No0301357101418211719,715*
772930-88.9No201246101318222117,257*
762830-96.9No020123581218242614,247*
752831-85.1No10112471118253012,171*
742731-93.5No100123691626369,778*
732732-82.4No100012581527417,944*
722632-91.7No000012371327466,156*
712633-81.1No00011351226524,780*
702533-90.5No00001251025583,774*
692534-80.4No000114923622,742*
682535-70.1No00013720692,007*
672435-80.3No000012619721,550*
662436-7OutNo11418761,076*
652336-8OutNo1231579692*
642236-90.2No00031086508*
632237-8OutNo141284317*
622238-7OutNo0011088223*
612138-8OutNo11188159*
602038-9OutNo199101*
592039-8OutNo289166*
582040-7OutNo39731*
571839-10OutNo59520*
11-56OutNo10084*
Total:54.6%0.3%247127877788887703,480

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

MondayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Phoenix vs Vancouver+0.0+0.0*-0.1*+0.0*-0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

None

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
116-145100
1154811-88515
1144812-78911
1134712-8982
1124713-783161
1114613-871245
1104614-7692821
1094615-6593461
1084515-747381221
1074415-835421850
1064416-72640249100
1054316-8143632144000
1044317-7102733197200
1034217-85182927154200
1024218-7210222723124100
1014118-814142326189310
1004119-7016162524177310
994019-80281623231683100
984020-700281623231683100
973920-800271421231794100
963921-70026132022191152000
953821-800015111922201362100
943721-90013816212116831000
933722-800126132022181152000
923723-7000151017222014721000
913623-8000013815212217941000
903523-9000126121922191252000
893524-80014101722211572100
883525-70013815212217941000
873425-800012613212318104100
863325-90002613202420114100
853326-80002512212520114100
843226-9000151221252010310
833227-80002614242619820
823127-9000271627271651
813128-800039212925112
803028-90014132731194
793029-800272134289
782929-9001414313615
772930-80029264123
762830-9005204333
752831-802134143
742731-90193752
732732-80063162
722632-9032770
712633-8022177
702533-911782
692534-811287
682535-70891
672435-8892
662436-7595
652336-80298
642236-9199
632237-8397
622238-7199
612138-8199
602038-9199
11-59100
Total:011111122222233333444555666777