Chicago Blackhawks Playoff Chances 2013-2014

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.08 to 34%
11 points   5 9-1

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Winnipeg 5 Detroit 4 -0.4
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Florida vs Edmonton+0.5+0.4*+0.3*-0.1*-0.0-0.5
Boston vs Dallas+0.5*+0.0*-0.0*+0.1*-0.1-0.4
San Jose vs Buffalo-0.4*+0.0*-0.2*+0.2*+0.2+0.3
Phoenix vs Vancouver-0.3*+0.1*-0.1*-0.2*-0.1+0.4

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Chicago finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
145670-0InYes100174
1124814-5InNo1001
1114714-6InNo1001
1104614-7InNo67333*
1094413-10InNo2550254*
1084616-5InNo171717506*
1074516-6InNo22303013423*
1064214-1197.7%No7182732112244*
1054215-10InNo9201834125265*
1044216-9InNo51625301932125*
1034116-1098.6No11422381651000207*
1024117-999.7No112223717920321*
1014017-1099.0No18203821931499*
1004018-998.2No00621362285200765*
993918-1097.0No04203524942101,121*
983919-996.8No03173425126210001,743*
973819-1095.6No002183224146211002,465*
963820-994.9No02163026147311003,765*
953821-892.5No011428261584210005,191*
943721-991.5No011227251795210007,098*
933621-1089.5No0111252517116310009,649*
923622-987.7No00102326181173210013,085*
913522-1085.0No082124191384210017,114*
903523-982.7No071923191495210022,017*
893423-1079.5No0617221915106310027,758*
883424-976.5No0515212016117421034,574*
873324-1072.7No0413191917128421042,019*
863325-968.8No00311181917139521049,908*
853225-1064.9No03101718171410631059,397*
843226-961.5No0291518181511742168,476*
833126-1056.6No0271317171612852177,231*
823127-952.4No0161216171613963185,761*
813027-1048.3No01511141716141073194,118*
803028-943.8No001491316171511841100,939*
792928-1039.5No01381215171613952106,465*
782929-935.5No013711141616141062110,349*
772829-1031.8No002610141616141173112,526*
762830-927.9No00259131516161384112,383*
752730-1024.7No001481115161614105110,624*
742731-921.2No001361014161715116106,397*
732631-1018.4No0135913161716137100,861*
722632-915.7No0012581215171714994,384*
712532-1013.3No00024711141718161085,774*
702533-911.0No00013610141719171277,736*
692433-109.3No001359131719191468,069*
682434-97.6No001248121620201658,839*
672334-106.1No001247111520221950,802*
662335-95.0No000136101520232142,104*
652235-104.0No00013591420252434,507*
642236-93.0No00012481319252727,758*
632136-102.4No00012461218273022,169*
622137-91.8No00001361118273416,986*
612037-101.3No0001251017273712,985*
602038-91.2No00012491528419,617*
591938-100.8No00012471527457,092*
581939-90.6No0002371327485,174*
571940-80.6No0001351225523,747*
561840-90.4No001351025562,554*
551841-80.1No00141023611,682*
541741-90.2No00123824621,150*
531742-8OutNo11392166701*
521743-70.4No000382068465*
511643-8OutNo0262072286*
501543-90.6No1231282175*
491544-8OutNo12232369100*
481545-7OutNo1058562*
471445-8OutNo3118636*
461345-9OutNo69416*
451245-10OutNo297114*
441246-9OutNo33673*
11-43OutNo100181*
Total:34.0%0.0%0001471011131312111072,110,440

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Winnipeg 5 Detroit 4 +0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Carolina vs Philadelphia+0.0+0.1*+0.0*-0.0*+0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

None

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
145670-0100
1124814-5100
1114714-6100
1104614-7333333
1094413-10252550
1084616-5176717
1074516-643530264
1064214-112183623182
1054215-10362540206
1044317-77172334145
1034116-1031120342461
1024117-961723331820
1014017-100282537226
1004018-91419362991
993918-1001113138153
983919-9017224024500
973819-100031738301020
963820-9019323716300
953821-8005263723710
943721-900317363012300
933621-1001102934196100
923622-900621332611310
913522-10002142830186100
903523-9017213024123100
893423-100041326281982000
883424-900171928251451000
873324-1000311232721103100
863325-900151525261782000
853225-1000281826241462000
843226-9001411212621124100
833126-10001513222619103100
823127-9000271624241782000
813027-10001381825231461000
803028-9001411202622124100
792928-1000015132226209300
782929-900027162525177200
772829-10000139192724134100
762830-90014122328219200
752730-100002616272716510
742731-90013102230231020
732631-1000151528301740
722632-90002923332481
712532-100015163132142
702533-9002102737213
692433-1000162138296
682434-900315363610
672334-10019324315
662335-9016264721
652235-10003204929
642236-902144836
632136-1001104544
622137-90064053
612037-10043660
602038-9023167
591938-10012574
581939-9012079
571940-801585
561840-901387
551841-81090
541741-90792
531742-8694
521743-7595
511643-8397
501543-9199
491544-8199
11-48100
Total:0000000001123344566788991095