Carolina Hurricanes Playoff Chances 2013-2014 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.001 to 43.2%

13 points 6 7-1

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Monday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Winnipeg 5 Detroit 4	+0.4

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Carolina vs Philadelphia	+4.5+1.2+0.7-0.5-0.8-4.7		+0.4+0.3+0.3*-0.1-0.2-0.4		+0.5+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.5
Boston vs Dallas	-0.3-0.5-0.2+0.3+0.3+0.4
Florida vs Edmonton	-0.3-0.0-0.2-0.1-0.1+0.4

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Carolina finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

118	-149						In		Yes		100																121	*
117		48	12		-	8	In		97.4	%	95				5												38	*
116		48	13		-	7	In		92.1		93	3			3	1											76	*
115		47	13		-	8	In		97.5		94	1			5												121	*
114		47	14		-	7	In		94.0		92	1			7												182	*
113		47	15		-	6	In		84.8		87	6			6		0										283	*
112		46	15		-	7	In		84.3		85	6			7	2		0									459	*
111		46	16		-	6	99.8	%	78.9		83	7	0		8	1	1		0								630	*
110		45	16		-	7	99.8		69.4		75	10	1		10	3	1	0	0								921	*
109		44	16		-	8	99.9		60.7		70	16	1		10	3	0	0	0		0						1,391	*
108		44	17		-	7	99.7		49.6		63	19	2	0	11	3	1	0	0	0	0						1,915	*
107		43	17		-	8	99.5		37.8		55	22	3	0	14	4	1	1	0	0	0	0					2,642	*
106		43	18		-	7	99.5		26.5		46	27	4	0	14	5	2	1	0		0		0				3,526	*
105		42	18		-	8	99.0		17.5		38	28	7	0	16	7	2	1	1	0	0	0					4,685	*
104		42	19		-	7	98.4		9.7		29	30	9	1	17	7	3	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0		6,159	*
103		41	19		-	8	97.6		4.9		22	30	12	1	18	9	4	2	1	0	0	0	0	0			7,742	*
102		41	20		-	7	96.4		1.8		16	28	15	2	17	10	5	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	0		9,739	*
101		40	20		-	8	94.4		0.6		11	26	17	3	17	11	6	4	2	2	1	0	0	0	0		11,991	*
100		40	21		-	7	92.4		0.1		7	21	19	5	17	11	8	5	3	2	1	1	0	0	0		14,478	*
99		39	21		-	8	90.3		0.0		4	17	19	7	17	12	8	6	4	3	2	1	0	0	0	0	17,385	*
98		39	22		-	7	86.8		No		2	12	19	9	15	13	9	7	5	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	20,273	*
97		38	22		-	8	83.6		No		1	9	17	11	14	13	10	8	6	4	3	2	1	1	0	0	22,832	*
96		38	23		-	7	77.9		No		1	6	15	12	12	12	11	9	7	5	4	3	2	1	0	0	25,851	*
95		37	23		-	8	73.5		No		0	3	12	13	12	12	11	9	8	6	5	3	2	1	1	0	28,253	*
94		36	23		-	9	67.7		No		0	2	9	13	10	12	11	10	9	7	6	4	3	2	1	0	30,953	*
93		36	24		-	8	61.6		No		0	1	7	14	8	10	11	10	9	8	7	5	4	2	1	0	33,234	*
92		35	24		-	9	54.6		No		0	1	4	13	7	9	10	11	10	9	8	7	5	3	2	1	34,960	*
91		35	25		-	8	48.5		No		0	0	3	12	6	8	10	10	10	10	9	8	6	5	2	1	36,376	*
90		34	25		-	9	42.1		No			0	2	10	4	7	9	10	10	10	10	9	8	6	3	2	36,686	*
89		34	26		-	8	35.7		No		0	0	1	9	3	6	8	9	10	11	11	10	9	7	5	2	36,584	*
88		33	26		-	9	29.8		No			0	1	7	3	5	7	8	10	10	11	11	10	9	6	3	35,490	*
87		33	27		-	8	24.6		No			0	0	6	2	4	5	7	9	10	11	12	11	10	8	4	34,360	*
86		32	27		-	9	19.5		No			0	0	4	2	3	4	6	8	9	11	12	13	12	10	6	32,952	*
85		32	28		-	8	15.1		No			0	0	3	1	2	3	5	7	9	10	12	13	14	12	8	30,446	*
84		31	28		-	9	11.7		No				0	3	1	2	3	4	6	8	10	12	14	15	14	10	27,914	*
83		31	29		-	8	8.8		No				0	2	0	1	2	3	5	7	9	11	14	16	17	13	25,357	*
82		30	29		-	9	6.5		No				0	1	0	1	2	2	4	6	8	11	14	17	19	16	22,424	*
81		30	30		-	8	4.8		No					1	0	1	1	2	3	5	7	9	13	17	21	20	19,643	*
80		29	30		-	9	3.2		No				0	1	0	0	1	1	3	4	6	8	13	17	22	24	16,854	*
79		29	31		-	8	2.3		No					0	0	0	1	1	2	3	5	7	12	17	24	29	14,347	*
78		28	31		-	9	1.7		No					0	0	0	0	1	1	2	4	6	10	15	26	34	11,723	*
77		28	32		-	8	1.1		No					0	0	0	0	0	1	2	3	5	9	15	24	40	9,603	*
76		27	32		-	9	0.6		No					0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	4	7	14	26	45	7,780	*
75		27	33		-	8	0.5		No					0		0	0	0	0	1	2	3	6	12	25	50	6,191	*
74		26	33		-	9	0.2		No					0		0	0	0	0	1	1	3	5	11	24	56	4,644	*
73		26	34		-	8	0.2		No					0			0	0	0	0	1	2	4	9	24	60	3,658	*
72		25	34		-	9	0.1		No					0				0	0	0	0	1	3	7	21	66	2,722	*
71		25	35		-	8	0.2		No					0		0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	7	19	70	2,029	*
70		25	36		-	7	Out		No										0	0	0	1	1	5	20	72	1,496	*
69		24	36		-	8	Out		No												0	0	1	5	15	79	1,078	*
68		24	37		-	7	Out		No													0	1	4	15	80	709	*
67		23	37		-	8	Out		No												0		1	3	12	84	544	*
66		22	37		-	9	Out		No															1	10	89	340	*
65		22	38		-	8	Out		No														0	1	8	91	222	*
64		21	38		-	9	Out		No														1	1	7	92	149	*
63		20	38		-	10	Out		No																8	92	90	*
62		20	39		-	9	Out		No															2	2	97	62	*
61		20	40		-	8	Out		No																	100	44	*
60		20	41		-	7	Out		No																4	96	23	*
13	-59						Out		No																	100	100	*

Total:							43.2	%	1.1	%	3	4	5	7	6	6	6	6	6	7	7	7	7	7	8	8	703,480

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday	None

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Carolina vs Philadelphia	-0.9-0.9-0.9*+0.1+0.2+1.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

None

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

118	-149						100
117		48	12		-	8	97	3
116		48	13		-	7	92	8
115		47	13		-	8	98	2	1
114		47	14		-	7	94	6
113		47	15		-	6	85	15	0
112		46	15		-	7	84	15	1
111		46	16		-	6	79	19	2	0
110		45	16		-	7	69	26	4	0
109		44	16		-	8	61	32	6	1	0
108		44	17		-	7	50	37	11	2	0	0
107		43	17		-	8	38	41	17	4	0
106		43	18		-	7	27	41	23	7	2	0
105		42	18		-	8	17	34	30	13	4	1	0
104		42	19		-	7	10	27	32	20	8	2	0	0
103		41	19		-	8	5	18	29	27	15	5	1	0	0
102		41	20		-	7	2	10	23	28	22	11	4	1	0	0
101		40	20		-	8	1	4	14	23	27	19	9	3	1	0	0
100		40	21		-	7	0	1	6	15	24	25	17	8	3	1	0
99		39	21		-	8	0	0	2	7	16	23	23	16	8	3	1	0	0
98		39	22		-	7		0	0	2	7	15	22	23	16	8	3	1	0	0	0
97		38	22		-	8			0	1	2	7	15	22	23	17	9	4	1	0	0	0
96		38	23		-	7				0	0	2	6	13	20	22	18	11	5	2	0	0	0
95		37	23		-	8					0	0	1	5	11	18	23	20	13	6	2	1	0	0
94		36	23		-	9					0	0	0	1	3	8	16	21	22	15	8	3	1	0	0	0
93		36	24		-	8						0	0	0	1	2	6	13	20	22	18	11	5	2	0	0	0
92		35	24		-	9								0	0	0	1	4	10	18	22	20	14	7	2	1	0	0	0
91		35	25		-	8									0	0	0	1	3	8	15	21	22	17	9	4	1	0	0	0
90		34	25		-	9											0	0	0	2	6	12	19	23	19	12	5	2	0	0
89		34	26		-	8												0	0	0	1	4	9	17	22	21	14	7	2	1	0	0	0
88		33	26		-	9													0	0	0	1	3	8	16	21	22	16	9	3	1	0	0	0
87		33	27		-	8														0	0	0	0	2	7	14	21	23	18	10	4	1	0	0
86		32	27		-	9															0	0	0	0	2	6	13	20	24	19	11	4	1	0	0
85		32	28		-	8																0	0	0	0	2	5	13	21	24	19	11	4	1	0	0
84		31	28		-	9																		0	0	0	2	6	13	21	25	20	10	3	1	0
83		31	29		-	8																				0	0	2	6	15	23	26	18	8	2	0
82		30	29		-	9																				0	0	0	2	7	17	26	26	15	5	1
81		30	30		-	8																						0	1	3	10	22	30	23	10	2
80		29	30		-	9																						0	0	1	5	14	27	30	18	4
79		29	31		-	8																							0	0	2	8	21	34	27	8
78		28	31		-	9																							0	0	1	4	14	32	35	14
77		28	32		-	8																								0	0	2	8	28	40	22
76		27	32		-	9																									0	1	5	20	42	32
75		27	33		-	8																									0	0	3	14	43	40
74		26	33		-	9																										0	1	10	38	50
73		26	34		-	8																										0	1	6	33	60
72		25	34		-	9																											0	4	27	69
71		25	35		-	8																											0	2	23	75
70		25	36		-	7																												1	18	80
69		24	36		-	8																												0	15	85
68		24	37		-	7																												0	10	90
67		23	37		-	8																													7	93
66		22	37		-	9																													6	94
65		22	38		-	8																												0	5	94
64		21	38		-	9																													2	98
63		20	38		-	10																													6	94
62		20	39		-	9																													2	98
13	-61																																			100

Total:							1	2	2	2	2	2	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	3