Carolina Hurricanes Playoff Chances 2013-2014

Did not play, playoff odds down 1.5 to 13.6%

13 points 6 7-1

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Monday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
NY Rangers 4 Anaheim 1	-0.2

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Carolina vs Philadelphia	+2.8+1.1+1.0-0.0-0.1-1.4		+0.0No*NoNoNoNo		+0.3+0.2+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.2
Montreal vs St. Louis	-0.2-0.0-0.4-0.2*-0.0+0.2
Boston vs Dallas	-0.3-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.2
San Jose vs Buffalo	+0.2-0.1+0.1-0.1+0.1-0.1
Columbus vs Ottawa	-0.2-0.1-0.1+0.2+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Carolina finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

149		68	0		-	0	In		Yes		100																174
117		48	12		-	8	In		No						100												1
116		50	15		-	3	In		No		67				33												3	*
114	-115						In		No					100													2	*
113		46	14		-	8	In		No						100												2	*
112		46	15		-	7	In		No			20	20		40		20										5	*
111		44	14		-	10	In		No			25	19	6	19	13	13	6									16	*
110		45	16		-	7	90.6	%	No		3	16	6	6	31	13	16		6			3					32	*
109		44	16		-	8	95.8		No		3	7	14	3	25	20	15	8	3	1							71	*
108		44	17		-	7	94.0		No		1	2	19	4	29	21	10	8	3	2		1					100	*
107		43	17		-	8	92.9		No		1	1	8	7	33	23	13	8	4	3							156	*
106		42	17		-	9	92.3		No		0	4	10	6	28	17	17	10	6	2	0						246	*
105		41	17		-	10	90.1		No		0	2	8	7	25	24	13	11	5	3	1	0					455	*
104		41	18		-	9	88.1		No			2	5	10	23	22	15	12	6	4	1	1		0			705	*
103		40	18		-	10	86.4		No			0	4	9	21	22	17	12	7	4	2	1	0	0			1,008	*
102		40	19		-	9	84.5		No		0	0	3	9	19	22	19	13	8	3	2	1	0	0	0		1,555	*
101		39	19		-	10	79.9		No			0	2	8	18	20	17	13	10	6	3	1	1	0	0		2,355	*
100		39	20		-	9	77.5		No			0	1	8	16	19	18	15	11	6	3	1	1	0	0		3,388	*
99		38	20		-	10	74.2		No			0	1	6	14	19	18	16	11	7	4	2	1	1	0	0	4,740	*
98		38	21		-	9	71.4		No			0	1	6	13	17	18	16	12	8	5	2	1	0	0	0	6,612	*
97		37	21		-	10	65.7		No			0	0	4	12	16	17	16	13	9	5	3	2	1	0	0	8,949	*
96		37	22		-	9	62.1		No			0	0	4	10	14	17	17	14	10	7	4	2	1	0	0	11,974	*
95		36	22		-	10	58.6		No				0	3	8	13	16	18	14	11	7	5	3	1	1	0	15,767	*
94		36	23		-	9	53.8		No			0	0	3	7	12	15	17	15	12	8	6	3	2	1	0	20,390	*
93		35	23		-	10	49.9		No				0	2	6	10	14	17	15	12	9	6	4	2	1	0	25,725	*
92		35	24		-	9	44.9		No				0	2	5	9	13	16	15	13	10	7	5	3	1	0	32,171	*
91		34	24		-	10	40.3		No			0	0	1	4	8	11	15	15	14	11	8	6	3	2	1	39,424	*
90		34	25		-	9	36.7		No			0	0	1	4	7	11	14	15	14	12	9	6	4	2	1	47,330	*
89		33	25		-	10	32.5		No				0	1	3	6	10	13	15	14	12	10	7	5	3	1	55,756	*
88		33	26		-	9	28.5		No				0	1	2	5	8	12	14	14	13	11	8	6	3	1	64,451	*
87		32	26		-	10	25.0		No				0	0	2	4	7	11	14	14	14	12	9	7	4	2	73,642	*
86		32	27		-	9	21.5		No				0	0	1	3	6	10	13	14	14	13	10	8	5	2	82,161	*
85		31	27		-	10	18.7		No				0	0	1	3	5	9	12	14	14	13	11	9	6	3	90,749	*
84		31	28		-	9	15.9		No				0	0	1	2	5	8	11	13	14	14	12	10	7	3	97,553	*
83		30	28		-	10	13.3		No				0	0	1	2	4	7	10	12	14	14	13	11	8	4	103,460	*
82		30	29		-	9	11.3		No					0	0	1	3	6	9	12	13	14	14	12	9	5	108,763	*
81		29	29		-	10	9.3		No				0	0	0	1	3	5	8	11	13	14	14	13	11	7	110,508	*
80		29	30		-	9	7.6		No				0	0	0	1	2	4	7	10	12	14	15	14	12	8	112,155	*
79		28	30		-	10	6.1		No					0	0	1	2	4	6	9	12	14	15	15	14	10	110,765	*
78		28	31		-	9	5.1		No					0	0	0	1	3	5	8	11	13	15	16	15	11	107,334	*
77		27	31		-	10	3.9		No				0	0	0	0	1	2	4	7	10	13	15	17	17	14	102,620	*
76		27	32		-	9	3.2		No					0	0	0	1	2	4	6	9	12	15	17	18	16	96,363	*
75		26	32		-	10	2.5		No					0	0	0	1	2	3	5	8	11	14	18	20	18	89,459	*
74		26	33		-	9	1.9		No					0	0	0	0	1	3	5	7	10	14	18	21	21	80,521	*
73		25	33		-	10	1.4		No					0	0	0	0	1	2	4	6	9	13	18	22	24	71,836	*
72		25	34		-	9	1.2		No					0	0	0	0	1	2	3	5	9	12	17	23	27	62,620	*
71		24	34		-	10	0.9		No					0	0	0	0	1	1	3	5	8	12	17	24	30	53,991	*
70		24	35		-	9	0.7		No					0	0	0	0	0	1	2	4	7	11	16	24	34	45,753	*
69		23	35		-	10	0.4		No					0	0	0	0	0	1	2	3	6	10	16	24	38	37,491	*
68		23	36		-	9	0.3		No					0	0	0	0	0	1	1	3	5	9	15	25	41	30,769	*
67		22	36		-	10	0.2		No					0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	4	8	14	25	45	24,441	*
66		22	37		-	9	0.2		No						0	0	0	0	0	1	2	4	7	13	25	48	19,373	*
65		21	37		-	10	0.2		No							0	0	0	0	1	2	3	6	12	25	52	14,821	*
64		21	38		-	9	0.1		No							0	0	0	0	0	1	2	5	11	23	56	11,388	*
63		20	38		-	10	0.1		No								0	0	0	0	1	2	5	9	23	59	8,466	*
62		20	39		-	9	0.1		No							0	0	0	0	0	1	2	4	9	20	64	6,130	*
61		20	40		-	8	0.1		No									0	0	0	1	1	4	8	20	66	4,468	*
60		19	40		-	9	Out		No										0	0	0	1	3	7	18	71	3,096	*
59		19	41		-	8	0.0		No									0		0	0	1	2	6	17	74	2,080	*
58		18	41		-	9	0.1		No									0		0	0	1	1	5	14	78	1,387	*
57		18	42		-	8	Out		No												0	1	1	4	14	80	945	*
56		17	42		-	9	Out		No											0		0	1	3	14	81	624	*
55		17	43		-	8	Out		No											0	0	1	1	5	11	81	387	*
54		16	43		-	9	Out		No												0			5	9	85	213	*
53		16	44		-	8	Out		No															2	11	87	168	*
52		15	44		-	9	Out		No													1	1	2	10	85	82	*
51		15	45		-	8	Out		No											2				2	6	90	50	*
50		14	45		-	9	Out		No															3	3	94	33	*
49		14	46		-	8	Out		No																5	95	21	*
48		14	47		-	7	Out		No																	100	11	*
47		13	47		-	8	Out		No																25	75	4	*
13	-46						Out		No																	100	176	*

Total:							13.6	%	0.0	%	0	0	0	0	1	2	4	6	8	9	10	11	12	12	13	13	2,110,440

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday	None

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Carolina vs Philadelphia	-0.7-0.7-0.7-0.1-0.1+0.4
Montreal vs St. Louis	+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0
San Jose vs Buffalo	-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

None

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

149		68	0		-	0	100
117		48	12		-	8		100
116		50	15		-	3		67		33
115		49	15		-	4				100
114		46	13		-	9								100
113		46	14		-	8			50			50
112		45	14		-	9			40		20	20	20
111		44	14		-	10		6		13	6	38	31	6
110		45	16		-	7			3	9	31	22	31	3
109		44	16		-	8				6	23	21	24	20	7
108		44	17		-	7				4	5	20	30	22	17	2
107		43	17		-	8				1	4	16	25	26	17	8	3
106		42	17		-	9				0	1	9	11	30	27	17	4	0
105		42	18		-	8				0	0	4	9	23	31	23	9	2
104		41	18		-	9					0	1	4	15	27	31	16	5	0
103		40	18		-	10				0	0	0	2	9	19	30	28	10	1	0
102		40	19		-	9						0	1	5	16	31	29	16	3	0
101		39	19		-	10							0	2	9	24	34	25	5	0	0
100		39	20		-	9							0	1	6	17	33	30	12	1	0
99		38	20		-	10							0	0	2	11	29	37	18	3	0	0
98		38	21		-	9								0	1	6	23	37	24	7	1	0
97		37	21		-	10								0	0	3	15	36	33	11	2	0	0
96		37	22		-	9								0	0	1	9	31	36	19	4	0	0
95		36	22		-	10										0	5	22	37	25	8	1	0	0
94		36	23		-	9										0	2	15	34	32	14	3	1	0
93		35	23		-	10										0	1	9	27	34	21	7	1	0	0
92		35	24		-	9										0	0	5	20	33	27	12	3	0	0	0
91		34	24		-	10										0	0	2	12	28	31	19	7	1	0	0
90		34	25		-	9											0	1	7	20	30	25	12	4	1	0		0
89		33	25		-	10											0	0	3	13	26	28	19	8	2	0	0	0
88		33	26		-	9												0	1	7	18	28	26	14	5	1	0	0	0
87		32	26		-	10												0	0	3	11	22	28	21	10	3	1	0	0
86		32	27		-	9												0	0	1	5	15	25	26	17	8	2	0	0	0
85		31	27		-	10													0	0	2	8	19	26	23	14	5	1	0	0	0
84		31	28		-	9													0	0	1	4	11	21	26	21	11	4	1	0	0	0
83		30	28		-	10													0	0	0	1	5	14	23	25	18	9	3	1	0	0
82		30	29		-	9														0	0	0	2	7	16	25	24	16	7	2	0	0	0
81		29	29		-	10															0	0	1	3	9	19	25	23	13	5	1	0	0
80		29	30		-	9																0	0	1	4	12	21	26	21	11	4	1	0	0
79		28	30		-	10																0	0	0	1	6	14	24	26	18	8	2	0	0	0
78		28	31		-	9																	0	0	0	2	7	17	25	25	15	6	1	0	0
77		27	31		-	10																	0	0	0	1	3	10	21	27	23	12	4	1	0
76		27	32		-	9																		0	0	0	1	5	13	24	27	19	8	2	0	0
75		26	32		-	10																			0	0	0	2	7	18	27	26	15	4	1	0
74		26	33		-	9																				0	0	1	3	11	23	30	22	9	1	0
73		25	33		-	10																					0	0	1	6	16	29	29	15	3	0
72		25	34		-	9																					0	0	0	3	10	24	33	22	7	1
71		24	34		-	10																					0	0	0	1	5	17	32	30	12	1
70		24	35		-	9																						0	0	0	3	11	28	35	20	3
69		23	35		-	10																								0	1	6	22	38	28	5
68		23	36		-	9																								0	0	4	16	37	35	9
67		22	36		-	10																								0	0	2	10	32	42	14
66		22	37		-	9																									0	1	6	28	46	20
65		21	37		-	10																									0	0	4	22	48	27
64		21	38		-	9																									0	0	2	16	47	35
63		20	38		-	10																										0	1	11	45	43
62		20	39		-	9																										0	0	8	42	50
61		20	40		-	8																											0	4	38	58
60		19	40		-	9																											0	3	33	63
59		19	41		-	8																												1	25	73
58		18	41		-	9																												1	20	79
57		18	42		-	8																												1	17	82
56		17	42		-	9																												0	14	86
55		17	43		-	8																													11	89
54		16	43		-	9																													7	93
53		16	44		-	8																													5	95
52		15	44		-	9																													2	98
51		15	45		-	8																													4	96
50		14	45		-	9																													3	97
49		14	46		-	8																													5	95
48		14	47		-	7																													9	91
13	-47																																			100

Total:							0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	3	4	5	5	6	6	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	6	6	4	2