Calgary Flames Playoff Chances 2013-2014 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.02 to 69.6%

19 points 9 4-1

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Monday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
NY Rangers 4 Anaheim 1	+0.4
Winnipeg 5 Detroit 4			+0.2

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Minnesota vs Calgary	-4.0-0.8*-0.4+0.7+0.8+3.9		-1.7-0.4-0.4+1.4+1.3+1.4		-0.4-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.4
San Jose vs Buffalo	-0.5-0.3+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.5				-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.1
Florida vs Edmonton					+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0*-0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Calgary finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

124	-155						In		Yes		100																125	*
123		49	13		-	6	In		Yes		97				3												35	*
122		47	12		-	9	In		98.8	%	99				1												80	*
121		48	14		-	6	In		Yes		99				1												116	*
120		48	15		-	5	In		99.4		98	1			1	1											175	*
119		47	15		-	6	In		99.3		98	1			1												275	*
118		46	15		-	7	In		97.9		97	1			2	0											383	*
117		46	16		-	6	In		97.3		98	0			2												656	*
116		45	16		-	7	In		96.0		96	1			3	0	0										918	*
115		44	16		-	8	In		95.5		95	1			3	0											1,365	*
114		44	17		-	7	In		91.7		95	2			3	0	0	0									1,923	*
113		43	17		-	8	In		88.3		92	3			4	0	0	0									2,619	*
112		43	18		-	7	In		84.2		90	4	0		5	1	0	0									3,649	*
111		42	18		-	8	100.0	%	76.5		87	6	0		5	1	0	0	0								4,756	*
110		42	19		-	7	100.0		69.2		83	8	0		7	1	0	0	0	0							6,202	*
109		41	19		-	8	99.8		61.2		78	10	1		8	2	1	0	0	0							7,711	*
108		41	20		-	7	99.9		49.2		73	14	1	0	9	3	1	0	0	0	0	0					9,831	*
107		40	20		-	8	99.6		37.7		66	17	1	0	10	3	1	1	0	0	0						11,984	*
106		40	21		-	7	99.4		26.1		59	21	2	0	10	4	2	1	0	0	0	0	0				14,571	*
105		39	21		-	8	99.1		17.3		51	25	3	0	11	5	3	1	1	0	0	0	0	0			17,398	*
104		38	21		-	9	98.3		9.9		43	28	5	0	12	6	3	1	1	1	0	0	0				19,874	*
103		38	22		-	8	97.8		4.7		35	30	7	0	12	7	4	2	1	1	0	0	0	0			22,865	*
102		38	23		-	7	97.0		2.0		28	31	10	1	12	8	5	3	2	1	0	0	0	0			25,954	*
101		37	23		-	8	95.7		0.6		20	30	13	1	12	9	6	4	2	1	1	0	0	0			28,683	*
100		36	23		-	9	94.1		0.1		15	29	16	2	12	9	7	5	3	2	1	0	0	0			30,929	*
99		36	24		-	8	91.7		0.0		10	25	18	4	11	10	8	6	4	2	1	1	0	0			33,391	*
98		35	24		-	9	88.9		No		6	21	20	5	11	10	9	7	5	3	2	1	0	0			35,229	*
97		35	25		-	8	85.8		No		4	17	20	7	10	10	10	8	6	4	2	1	1	0			35,748	*
96		34	25		-	9	81.4		No		2	12	19	9	9	10	10	9	7	5	3	2	1	0			36,723	*
95		34	26		-	8	76.8		No		1	9	18	11	8	10	11	10	8	6	4	3	1	0			36,619	*
94		33	26		-	9	71.4		No		0	6	15	12	7	10	11	10	10	8	6	3	2	1			35,895	*
93		33	27		-	8	65.6		No		0	4	12	13	6	9	11	11	10	9	7	5	3	1			34,411	*
92		32	27		-	9	59.1		No		0	2	10	13	5	8	10	11	11	10	9	6	4	2			32,630	*
91		32	28		-	8	53.1		No		0	1	7	13	4	7	10	11	12	11	10	8	5	2			30,573	*
90		31	28		-	9	46.7		No		0	0	5	12	3	6	9	11	12	12	11	9	6	3			27,935	*
89		31	29		-	8	40.3		No		0	0	4	11	2	5	8	10	12	13	12	11	8	4			25,169	*
88		30	29		-	9	33.7		No		0	0	2	9	2	4	7	9	11	13	14	13	10	6			22,435	*
87		30	30		-	8	28.9		No			0	2	8	1	3	6	8	11	13	14	14	12	7			19,447	*
86		29	30		-	9	23.0		No			0	1	6	1	3	5	7	10	13	15	15	15	10			16,830	*
85		29	31		-	8	18.8		No			0	1	6	1	2	4	6	9	12	15	17	17	12			14,161	*
84		28	31		-	9	15.4		No				0	4	1	1	3	5	8	10	14	17	19	16			11,896	*
83		28	32		-	8	11.0		No				0	3	0	1	2	4	7	10	13	18	21	19			9,550	*
82		27	32		-	9	8.9		No				0	2	0	1	2	4	6	8	13	18	22	23			7,818	*
81		27	33		-	8	6.6		No				0	2	0	0	2	3	5	8	11	18	24	28			6,134	*
80		26	33		-	9	4.7		No				0	1	0	0	1	2	3	7	10	17	25	32			4,805	*
79		26	34		-	8	3.4		No				0	1	0	0	1	1	3	5	9	16	26	37			3,563	*
78		25	34		-	9	2.2		No					1	0	0	0	1	2	5	8	14	25	43			2,623	*
77		25	35		-	8	1.1		No					0	0		0	0	1	3	5	14	25	50			1,940	*
76		24	35		-	9	1.0		No					0			0	1	1	3	5	11	26	53			1,498	*
75		24	36		-	8	0.2		No								0	0	1	1	4	9	21	64			1,054	*
74		23	36		-	9	0.4		No								0	0	1	2	4	8	24	62			758	*
73		23	37		-	8	0.2		No									0	0	1	2	6	23	68			496	*
72		23	38		-	7	0.3		No					0						1	1	5	18	75			384	*
71		21	37		-	10	Out		No												1	6	17	77			236	*
70		21	38		-	9	Out		No											1		4	12	83			156	*
69		21	39		-	8	Out		No													2	10	88			91	*
68		21	40		-	7	Out		No													2	5	93			58	*
67		20	40		-	8	Out		No														8	92			37	*
66		20	41		-	7	Out		No														10	90			21	*
65		19	41		-	8	Out		No														7	93			15	*
19	-64						Out		No															100			74	*

Total:							69.6	%	6.2	%	14	12	10	6	7	7	7	7	6	6	5	5	4	4			703,480

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Winnipeg 5 Detroit 4	-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Minnesota vs Calgary	+1.1+0.1+0.1-0.8-0.8-0.9

What If

None

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

123	-155						100
122		47	12		-	9	99	1
121		48	14		-	6	100
120		48	15		-	5	99	1
119		47	15		-	6	99	1
118		46	15		-	7	98	2
117		46	16		-	6	97	3
116		45	16		-	7	96	4
115		44	16		-	8	96	4	0
114		44	17		-	7	92	8	0	0
113		43	17		-	8	88	11	1	0
112		43	18		-	7	84	15	1	0
111		42	18		-	8	77	21	2	0
110		42	19		-	7	69	27	4	0	0
109		41	19		-	8	61	31	7	1	0
108		41	20		-	7	49	37	12	2	0
107		40	20		-	8	38	41	17	4	0	0
106		40	21		-	7	26	40	25	8	1	0
105		39	21		-	8	17	36	30	13	3	1	0
104		38	21		-	9	10	28	32	21	8	2	0	0	0
103		38	22		-	8	5	19	30	27	14	5	1	0	0
102		38	23		-	7	2	10	22	29	22	11	4	1	0	0
101		37	23		-	8	1	4	14	24	26	19	8	3	1	0	0
100		36	23		-	9	0	1	7	16	25	24	16	8	2	1	0	0
99		36	24		-	8	0	0	2	8	17	24	23	16	7	2	1	0	0
98		35	24		-	9		0	1	3	8	16	23	22	16	8	3	1	0	0
97		35	25		-	8		0	0	1	2	7	15	22	23	17	9	3	1	0	0	0
96		34	25		-	9			0	0	0	2	6	13	21	23	18	11	4	1	0	0	0
95		34	26		-	8				0	0	0	2	5	12	19	23	20	12	6	2	0	0	0
94		33	26		-	9					0	0	0	1	4	9	16	22	21	15	8	3	1	0	0		0
93		33	27		-	8						0	0	0	1	2	7	14	20	22	18	10	4	2	0	0	0
92		32	27		-	9								0	0	0	2	5	11	18	22	20	13	7	2	1	0	0
91		32	28		-	8									0	0	0	1	3	8	15	21	22	16	9	4	1	0	0	0
90		31	28		-	9										0	0	0	1	2	6	12	19	22	18	12	5	2	0	0	0
89		31	29		-	8											0	0	0	0	1	4	10	17	22	21	14	7	2	1	0	0	0
88		30	29		-	9													0	0	0	1	3	8	15	22	22	17	8	3	1	0	0	0
87		30	30		-	8														0	0	0	1	2	6	14	21	23	18	10	4	1	0	0
86		29	30		-	9															0	0	0	0	2	6	13	21	24	19	11	4	1	0
85		29	31		-	8																	0	0	0	2	6	13	20	24	20	10	4	1	0
84		28	31		-	9																		0	0	0	2	5	13	22	25	19	11	3	1	0
83		28	32		-	8																			0	0	0	2	6	14	23	27	19	8	2	0
82		27	32		-	9																					0	0	2	7	17	26	26	16	5	1
81		27	33		-	8																						0	1	3	9	21	29	25	11	2
80		26	33		-	9																						0	0	1	4	14	26	31	19	5
79		26	34		-	8																								0	2	7	20	34	28	8
78		25	34		-	9																								0	0	4	14	32	33	16
77		25	35		-	8																									0	1	8	26	40	24
76		24	35		-	9																									0	0	5	19	42	34
75		24	36		-	8																										0	2	12	42	44
74		23	36		-	9																											0	8	35	57
73		23	37		-	8																											0	4	30	66
72		23	38		-	7																												4	23	72
71		21	37		-	10																												1	22	77
70		21	38		-	9																												1	13	87
69		21	39		-	8																													12	88
68		21	40		-	7																													2	98
67		20	40		-	8																													8	92
66		20	41		-	7																													5	95
65		19	41		-	8																													7	93
19	-64																																			100

Total:							6	6	6	5	5	5	5	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	3	3	3	2	2	2	2	2	2	1	1	1	1