Boston Bruins Playoff Chances 2013-2014 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.1 to 46.6%

12 points 4 5-4

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Monday	None

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Boston vs Dallas	+4.3+0.5+0.8-1.1-0.5-4.3		+0.3+0.3+0.4-0.0-0.1-0.4		+0.5+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.5
San Jose vs Buffalo	+0.4+0.3-0.1-0.8*-0.0-0.4
Florida vs Edmonton	-0.4-0.2-0.2-0.4+0.2+0.5

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Boston finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

122	-150						In		Yes		100																62	*
121		52	12		-	5	In		83.3	%	83	17															6	*
118	-120						In		Yes		100																65	*
117		48	12		-	9	In		Yes		98				2												55	*
116		49	14		-	6	In		95.3		99	1															86	*
115		48	14		-	7	In		93.6		94	3			4												141	*
114		48	15		-	6	In		94.3		95	3			2												174	*
113		47	15		-	7	In		87.4		87	7			5	0											333	*
112		46	15		-	8	99.8	%	83.6		85	7	0		7	1		0	0								487	*
111		46	16		-	7	In		79.0		82	9	1		7	1		0									668	*
110		45	16		-	8	99.8		69.8		76	12	0		9	2	0	0	0		0						1,012	*
109		45	17		-	7	99.8		60.3		70	16	1		9	3	0	0	0								1,410	*
108		44	17		-	8	99.9		49.3		64	20	2		10	3	1	0	0								2,046	*
107		44	18		-	7	99.7		37.9		55	25	3	0	12	4	1	0	0	0	0						2,675	*
106		43	18		-	8	99.3		27.5		48	26	5	0	14	4	1	1	0	0	0	0					3,887	*
105		43	19		-	7	99.1		17.2		39	29	8	0	14	5	2	1	1	0	0	0					4,954	*
104		42	19		-	8	98.8		9.5		31	32	10	1	15	6	3	2	1	0	0	0	0				6,261	*
103		42	20		-	7	97.9		4.8		24	31	13	1	16	8	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	0			8,260	*
102		41	20		-	8	97.1		1.9		16	31	16	3	16	9	4	2	1	1	0	0	0	0			10,054	*
101		41	21		-	7	95.9		0.6		11	27	19	4	17	9	5	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	0		12,349	*
100		40	21		-	8	93.9		0.2		7	23	21	6	16	11	6	4	3	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	14,841	*
99		39	21		-	9	91.9		0.0		4	18	22	8	16	11	8	5	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	17,585	*
98		39	22		-	8	88.8		0.0		2	13	22	11	15	12	9	6	4	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	20,730	*
97		38	22		-	9	85.7		No		1	9	20	13	14	12	9	7	5	4	3	2	1	0	0	0	23,252	*
96		38	23		-	8	81.8		No		1	6	17	15	13	13	10	8	6	4	3	2	1	1	0	0	25,944	*
95		37	23		-	9	76.9		No		0	4	14	16	12	12	11	9	7	6	4	3	2	1	1	0	28,963	*
94		37	24		-	8	71.5		No		0	2	11	17	10	12	11	9	8	7	5	4	3	1	1	0	31,399	*
93		36	24		-	9	66.0		No		0	1	8	17	9	11	11	10	9	8	6	5	3	2	1	0	33,040	*
92		36	25		-	8	59.9		No		0	1	5	16	8	10	10	10	10	9	7	6	4	3	1	1	34,765	*
91		35	25		-	9	53.4		No		0	0	3	14	6	9	10	11	10	9	8	7	5	4	2	1	36,030	*
90		35	26		-	8	46.2		No			0	2	13	5	7	9	10	10	10	9	8	7	5	3	1	36,201	*
89		34	26		-	9	40.0		No			0	1	11	4	7	8	9	10	10	10	9	8	6	4	2	35,664	*
88		34	27		-	8	34.2		No			0	1	10	3	5	7	9	10	10	11	10	10	8	5	3	35,574	*
87		33	27		-	9	29.0		No			0	0	8	2	4	6	8	9	10	11	11	10	9	7	3	34,004	*
86		33	28		-	8	23.1		No				0	6	2	3	5	7	8	10	11	12	12	11	9	5	32,179	*
85		32	28		-	9	18.5		No				0	5	1	3	4	6	8	9	11	12	13	12	11	7	30,019	*
84		32	29		-	8	14.4		No				0	4	1	2	3	5	6	8	10	12	14	14	13	9	27,689	*
83		31	29		-	9	10.7		No				0	3	1	1	2	4	6	7	9	12	14	15	15	11	25,057	*
82		31	30		-	8	8.4		No				0	2	0	1	2	3	5	6	9	11	14	16	17	14	22,243	*
81		30	30		-	9	6.2		No					1	0	1	1	2	4	6	8	10	13	17	20	17	19,173	*
80		30	31		-	8	4.6		No					1	0	1	1	2	3	4	6	9	13	17	22	21	16,737	*
79		29	31		-	9	3.3		No					1	0	0	1	1	2	4	5	8	12	17	23	25	14,125	*
78		29	32		-	8	2.0		No					0	0	0	0	1	2	3	4	7	11	17	25	30	11,714	*
77		28	32		-	9	1.6		No					0	0	0	0	1	1	2	3	6	10	16	25	35	9,638	*
76		28	33		-	8	1.0		No					0	0	0	0	0	1	2	3	4	8	15	25	42	7,676	*
75		27	33		-	9	0.7		No					0		0	0	0	1	1	2	4	7	13	25	46	6,187	*
74		27	34		-	8	0.4		No					0		0	0	0	1	1	1	3	6	12	25	51	4,758	*
73		26	34		-	9	0.4		No					0			0	0	0	0	1	2	5	10	24	57	3,586	*
72		26	35		-	8	0.1		No							0		0	0	0	1	2	4	8	21	63	2,792	*
71		25	35		-	9	0.1		No								0	0		0	1	1	3	8	20	67	2,041	*
70		25	36		-	8	0.2		No								0	0	0	0	1	1	2	5	18	72	1,484	*
69		24	36		-	9	Out		No										0		0	0	2	4	18	76	1,016	*
68		24	37		-	8	0.1		No					0						0	0	0	1	4	14	80	805	*
67		23	37		-	9	Out		No													0	1	3	14	82	515	*
66		23	38		-	8	Out		No										0			1	1	2	12	85	368	*
65		23	39		-	7	Out		No															2	11	87	234	*
64		22	39		-	8	Out		No													1		2	9	88	137	*
63		22	40		-	7	Out		No																7	93	88	*
62		22	41		-	6	Out		No																7	93	74	*
61		20	40		-	9	Out		No															2	2	95	43	*
60		20	41		-	8	Out		No																12	88	26	*
12	-59						Out		No																	100	99	*

Total:							46.6	%	1.2	%	3	4	6	8	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	7	7	7	7	7	703,480

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday	None

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Boston vs Dallas	-0.9-0.8-0.8+0.2*+0.1+1.1
Washington vs NY Islanders	-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1+0.0
Florida vs Edmonton	-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

None

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

122	-150						100
121		52	12		-	5	83	17
117	-120						100
116		49	14		-	6	95	5
115		48	14		-	7	94	6
114		48	15		-	6	94	6
113		47	15		-	7	87	12	1
112		46	15		-	8	84	15	1	0
111		46	16		-	7	79	19	2
110		45	16		-	8	70	26	3	0
109		45	17		-	7	60	33	6	1
108		44	17		-	8	49	38	10	2	0	0
107		44	18		-	7	38	41	17	4	0
106		43	18		-	8	28	40	23	8	2	0
105		43	19		-	7	17	35	29	14	4	1	0	0
104		42	19		-	8	10	27	32	21	8	2	0	0
103		42	20		-	7	5	19	29	27	14	5	1	0	0
102		41	20		-	8	2	10	23	28	22	11	4	1	0	0
101		41	21		-	7	1	4	14	24	26	18	9	3	1	0	0
100		40	21		-	8	0	1	6	15	24	24	17	8	3	1	0	0
99		39	21		-	9	0	0	2	7	16	23	23	16	8	3	1	0	0
98		39	22		-	8	0	0	0	2	7	15	23	23	16	8	3	1	0	0	0
97		38	22		-	9			0	0	2	7	15	21	23	17	9	4	1	0	0	0
96		38	23		-	8			0	0	0	2	6	13	20	23	19	11	5	2	0	0	0
95		37	23		-	9					0	0	1	5	10	18	23	20	13	6	2	1	0	0	0
94		37	24		-	8					0	0	0	1	3	9	16	21	22	16	9	3	1	0	0
93		36	24		-	9							0	0	1	2	6	13	20	22	18	11	5	2	0	0	0
92		36	25		-	8							0	0	0	0	1	4	10	17	22	20	14	7	3	1	0	0	0
91		35	25		-	9									0	0	0	1	3	8	14	21	22	17	9	4	1	0	0	0
90		35	26		-	8											0	0	0	2	6	12	19	22	19	12	5	2	0	0	0
89		34	26		-	9										0		0	0	0	1	4	10	17	22	21	15	7	2	1	0	0
88		34	27		-	8													0	0	0	1	3	8	15	22	22	17	9	3	1	0	0
87		33	27		-	9															0	0	1	2	7	13	21	23	18	10	4	1	0	0
86		33	28		-	8																0	0	0	2	6	12	20	24	19	11	4	1	0	0
85		32	28		-	9																0	0	0	0	1	5	12	21	24	20	11	4	1	0	0
84		32	29		-	8																0		0	0	0	2	5	12	21	25	20	10	3	0	0
83		31	29		-	9																			0	0	0	2	6	14	24	26	19	8	2	0
82		31	30		-	8																				0	0	0	2	7	16	26	26	16	5	1
81		30	30		-	9																					0	0	1	3	9	21	30	24	11	2
80		30	31		-	8																							0	1	4	14	27	31	19	4
79		29	31		-	9																							0	0	2	8	21	34	27	8
78		29	32		-	8																							0	0	1	4	14	31	35	15
77		28	32		-	9																								0	0	2	9	26	41	22
76		28	33		-	8																								0	0	1	5	20	42	32
75		27	33		-	9																										0	2	14	43	41
74		27	34		-	8																										0	1	9	38	52
73		26	34		-	9																											0	6	33	61
72		26	35		-	8																											0	4	27	69
71		25	35		-	9																											0	2	22	76
70		25	36		-	8																												1	17	82
69		24	36		-	9																												1	13	87
68		24	37		-	8																												0	10	89
67		23	37		-	9																													8	92
66		23	38		-	8																													5	95
65		23	39		-	7																													4	96
64		22	39		-	8																													2	98
62	-63																																			100
61		20	40		-	9																													2	98
12	-60																																			100

Total:							1	2	2	2	2	2	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	3