SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Sometimes I
forget the point

CSP Playoff Chances October2009

Beat Rebels 6-4, playoff odds up 2 to 100%

15 points 5-0-1

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 12/6	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Average seed
CSP 6 Rebels 4	In		+15.3		+0.4
Cannons FC 12 Shamrocks S.C 4	-1.8		+8.2		+0.1
Nitro 7 Latin Crew 8	+1.0
Hot Funk 2 Shenaninganz 6	-0.5		-4.6		-0.1
Fusion 2 OMF 5			-8.1		-0.2

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 12/13	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Average seed
Shamrocks S.C vs CSP			-36.9YesYes		-0.7+0.0+0.5
Shenaninganz vs Latin Crew			-11.9+14.5+14.5		-0.1+0.2+0.2
OMF vs Hot Funk			-1.3-1.2+4.4		-0.2+0.1+0.4

What If

Chances based on how well the CSP finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in				Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W	-	D	-	L	playoffs		Promoted		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	Relegated		Count

18		1	-	0	-	0	In		Yes		66	34									No		7,469,007
16		0	-	1	-	0	In		Yes		22	78									No		4,341,928
15		0	-	0	-	1	In		47.3	%	3	44	50	2							No		5,037,386

Total:							In		84.3	%	36	48	15	1							No		16,848,321

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Why are you looking down here? We just made the playoffs!

Big Games

Week of 12/6	100.0*	Lottery seed
CSP 6 Rebels 4	-0.4
Fusion 2 OMF 5	+0.2
Hot Funk 2 Shenaninganz 6	+0.1
Cannons FC 12 Shamrocks S.C 4	-0.1

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 12/13	100.0*	Lottery seed
Shamrocks S.C vs CSP	+0.7-0.0-0.5
OMF vs Hot Funk	+0.2-0.1-0.4
Shenaninganz vs Latin Crew	+0.1-0.2-0.2

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W	-	D	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10

18		1	-	0	-	0	66	34
16		0	-	1	-	0	22	78
15		0	-	0	-	1	3	44	50	2

Total:							36	48	15	1