Fightin Wigglez Playoff Chances 2013 50/50
Beat Osto 99-90, playoff odds down 0.2 to 94.7%
6-2-0 .750
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 10/24 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Wigz 99 Osto 90 | +1.3 | +0.4 | ||
| Crack 108 Space 79 | -0.7 | -0.2 | ||
| NATE 58 Luke 51 | -0.4 | |||
| Dawgz 94 Dude 77 | -0.4 | -0.1 | ||
| AAA 89 Kramer 83 | -0.1 | |||
| Dogs 91 Zizz 80 | -0.1 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 11/1 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Zizz vs Wigz | -1.4+1.3+1.4 | -0.5+0.3+0.5 | ||
| Crack vs Osto | -1.0+1.1+1.0 | -0.3+0.2+0.3 | ||
| Dawgz vs Kramer | -0.5+1.2+0.5 | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | ||
| Space vs Luke | -0.5*-0.1+0.5 | |||
| Dogs vs AAA | +0.2*-0.3-0.2 | |||
| NATE vs Dude | -0.1*+0.1+0.1 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Wigz finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Count | |||
| 11 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 83 | 1 | 16 | 108,637 | ||||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 81 | 3 | 17 | 4,264 | |||||||||||
| 10 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 99.7 | % | 72 | 9 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 537,695 | ||||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | - | 2 | In | 68 | 13 | 19 | 62 | |||||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 99.7 | 67 | 15 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17,251 | ||||||||
| 2 | - | 0 | - | 3 | In | 50 | 50 | 2 | ||||||||||||||
| 9 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 97.7 | 42 | 25 | 17 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1,076,588 | |||||||
| 2 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 99.1 | 40 | 27 | 19 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 216 | ||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 97.5 | 31 | 35 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 26,109 | ||||||
| 8 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 92.8 | 10 | 25 | 14 | 22 | 21 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1,077,532 | ||||||
| 1 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 92.4 | 9 | 25 | 14 | 21 | 23 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 211 | ||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 92.1 | 4 | 27 | 13 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 17,456 | |||||
| 0 | - | 2 | - | 3 | In | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||||||
| 7 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 88.2 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 42 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 538,688 | ||||
| 0 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 87.5 | 5 | 2 | 45 | 27 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 64 | ||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 0 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 86.6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 45 | 19 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4,276 | |||
| 6 | 0 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 85.8 | 0 | 0 | 48 | 15 | 23 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 108,444 | ||||
| Total: | 94.7 | % | 30 | 19 | 13 | 17 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3,517,496 | |||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 10/24 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Wigz 99 Osto 90 | -0.4 | |
| Crack 108 Space 79 | +0.2 | |
| Dawgz 94 Dude 77 | +0.1 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 11/1 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Zizz vs Wigz | +0.5-0.3-0.5 | |
| Crack vs Osto | +0.3-0.2-0.3 | |
| Dawgz vs Kramer | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |
| 11 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 83 | 1 | 16 | ||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 81 | 3 | 17 | |||||||||
| 10 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 72 | 9 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 68 | 13 | 19 | |||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 67 | 15 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 0 | ||||||
| 2 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 50 | 50 | ||||||||||||
| 9 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 42 | 25 | 17 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |||||
| 2 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 40 | 27 | 19 | 4 | 10 | 1 | ||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 31 | 35 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | ||||
| 8 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 10 | 25 | 14 | 22 | 21 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | ||||
| 1 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 9 | 25 | 14 | 21 | 23 | 1 | 7 | 0 | ||||||
| 7 | .5 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 4 | 27 | 13 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | |||
| 0 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 100 | |||||||||||||
| 7 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 42 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 5 | 2 | 45 | 27 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 2 | ||||||
| 6 | .5 | 0 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 45 | 19 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| 6 | 0 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 48 | 15 | 23 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | ||
| Total: | 30 | 19 | 13 | 17 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:43 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
