Fightin Wigglez Playoff Chances 2013
Beat Osto 99-90, playoff odds down 0.6 to 97.5%
6-2-0 .750
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 10/24 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Wigz 99 Osto 90 | +0.4 | +0.3 | ||
| Crack 108 Space 79 | -0.3 | -0.2 | ||
| NATE 58 Luke 51 | -0.2 | +0.1 | ||
| Dawgz 94 Dude 77 | -0.1 | -0.0 | ||
| AAA 89 Kramer 83 | -0.1 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 11/1 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Zizz vs Wigz | -1.1+0.7+0.8 | -0.5+0.2+0.4 | ||
| Crack vs Osto | -0.6+0.7+0.6 | -0.2+0.2+0.2 | ||
| Dawgz vs Kramer | -0.3+0.4+0.3 | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | ||
| Space vs Luke | -0.3*-0.1+0.3 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | ||
| Dogs vs AAA | +0.2-0.2-0.1 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Wigz finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Count | |||
| 11 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 84 | 2 | 15 | 618,897 | ||||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 83 | 3 | 14 | 22,760 | |||||||||||
| 10 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 99.8 | % | 72 | 11 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2,583,734 | ||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | - | 2 | In | 72 | 10 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 343 | |||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 99.8 | 64 | 20 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 74,579 | |||||||
| 2 | - | 0 | - | 3 | In | 33 | 33 | 33 | 3 | |||||||||||||
| 9 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 98.7 | 40 | 30 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4,145,031 | |||||||
| 2 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 98.9 | 40 | 30 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 826 | |||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 98.7 | 26 | 43 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 88,329 | ||||||
| 1 | - | 1 | - | 3 | In | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||||||
| 8 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 95.8 | 9 | 28 | 13 | 25 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3,201,846 | ||||||
| 1 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 96.0 | 9 | 28 | 15 | 24 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 620 | ||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 95.2 | 3 | 31 | 11 | 28 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 44,946 | |||||
| 0 | - | 2 | - | 3 | In | 33 | 33 | 33 | 3 | |||||||||||||
| 7 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 92.6 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 49 | 22 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1,195,025 | ||||
| 0 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 92.9 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 45 | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 155 | ||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 0 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 92.5 | 6 | 2 | 51 | 17 | 16 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 8,235 | |||||
| 6 | 0 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 89.9 | 0 | 0 | 54 | 13 | 23 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 175,147 | ||||
| Total: | 97.5 | % | 36 | 22 | 13 | 15 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12,160,480 | |||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 10/24 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Wigz 99 Osto 90 | -0.3 | |
| Crack 108 Space 79 | +0.2 | |
| NATE 58 Luke 51 | -0.1 | |
| Dawgz 94 Dude 77 | +0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 11/1 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Zizz vs Wigz | +0.5-0.2-0.4 | |
| Crack vs Osto | +0.2-0.2-0.2 | |
| Dawgz vs Kramer | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | |
| Space vs Luke | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |
| 11 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 84 | 2 | 15 | ||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 83 | 3 | 14 | |||||||||
| 10 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 72 | 11 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||
| 3 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 72 | 10 | 15 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 64 | 20 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||
| 2 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 33 | 33 | 33 | |||||||||||
| 9 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 40 | 30 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |||||
| 2 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 40 | 30 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 1 | |||||||
| 8 | .5 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 26 | 43 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | ||||
| 1 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 100 | |||||||||||||
| 8 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 9 | 28 | 13 | 25 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| 1 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 9 | 28 | 15 | 24 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 0 | ||||||
| 7 | .5 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 3 | 31 | 11 | 28 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | |||
| 0 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 33 | 33 | 33 | |||||||||||
| 7 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 49 | 22 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 45 | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | ||||||
| 6 | .5 | 0 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 6 | 2 | 51 | 17 | 16 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | |||
| 6 | 0 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 54 | 13 | 23 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||
| Total: | 36 | 22 | 13 | 15 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:43 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
