Masturnaturs Playoff Chances 2013
Beat Luke 58-51, playoff odds up 1.6 to 3.3%
3-5-0 .375
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 10/24 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| NATE 58 Luke 51 | +0.7 | +0.5 | ||
| AAA 89 Kramer 83 | -0.1 | |||
| Dogs 91 Zizz 80 | -0.1 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 11/1 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| NATE vs Dude | +0.5-0.9-0.9 | +0.4+0.1-0.7 | ||
| Space vs Luke | +0.5-0.7-0.5 | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | ||
| Dogs vs AAA | +0.5-0.5-0.4 | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | ||
| Crack vs Osto | -0.1*+0.1+0.1 | |||
| Zizz vs Wigz | -0.1*+0.2+0.1 | |||
| Dawgz vs Kramer | +0.0+0.1-0.0 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the NATE finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Count | |||
| 8 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 30.4 | % | 1 | 3 | 24 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 51 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 242,361 | ||||
| 7 | .5 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 6.7 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 64 | 28 | 1 | 0 | 10,672 | ||||
| 7 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 47 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 1,471,913 | ||||
| 3 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 8.5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 45 | 12 | 1 | 201 | ||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 2.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 48 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 51,935 | ||||
| 2 | - | 0 | - | 3 | Out | 100 | 2 | |||||||||||||||
| 6 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 2.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 40 | 35 | 8 | 0 | 3,512,148 | ||||
| 2 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 2.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 42 | 29 | 4 | 701 | |||||||
| 5 | .5 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 2.3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 35 | 42 | 12 | 0 | 91,236 | |||||
| 1 | - | 1 | - | 3 | Out | 67 | 33 | 3 | ||||||||||||||
| 5 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 2.3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 31 | 58 | 5 | 4,036,947 | ||||||
| 1 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 2.5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 36 | 51 | 5 | 811 | ||||||||
| 4 | .5 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 2.3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 61 | 14 | 68,250 | ||||||
| 0 | - | 2 | - | 3 | Out | 100 | 2 | |||||||||||||||
| 4 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 2.3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 55 | 42 | 2,203,016 | ||||||||
| 0 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 2.3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 53 | 42 | 311 | |||||||||||
| 3 | .5 | 0 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 2.3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 29 | 69 | 17,737 | ||||||||
| 3 | 0 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 2.3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 89 | 452,234 | ||||||||||
| Total: | 3.3 | % | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 21 | 32 | 13 | 12,160,480 | |||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 10/24 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| NATE 58 Luke 51 | -0.5 | |
| Dogs 91 Zizz 80 | +0.1 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 11/1 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| NATE vs Dude | -0.4-0.1+0.7 | |
| Dogs vs AAA | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | |
| Space vs Luke | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | |
| Dawgz vs Kramer | -0.0-0.1+0.0 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |
| 8 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 51 | 18 | 1 | 0 | |||
| 7 | .5 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 64 | 28 | 1 | 0 | ||
| 7 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 47 | 19 | 2 | 0 | ||
| 3 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 45 | 12 | 1 | ||||||
| 6 | .5 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 48 | 26 | 4 | 0 | ||
| 2 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 100 | |||||||||||||
| 6 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 40 | 35 | 8 | 0 | ||
| 2 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 42 | 29 | 4 | |||||
| 5 | .5 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 35 | 42 | 12 | 0 | |||
| 1 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 67 | 33 | ||||||||||||
| 5 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 31 | 58 | 5 | ||||
| 1 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 36 | 51 | 5 | ||||||
| 4 | .5 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 61 | 14 | ||||
| 0 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 100 | |||||||||||||
| 4 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 55 | 42 | ||||||
| 0 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 53 | 42 | |||||||||
| 3 | .5 | 0 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 29 | 69 | ||||||
| 3 | 0 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 89 | ||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 21 | 32 | 13 | ||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:43 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
