Team Luke Playoff Chances 2013 50/50
Lost to NATE 51-58, playoff odds down 0.8 to 99%
6-2-0 .750
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 10/24 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| NATE 58 Luke 51 | -0.2 | -0.2 | ||
| AAA 89 Kramer 83 | -0.1 | -0.1 | ||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 11/1 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Space vs Luke | -0.5*-0.2+0.6 | -0.4-0.2+0.4 | ||
| Dogs vs AAA | +0.2-0.3-0.2 | +0.2-0.2-0.2 | ||
| NATE vs Dude | -0.2*+0.1+0.2 | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | ||
| Zizz vs Wigz | -0.0*+0.2+0.0 | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | ||
| Crack vs Osto | -0.0*+0.1+0.0 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Luke finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Count | |||
| 11 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 94 | 1 | 5 | 108,662 | ||||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 93 | 2 | 5 | 4,284 | |||||||||||
| 10 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 88 | 7 | 4 | 537,725 | ||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | - | 2 | In | 85 | 11 | 5 | 65 | |||||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 99.9 | % | 78 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17,061 | |||||||
| 2 | - | 0 | - | 3 | In | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||||||
| 9 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 99.9 | 68 | 25 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1,077,966 | |||||||
| 2 | - | 1 | - | 2 | In | 75 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 213 | |||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 99.2 | 40 | 37 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 26,262 | ||||||
| 8 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 99.0 | 32 | 43 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1,076,717 | ||||||
| 1 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 99.1 | 32 | 42 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 223 | ||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 97.5 | 7 | 38 | 10 | 25 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17,325 | |||||
| 7 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 96.8 | 4 | 33 | 3 | 37 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 538,397 | |||||
| 0 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 98.5 | 2 | 32 | 38 | 26 | 2 | 2 | 66 | ||||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 0 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 95.6 | 10 | 2 | 56 | 17 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4,328 | |||||
| 6 | 0 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 94.2 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 58 | 14 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 108,201 | |||
| Total: | 99.0 | % | 48 | 28 | 5 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3,517,496 | |||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 10/24 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| NATE 58 Luke 51 | +0.2 | |
| AAA 89 Kramer 83 | +0.1 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 11/1 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Space vs Luke | +0.4+0.2-0.4 | |
| Dogs vs AAA | -0.2+0.2+0.2 | |
| Zizz vs Wigz | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | |
| NATE vs Dude | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |
| 11 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 94 | 1 | 5 | ||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 93 | 2 | 5 | |||||||||
| 10 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 88 | 7 | 4 | ||||||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 85 | 11 | 5 | |||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 78 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | ||||||
| 2 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 100 | |||||||||||||
| 9 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 68 | 25 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||
| 2 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 75 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 1 | |||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 40 | 37 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | ||||
| 8 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 32 | 43 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| 1 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 32 | 42 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 1 | ||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 7 | 38 | 10 | 25 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |||
| 7 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 4 | 33 | 3 | 37 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||
| 0 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 2 | 32 | 38 | 26 | 2 | 2 | ||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 0 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 10 | 2 | 56 | 17 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |||
| 6 | 0 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 58 | 14 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Total: | 48 | 28 | 5 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:43 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
