Lobster Dawgz Playoff Chances 2013 50/50
Beat Dude 94-77, playoff odds down 0.9 to 38.3%
4-4-0 .500
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 10/24 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Dawgz 94 Dude 77 | +4.9 | +0.7 | ||
| Wigz 99 Osto 90 | -2.2 | -0.1 | ||
| Crack 108 Space 79 | -1.6 | -0.1 | ||
| NATE 58 Luke 51 | -0.6 | -0.1 | ||
| Dogs 91 Zizz 80 | -0.4 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 11/1 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Dawgz vs Kramer | +4.9-4.2-4.9 | +0.6-0.2-0.6 | ||
| Zizz vs Wigz | +2.9-2.1-2.9 | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | ||
| Crack vs Osto | -2.4*-0.8+2.4 | -0.1-0.1+0.1 | ||
| Space vs Luke | -1.0*+0.1+1.0 | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | ||
| Dogs vs AAA | +0.5*-1.1-0.5 | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | ||
| NATE vs Dude | -0.2*+0.5+0.2 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Dawgz finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Count | |||
| 9 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 93.6 | % | 20 | 16 | 54 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 108,068 | ||||||
| 8 | .5 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 68.9 | 10 | 13 | 35 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 30 | 1 | 4,345 | ||||||
| 8 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 61.7 | 4 | 15 | 28 | 3 | 11 | 2 | 34 | 5 | 0 | 537,611 | ||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 66.2 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 4 | 17 | 30 | 4 | 77 | |||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 38.5 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 4 | 49 | 12 | 0 | 17,461 | |||||
| 2 | - | 0 | - | 3 | Out | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||||||
| 7 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 35.7 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 7 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1,078,932 | ||||
| 2 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 30.8 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 5 | 36 | 28 | 4 | 0 | 214 | |||||||
| 6 | .5 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 29.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 11 | 19 | 34 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 25,983 | |||
| 1 | - | 1 | - | 3 | Out | 100 | 2 | |||||||||||||||
| 6 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 29.4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 6 | 23 | 28 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1,077,076 | ||||
| 1 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 25.9 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 24 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 212 | ||||||
| 5 | .5 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 29.4 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 0 | 7 | 26 | 28 | 9 | 1 | 17,177 | ||||
| 5 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 29.0 | 6 | 2 | 20 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 30 | 22 | 5 | 537,652 | ||||||
| 0 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 30.7 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 12 | 36 | 20 | 1 | 75 | |||||||||
| 4 | .5 | 0 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 28.4 | 6 | 1 | 21 | 1 | 14 | 37 | 20 | 4,256 | |||||||
| 4 | 0 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 28.8 | 6 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 35 | 30 | 108,354 | |||||||
| Total: | 38.3 | % | 1 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 17 | 17 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 3,517,496 | |||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 10/24 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Dawgz 94 Dude 77 | -0.7 | |
| Wigz 99 Osto 90 | +0.1 | |
| Crack 108 Space 79 | +0.1 | |
| NATE 58 Luke 51 | +0.1 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 11/1 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Dawgz vs Kramer | -0.6+0.2+0.6 | |
| Zizz vs Wigz | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | |
| Crack vs Osto | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | |
| Dogs vs AAA | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | |
| Space vs Luke | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |
| 9 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 20 | 16 | 54 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 0 | |||||
| 8 | .5 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 10 | 13 | 35 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 30 | 1 | ||||
| 8 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 4 | 15 | 28 | 3 | 11 | 2 | 34 | 5 | 0 | ||||
| 3 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 4 | 17 | 30 | 4 | |||||||
| 7 | .5 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 4 | 49 | 12 | 0 | |||
| 2 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 100 | |||||||||||||
| 7 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 7 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 2 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 5 | 36 | 28 | 4 | 0 | |||||
| 6 | .5 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 11 | 19 | 34 | 15 | 1 | 0 | |
| 1 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 100 | |||||||||||||
| 6 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 6 | 23 | 28 | 12 | 2 | 0 | ||
| 1 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 24 | 13 | 2 | 0 | ||||
| 5 | .5 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 0 | 7 | 26 | 28 | 9 | 1 | ||
| 5 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 6 | 2 | 20 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 30 | 22 | 5 | ||||
| 0 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 12 | 36 | 20 | 1 | |||||||
| 4 | .5 | 0 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 6 | 1 | 21 | 1 | 14 | 37 | 20 | |||||
| 4 | 0 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 6 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 35 | 30 | |||||
| Total: | 1 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 17 | 17 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:43 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
