Lobster Dawgz Playoff Chances 2013
Beat Dude 94-77, playoff odds down 5.5 to 28%
4-4-0 .500
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 10/24 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Wigz 99 Osto 90 | -2.2 | -0.1 | ||
| Dawgz 94 Dude 77 | +2.0 | +0.4 | ||
| Crack 108 Space 79 | -1.1 | -0.0 | ||
| NATE 58 Luke 51 | -0.6 | -0.1 | ||
| Dogs 91 Zizz 80 | -0.1 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 11/1 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Dawgz vs Kramer | +3.5-3.6-4.4 | +0.5-0.3-0.6 | ||
| Crack vs Osto | -2.3*-0.1+2.3 | -0.1-0.1+0.1 | ||
| Zizz vs Wigz | +2.6-1.7-1.9 | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | ||
| Space vs Luke | -0.8*+0.2+0.8 | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | ||
| Dogs vs AAA | +0.4-0.6-0.3 | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | ||
| NATE vs Dude | -0.0-0.0+0.1 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Dawgz finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Count | |||
| 9 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 90.7 | % | 12 | 15 | 62 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 238,044 | ||||||
| 8 | .5 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 59.2 | 5 | 8 | 35 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 39 | 1 | 10,626 | ||||||
| 8 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 52.5 | 2 | 11 | 27 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 41 | 6 | 0 | 1,468,633 | ||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 54.4 | 3 | 12 | 28 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 43 | 3 | 195 | ||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 28.8 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 4 | 56 | 15 | 0 | 51,746 | |||||
| 2 | - | 0 | - | 3 | Out | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||||||
| 7 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 26.4 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 42 | 27 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3,513,463 | ||||
| 2 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 24.4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 5 | 43 | 30 | 3 | 661 | ||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 21.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 25 | 38 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 90,557 | |||
| 1 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 25.0 | 25 | 75 | 4 | ||||||||||||||
| 6 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 21.4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 10 | 30 | 29 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 4,022,048 | ||||
| 1 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 22.7 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 10 | 30 | 30 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 754 | ||||||
| 5 | .5 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 21.2 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 1 | 11 | 33 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 67,912 | |||||
| 0 | - | 2 | - | 3 | Out | 67 | 33 | 3 | ||||||||||||||
| 5 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 21.1 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 38 | 17 | 1 | 2,209,096 | ||||||
| 0 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 25.7 | 5 | 1 | 20 | 1 | 17 | 40 | 16 | 0 | 265 | ||||||||
| 4 | .5 | 0 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 21.1 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 45 | 7 | 18,255 | ||||||
| 4 | 0 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 21.0 | 4 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 51 | 12 | 468,217 | |||||||
| Total: | 28.0 | % | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 19 | 15 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 12,160,480 | |||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 10/24 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Dawgz 94 Dude 77 | -0.4 | |
| Wigz 99 Osto 90 | +0.1 | |
| NATE 58 Luke 51 | +0.1 | |
| Crack 108 Space 79 | +0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 11/1 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Dawgz vs Kramer | -0.5+0.3+0.6 | |
| Zizz vs Wigz | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | |
| Crack vs Osto | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | |
| Dogs vs AAA | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | |
| Space vs Luke | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | |
| NATE vs Dude | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |
| 9 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 12 | 15 | 62 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 0 | |||||
| 8 | .5 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 5 | 8 | 35 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 39 | 1 | ||||
| 8 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 2 | 11 | 27 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 41 | 6 | 0 | ||||
| 3 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 3 | 12 | 28 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 43 | 3 | ||||||
| 7 | .5 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 4 | 56 | 15 | 0 | |||
| 2 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 100 | |||||||||||||
| 7 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 42 | 27 | 5 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 2 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 5 | 43 | 30 | 3 | ||||||
| 6 | .5 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 25 | 38 | 14 | 1 | 0 | |
| 1 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 25 | 75 | ||||||||||||
| 6 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 10 | 30 | 29 | 9 | 1 | 0 | ||
| 1 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 10 | 30 | 30 | 7 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| 5 | .5 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 1 | 11 | 33 | 28 | 6 | 0 | |||
| 0 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 67 | 33 | ||||||||||||
| 5 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 38 | 17 | 1 | ||||
| 0 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 5 | 1 | 20 | 1 | 17 | 40 | 16 | 0 | ||||||
| 4 | .5 | 0 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 45 | 7 | ||||
| 4 | 0 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 4 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 51 | 12 | |||||
| Total: | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 19 | 15 | 11 | 5 | 1 | ||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:43 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
