Graham Crackers Playoff Chances 2013
Beat Space 108-79, playoff odds up 5.6 to 74.4%
5-3-0 .625
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 10/24 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Crack 108 Space 79 | +3.7 | +0.5 | ||
| Wigz 99 Osto 90 | -2.5 | -0.2 | ||
| Dawgz 94 Dude 77 | -0.8 | -0.1 | ||
| NATE 58 Luke 51 | -0.7 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 11/1 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Crack vs Osto | +3.1-2.0-3.1 | +0.5-0.2-0.5 | ||
| Zizz vs Wigz | +2.6-2.0-1.9 | +0.3-0.2-0.2 | ||
| Dawgz vs Kramer | -1.1+2.3+1.4 | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | ||
| Space vs Luke | -1.1*-0.3+1.0 | |||
| Dogs vs AAA | +0.4*-0.3-0.3 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Crack finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Count | |||
| 10 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 98.3 | % | 54 | 4 | 37 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 342,781 | ||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 91.4 | 37 | 7 | 31 | 2 | 14 | 0 | 9 | 14,336 | |||||||
| 9 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 90.3 | 24 | 19 | 31 | 3 | 14 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1,811,910 | ||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 91.6 | 26 | 17 | 31 | 2 | 15 | 0 | 8 | 250 | |||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 79.1 | 9 | 13 | 20 | 6 | 29 | 1 | 20 | 0 | 59,130 | ||||||
| 2 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 50.0 | 25 | 25 | 50 | 4 | |||||||||||||
| 8 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 76.3 | 4 | 15 | 16 | 9 | 29 | 4 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3,758,323 | |||||
| 2 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 78.5 | 5 | 14 | 18 | 9 | 29 | 3 | 18 | 3 | 727 | ||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 69.3 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 34 | 9 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 91,384 | |||||
| 1 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 42.9 | 29 | 14 | 29 | 29 | 7 | ||||||||||||
| 7 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 67.5 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 29 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3,791,462 | ||||
| 1 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 68.5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 29 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 2 | 686 | |||||||
| 6 | .5 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 66.5 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 25 | 22 | 9 | 17 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 60,392 | ||||
| 0 | - | 2 | - | 3 | In | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||||||
| 6 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 66.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 18 | 29 | 1 | 9 | 16 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1,858,307 | |||
| 0 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 63.3 | 18 | 20 | 26 | 1 | 14 | 15 | 7 | 251 | |||||||||
| 5 | .5 | 0 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 66.3 | 20 | 10 | 36 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 14,282 | |||||
| 5 | 0 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 66.4 | 20 | 7 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 3 | 356,247 | ||||||
| Total: | 74.4 | % | 6 | 8 | 12 | 12 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12,160,480 | |||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 10/24 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Crack 108 Space 79 | -0.5 | |
| Wigz 99 Osto 90 | +0.2 | |
| Dawgz 94 Dude 77 | +0.1 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 11/1 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Crack vs Osto | -0.5+0.2+0.5 | |
| Zizz vs Wigz | -0.3+0.2+0.2 | |
| Dawgz vs Kramer | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |
| 10 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 54 | 4 | 37 | 0 | 2 | 2 | |||||||
| 9 | .5 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 37 | 7 | 31 | 2 | 14 | 0 | 9 | |||||
| 9 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 24 | 19 | 31 | 3 | 14 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| 3 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 26 | 17 | 31 | 2 | 15 | 0 | 8 | |||||||
| 8 | .5 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 9 | 13 | 20 | 6 | 29 | 1 | 20 | 0 | ||||
| 2 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 25 | 25 | 50 | |||||||||||
| 8 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 4 | 15 | 16 | 9 | 29 | 4 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | |||
| 2 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 5 | 14 | 18 | 9 | 29 | 3 | 18 | 3 | ||||||
| 7 | .5 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 34 | 9 | 25 | 5 | 0 | |||
| 1 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 29 | 14 | 29 | 29 | ||||||||||
| 7 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 29 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 1 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 29 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 2 | |||||
| 6 | .5 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 25 | 22 | 9 | 17 | 7 | 1 | 0 | ||
| 0 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 100 | |||||||||||||
| 6 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 18 | 29 | 1 | 9 | 16 | 7 | 1 | 0 | |
| 0 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 18 | 20 | 26 | 1 | 14 | 15 | 7 | |||||||
| 5 | .5 | 0 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 20 | 10 | 36 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 14 | 3 | 0 | |||
| 5 | 0 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 20 | 7 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 3 | ||||
| Total: | 6 | 8 | 12 | 12 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | ||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:43 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
