How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 12/13100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Average seed
Plague 1 Sin City 4 -1.2
-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/20100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Average seed
Phantoms vs Maury+11.8-4.7-10.8
+0.8-0.0-0.8
Sin City vs Blue Haze-2.0+1.6+1.6
Blue Haze vs Gladiators-0.7+0.2+0.7
Plague vs Top Heavy+0.4+0.3-0.4
-0.0+0.1+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Phantoms finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-L-Twins title1234567Count
104-0-091.9%9280425,071
93-0-164.464314375,021
83-1-027.527452531,686,060
2-0-27.5859312123,967
72-1-11.7224561801,121,638
1-0-3No265816018,284
62-2-00.003254524302,529,455
1-1-2No22751191249,037
0-0-4No224611301,064
51-2-1No123512321,123,345
0-1-3No1185525118,293
41-3-0No032543291,685,628
0-2-2No1244629125,200
30-3-1No22473374,245
20-4-0No0991424,834
Total:10.9%1113181816121210,281,142
Games Above .500
Chance Will Win Championship

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 12/13100.0*Lottery seed
Plague 1 Sin City 4 +0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/20100.0*Lottery seed
Phantoms vs Maury-0.8+0.0+0.8
Plague vs Top Heavy+0.0-0.1-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-L-T1234567
104-0-09280
93-0-164314
83-1-02745253
2-0-2859312
72-1-122456180
1-0-32658160
62-2-00325452430
1-1-222751191
0-0-422461120
51-2-112351232
0-1-311855251
41-3-003254329
0-2-21244629
30-3-122473
20-4-00991
Total:11131818161212