How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 12/13100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Average seed
Plague 1 Sin City 4 -0.4
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/20100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Average seed
Phantoms vs Maury+9.6-2.0-3.4
+0.7+0.2-0.3
Sin City vs Blue Haze-1.1+0.5+1.0
Blue Haze vs Gladiators-0.0+0.1+0.2
Plague vs Top Heavy-0.0+0.1+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Phantoms finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-L-Twins title1234567Count
104-0-082.3%821621,076,614
93-0-119.41952281,094,112
83-1-02.832851185,599,476
2-0-20.40256113403,766
72-1-10.004514504,002,961
1-0-3No45244063,905
62-2-00.000176518009,621,240
1-1-2No01673110915,559
0-0-4No0138623,725
51-2-1No25045304,250,818
0-1-3No139573067,238
41-3-0No014612236,361,436
0-2-2No0666253455,907
30-3-1No2949221,319,733
20-4-0No635591,395,748
Total:3.4%372035238436,632,238
Games Above .500
Chance Will Win Championship

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 12/13None
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/20100.0*Lottery seed
Phantoms vs Maury-0.7-0.2+0.3
Plague vs Top Heavy+0.0-0.1-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-L-T1234567
104-0-082162
93-0-1195228
83-1-03285118
2-0-20256113
72-1-10451450
1-0-3452440
62-2-00017651800
1-1-201673110
0-0-4013861
51-2-12504530
0-1-31395730
41-3-001461223
0-2-20666253
30-3-1294922
20-4-063559
Total:3720352384