"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/6100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Average seed
Maury vs Sin City-1.2+2.3+3.7
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Plague vs Blue Haze-1.6-0.8+2.0
-0.6+0.1+0.7

What If

Chances based on how well the Blue Haze finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-L-Twins title1234567Count
104-0-015.6%168411,252,072
93-0-14.758780954,765
83-1-00.614650403,603,608
2-0-20.10653310269,512
72-1-10.00135927101,989,886
1-0-3No186120033,471
62-2-0No119582213,578,101
1-1-2No12455190358,855
0-0-4No12660131,501
51-2-1No13259801,242,789
0-1-3No235576021,093
41-3-0No06583511,345,572
0-2-2No0561331102,854
30-3-1No0276210204,190
20-4-0No52075126,771
Total:1.7%2272623175115,085,040
Games Above .500
Chance Will Win Championship

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/6100.0*Lottery seed
Plague vs Blue Haze+0.6-0.1-0.7
Maury vs Sin City-0.0+0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-L-T1234567
104-0-016841
93-0-158780
83-1-01465040
2-0-20653310
72-1-1013592710
1-0-31861200
62-2-011958221
1-1-212455190
0-0-41266013
51-2-11325980
0-1-32355760
41-3-00658351
0-2-20561331
30-3-10276210
20-4-052075
Total:22726231751