"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Montreal 4 Anaheim 6 *-0.0
SaturdayNone

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Tampa Bay finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seedToilet
TPW-L-Tplayoffs123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930ChampionshipCount
69-87In100No649*
6822-5-2In991No313*
6722-6-1In991No580*
6621-5-3In982No774*
6521-6-299.9%9730No1,196*
6421-7-199.99550No1,979*
6320-6-399.99370No2,644*
6220-7-299.890100No3,829*
6120-8-199.1841510No5,812*
6019-7-398.1782020No6,999*
5919-8-296.37026400No9,815*
5819-9-192.36033710No13,500*
5718-8-386.1483912200No16,396*
5618-9-277.3364118410No21,272*
5518-10-163.925392682000No27,532*
5417-9-348.5153431154100No32,093*
5317-10-232.5725322393000No40,209*
5217-11-117.431428281872000No49,352*
5116-10-37.917182825145100No54,204*
5016-11-22.6029202623135100No63,997*
4916-12-10.5013102025221352000No74,059*
4815-11-30.10013101925221462000No78,702*
4715-12-20.00013817242315721000No88,988*
4614-11-4Out0002714212318941000No96,635*
4514-12-3Out000141119232012520000No98,686*
4414-13-2Out00013816222216831000No105,543*
4313-12-4Out000151219232012520000No108,445*
4213-13-3Out0001381622221683100No106,127*
4113-14-2Out00015111923201252000No108,920*
4012-13-4Out00013715222317931000No106,488*
3912-14-3Out000015112023201251000No98,972*
3812-15-2Out00001391723221572000No95,991*
3711-14-4Out00002614222418931000.0%89,416*
3611-15-3Out00015132125201041000.179,719*
3511-16-2Out0001411212621113100.673,170*
3410-15-4Out00141222272110302.864,329*
3310-16-3Out00001513242820718.554,823*
3210-17-2Out001616282816319.647,523*
319-16-4Out0028223326934.940,196*
309-17-3Out00141431351650.932,235*
299-18-2Out001824412666.826,654*
288-17-4Out00317413879.321,079*
278-18-3Out0210375188.616,472*
268-19-2Out006326293.512,608*
257-18-4Out03257296.79,320*
247-19-3Out02178198.46,849*
237-20-2Out01138699.34,929*
226-19-4Out099199.83,550*
216-20-3Out069499.92,418*
206-21-2Out039799.91,535*
195-20-4Out298Yes1,071*
185-21-3Out199Yes667*
175-22-2Out298Yes427*
164-21-4Out199Yes266*
0-15Out100Yes483*
Total:6.6%3333333333333333333333333333336.6%2,110,440

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs