How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

FridayNone
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Toilet Championship100.0*Average seed
Carolina vs Chicago+2.6-1.0-2.3
-2.4*+0.2+2.4
+1.7-0.4-1.6

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Carolina finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seedToilet
TPW-L-Tplayoffs123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930ChampionshipCount
68-87In100No315*
6722-6-1In991No186*
6621-5-3In982No258*
6521-6-2In991No405*
6421-7-199.9%9460No669*
6320-6-399.69460No835*
6220-7-299.890100No1,250*
6120-8-199.0841510No1,858*
6019-7-398.3782020No2,402*
5919-8-296.3712530No3,210*
5819-9-192.86032710No4,555*
5718-8-387.250381120No5,499*
5618-9-278.9374217400No7,305*
5518-10-164.82639258200No9,517*
5417-9-349.315353114410No10,717*
5317-10-232.982533229200No13,607*
5217-11-118.131529271772000No16,141*
5116-10-37.9171928251451000No18,161*
5016-11-22.702102027231241000No21,447*
4916-12-10.601310212522125100No24,341*
4815-11-30.100131019252213620000No26,135*
4715-12-2Out01391724221572100No29,586*
4614-11-4Out0002714222317941000No32,018*
4514-12-3Out00015112023201261000No32,936*
4414-13-2Out0013816222216831000No35,423*
4313-12-4Out0025112023201252000No36,256*
4213-13-3Out00013816222216831000No35,299*
4113-14-2Out0015111924201252000No36,012*
4012-13-4Out013715222317931000No35,567*
3912-14-3Out00015121923201252000No33,344*
3812-15-2Out001381723221572100No32,021*
3711-14-4Out00026142224191031000.0%29,367*
3611-15-3Out00015122125201141000.126,680*
3511-16-2Out001411212621113100.824,117*
3410-15-4Out00141121272211303.121,492*
3310-16-3Out0001413242820819.218,341*
3210-17-2Out001616282916419.715,798*
319-16-4Out0028213327935.413,442*
309-17-3Out0131330351752.210,973*
299-18-2Out01824402867.59,054*
288-17-4Out00317404079.46,912*
278-18-3Out0110375288.95,279*
268-19-2Out05316394.14,151*
257-18-4Out003237497.23,154*
247-19-3Out2188098.52,255*
237-20-2Out01128799.31,629*
226-19-4Out089199.71,219*
216-20-3Out595Yes798*
206-21-2Out496Yes562*
195-20-4Out298Yes369*
185-21-3Out199Yes222*
175-22-2Out199Yes140*
0-16Out100Yes251*
Total:6.7%3333333333333333333333333333336.7%703,480

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs