How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain
| If winner is:HomeAway | ||||
| Saturday, 2/14 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Canada vs Quebec | -16.9+7.2 | -1.0+0.4 | ||
| British Columbia vs Saskatchewan | -1.0+1.9 | -0.1+0.1 | ||
| Alberta vs Qualifier | +1.4-1.1 | |||
| Nova Scotia vs Newfoundland La | +1.1-0.8 | |||
| Manitoba vs Ontario | +0.2-1.4 | |||
| New Brunswick vs PEI | +0.7-0.4 | |||
| Saskatchewan vs Canada | -0.3+0.4 | |||
| If winner is:HomeAway | ||||
| Sunday, 2/15 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Quebec vs Qualifier | +11.5-15.2 | +0.6-0.8 | ||
| New Brunswick vs Newfoundland La | +1.0-0.6 | |||
| Manitoba vs Saskatchewan | +0.2-1.2 | |||
| Newfoundland La vs PEI | -0.3+0.2 | |||
What If
Chances based on how well the Quebec finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Count | |||
| 10 | 9 | - | 0 | In | 96 | 4 | 43,032 | |||||||||||||
| 9 | 8 | - | 1 | In | 75 | 24 | 1 | 348,037 | ||||||||||||
| 8 | 7 | - | 2 | 100.0 | % | 17 | 54 | 27 | 2 | 0 | 1,167,007 | |||||||||
| 7 | 6 | - | 3 | 96.9 | 1 | 18 | 51 | 27 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2,141,405 | ||||||||
| 6 | 5 | - | 4 | 68.4 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 45 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2,412,120 | |||||||
| 5 | 4 | - | 5 | 4.1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 41 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1,750,192 | |||||
| 4 | 3 | - | 6 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 40 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 823,839 | ||||||
| 3 | 2 | - | 7 | Out | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 42 | 28 | 5 | 243,015 | ||||||||
| 2 | 1 | - | 8 | Out | 0 | 4 | 36 | 60 | 41,082 | |||||||||||
| 1 | 0 | - | 9 | Out | 4 | 96 | 4,887 | |||||||||||||
| Total: | 59.7 | % | 6 | 13 | 21 | 20 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8,974,616 | |||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| If winner is:HomeAway | ||
| Saturday, 2/14 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Canada vs Quebec | +1.0-0.4 | |
| British Columbia vs Saskatchewan | +0.1-0.1 | |
| If winner is:HomeAway | ||
| Sunday, 2/15 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Quebec vs Qualifier | -0.6+0.8 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |
| 10 | 9 | - | 0 | 96 | 4 | |||||||||||
| 9 | 8 | - | 1 | 75 | 24 | 1 | ||||||||||
| 8 | 7 | - | 2 | 17 | 54 | 27 | 2 | 0 | ||||||||
| 7 | 6 | - | 3 | 1 | 18 | 51 | 27 | 3 | 0 | 0 | ||||||
| 6 | 5 | - | 4 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 45 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 0 | |||||
| 5 | 4 | - | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 41 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| 4 | 3 | - | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 40 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| 3 | 2 | - | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 42 | 28 | 5 | ||||||
| 2 | 1 | - | 8 | 0 | 4 | 36 | 60 | |||||||||
| 1 | 0 | - | 9 | 4 | 96 | |||||||||||
| Total: | 6 | 13 | 21 | 20 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | ||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:28 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
