Alberta Playoff Chances 2015
Lost to Manitoba 2-20, playoff odds down 23.9 to 9.4%
1-2 .333
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain
| If winner is:HomeAway | ||||
| Saturday, 2/14 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Alberta vs Qualifier | +6.9-5.2 | +1.0-0.7 | ||
| Canada vs Quebec | +1.0-0.4 | |||
| British Columbia vs Saskatchewan | -0.5+0.9 | +0.0-0.1 | ||
| Manitoba vs Ontario | +0.1-0.6 | +0.0-0.2 | ||
| Nova Scotia vs Newfoundland La | +0.3-0.2 | -0.1+0.0 | ||
| New Brunswick vs PEI | +0.3-0.2 | -0.1+0.1 | ||
| Saskatchewan vs Canada | -0.1+0.2 | |||
| If winner is:HomeAway | ||||
| Sunday, 2/15 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Manitoba vs Saskatchewan | +0.1-0.5 | +0.0-0.2 | ||
| New Brunswick vs Newfoundland La | +0.3-0.2 | -0.1+0.0 | ||
| Quebec vs Qualifier | -0.1+0.1 | |||
| Newfoundland La vs PEI | +0.1-0.0 | |||
What If
Chances based on how well the Alberta finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Count | |||
| 8 | 7 | - | 0 | In | 19 | 68 | 12 | 0 | 22,362 | |||||||||||
| 7 | 6 | - | 1 | 97.1 | % | 1 | 25 | 49 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 205,102 | |||||||
| 6 | 5 | - | 2 | 63.9 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 43 | 30 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 859,977 | |||||||
| 5 | 4 | - | 3 | 3.5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 42 | 26 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1,975,171 | ||||||
| 4 | 3 | - | 4 | Out | 0 | 3 | 22 | 42 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2,671,857 | |||||||
| 3 | 2 | - | 5 | Out | 0 | 0 | 7 | 28 | 40 | 21 | 3 | 2,136,007 | ||||||||
| 2 | 1 | - | 6 | Out | 0 | 1 | 10 | 42 | 48 | 930,786 | ||||||||||
| 1 | 0 | - | 7 | Out | 4 | 96 | 173,354 | |||||||||||||
| Total: | 9.4 | % | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 8,974,616 | |||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| If winner is:HomeAway | ||
| Saturday, 2/14 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Alberta vs Qualifier | -1.0+0.7 | |
| Manitoba vs Ontario | -0.0+0.2 | |
| New Brunswick vs PEI | +0.1-0.1 | |
| Nova Scotia vs Newfoundland La | +0.1-0.0 | |
| British Columbia vs Saskatchewan | -0.0+0.1 | |
| If winner is:HomeAway | ||
| Sunday, 2/15 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Manitoba vs Saskatchewan | -0.0+0.2 | |
| New Brunswick vs Newfoundland La | +0.1-0.0 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |
| 8 | 7 | - | 0 | 19 | 68 | 12 | 0 | |||||||||
| 7 | 6 | - | 1 | 1 | 25 | 49 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 0 | ||||||
| 6 | 5 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 43 | 30 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |||||
| 5 | 4 | - | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 42 | 26 | 5 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| 4 | 3 | - | 4 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 42 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |||||
| 3 | 2 | - | 5 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 28 | 40 | 21 | 3 | ||||||
| 2 | 1 | - | 6 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 42 | 48 | ||||||||
| 1 | 0 | - | 7 | 4 | 96 | |||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 12 | 10 | 8 | ||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:28 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
