Phantom Shots Playoff Chances 2015-2016 50/50
Lost to Bowties 148-153, playoff odds down 0.04 to 0%
2-6-0 .250
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 10/24 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Bowties 153 Shots 148 | Out | -1.1 | ||
| Golden 184 Z6BS 141 | Out | +0.1 | ||
| TBB 105 Imp 167 | Out | +0.1 | ||
| TDI 168 Balls 139 | -0.1 | |||
| Shake 132 PMF 176 | +0.1 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 10/31 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Shots vs TBB | +1.1-0.8-1.0 | |||
| PMF vs TDI | +0.2+0.2-0.2 | |||
| Z6BS vs Rammer | -0.2+0.1+0.2 | |||
| Bowties vs Shake | +0.1+0.2-0.1 | |||
| Balls vs Salt | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | |||
What If
Chances based on how well the Shots finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Count | |||
| 4 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 0 | Out | 7 | 56 | 30 | 7 | 2,321,015 | |||||||||||
| 3 | .5 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 1 | Out | 1 | 21 | 28 | 36 | 14 | 488,538 | |||||||||
| 3 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 0 | Out | 10 | 26 | 42 | 22 | 4,638,543 | |||||||||||
| 0 | - | 0 | - | 2 | Out | 4 | 15 | 71 | 11 | 25,750 | ||||||||||||
| 2 | .5 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 1 | Out | 2 | 15 | 72 | 11 | 487,780 | ||||||||||
| 2 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 0 | Out | 15 | 72 | 13 | 2,319,518 | ||||||||||||
| Total: | Out | 2 | 13 | 12 | 15 | 25 | 31 | 3 | 10,281,144 | |||||||||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
We are out of the playoffs. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Although it might be more fun to go down swinging.
Big Games
| Week of 10/24 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Bowties 153 Shots 148 | +0.5 | |
| Shake 132 PMF 176 | -0.1 | |
| Golden 184 Z6BS 141 | -0.1 | |
| TBB 105 Imp 167 | -0.1 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 10/31 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Shots vs TBB | -0.6+0.1+0.6 | |
| PMF vs TDI | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | |
| Z6BS vs Rammer | +0.1*-0.0-0.1 | |
| Balls vs Salt | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |
| 4 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 21 | 20 | 15 | 8 | |||||
| 3 | .5 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 23 | 24 | 18 | ||||
| 3 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 20 | 32 | 32 | |||||
| 0 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 29 | 34 | ||||||
| 2 | .5 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 31 | 50 | ||||
| 2 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 26 | 66 | |||||
| Total: | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 26 | 34 | ||||||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:41 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
