Shake N Bake Playoff Chances 2015-2016 50/50
Lost to PMF 132-176, playoff odds down 20.1 to 1.7%
4-4-0 .500
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 10/24 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Shake 132 PMF 176 | -16.8 | -0.8 | ||
| Golden 184 Z6BS 141 | -3.7 | -0.2 | ||
| TBB 105 Imp 167 | -2.0 | +0.0 | ||
| Rammer 174 Salt 166 | -0.3 | -0.0 | ||
| Bowties 153 Shots 148 | -0.0 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 10/31 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Bowties vs Shake | OutOut+1.9 | -0.8+0.1+0.8 | ||
| Balls vs Salt | +1.5+1.5Out | |||
| Imp vs Golden | +1.5+1.5Out | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | ||
| Shots vs TBB | -0.1+0.2+0.1 | |||
| PMF vs TDI | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | |||
What If
Chances based on how well the Shake finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Count | |||
| 6 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 7.6 | % | 8 | 40 | 53 | 2,318,157 | |||||||||||
| 5 | .5 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 1 | Out | 9 | 90 | 0 | 489,429 | |||||||||||
| 5 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 0 | Out | 2 | 70 | 26 | 2 | 4,640,737 | |||||||||||
| 0 | - | 0 | - | 2 | Out | 77 | 23 | 25,744 | ||||||||||||||
| 4 | .5 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 1 | Out | 22 | 46 | 30 | 2 | 487,092 | ||||||||||
| 4 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 0 | Out | 3 | 19 | 57 | 15 | 6 | 0 | 2,319,985 | |||||||||
| Total: | 1.7 | % | 2 | 10 | 50 | 18 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10,281,144 | |||||||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 10/24 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Shake 132 PMF 176 | +1.2 | |
| Golden 184 Z6BS 141 | +0.1 | |
| TBB 105 Imp 167 | +0.0 | |
| Rammer 174 Salt 166 | +0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 10/31 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Bowties vs Shake | +0.8+0.1-0.9 | |
| Z6BS vs Rammer | +0.1*-0.0-0.1 | |
| PMF vs TDI | -0.1*-0.0+0.1 | |
| Balls vs Salt | +0.1-0.0-0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |
| 6 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 27 | 22 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | |
| 5 | .5 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 8 | 19 | 22 | 20 | 16 | 11 | 4 | 1 | ||||
| 5 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 21 | 22 | 17 | 9 | 3 | |||||
| 0 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 3 | 11 | 16 | 19 | 20 | 17 | 11 | 3 | ||||||
| 4 | .5 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 20 | 22 | 18 | 8 | ||||
| 4 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 23 | 27 | 18 | |||||
| Total: | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 11 | 6 | ||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:41 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
