Salty Pirates Playoff Chances 2015-2016 50/50
Lost to Rammer 166-174, playoff odds down 14.9 to 71.6%
5-2-1 .688
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 10/24 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Rammer 174 Salt 166 | -10.9 | -0.8 | ||
| Shake 132 PMF 176 | +3.0 | -0.0 | ||
| Golden 184 Z6BS 141 | -2.7 | -0.1 | ||
| TBB 105 Imp 167 | -0.9 | -0.1 | ||
| Bowties 153 Shots 148 | -0.3 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 10/31 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Balls vs Salt | -20.6-20.4+22.7 | -0.6-0.6+0.7 | ||
| Imp vs Golden | +9.5+8.8-10.4 | -0.0+0.4+0.0 | ||
| Shots vs TBB | +1.2+1.2-1.4 | |||
| Bowties vs Shake | +0.4+1.4-0.5 | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | ||
| PMF vs TDI | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | |||
What If
Chances based on how well the Salt finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Count | |||
| 7 | .5 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 7 | 40 | 43 | 11 | 2,321,260 | ||||||||||
| 7 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 89.3 | % | 16 | 74 | 11 | 488,224 | |||||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 89.3 | 16 | 74 | 11 | 4,638,118 | |||||||||||
| 0 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 16.6 | 17 | 60 | 21 | 2 | 25,758 | ||||||||||||
| 6 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 16.7 | 17 | 60 | 21 | 2 | 486,966 | |||||||||||
| 5 | .5 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 16.4 | 16 | 60 | 21 | 2 | 2,320,818 | ||||||||||
| Total: | 71.6 | % | 1 | 9 | 18 | 44 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 10,281,144 | ||||||||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 10/24 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Rammer 174 Salt 166 | +0.8 | |
| Golden 184 Z6BS 141 | +0.1 | |
| TBB 105 Imp 167 | +0.1 | |
| Shake 132 PMF 176 | -0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 10/31 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Balls vs Salt | +0.9+0.5-1.0 | |
| Imp vs Golden | -0.3-0.3+0.3 | |
| PMF vs TDI | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | |
| Z6BS vs Rammer | -0.1*-0.0+0.1 | |
| Shots vs TBB | -0.0-0.0+0.1 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |
| 7 | .5 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 55 | 28 | 13 | 4 | ||||||||
| 7 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 33 | 28 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| 6 | .5 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 18 | 27 | 26 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 0 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 61 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | ||||
| 6 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 50 | 19 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | .5 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 35 | 22 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Total: | 22 | 20 | 17 | 12 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:41 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
