Improper Benefits Playoff Chances 2015-2016 50/50
Beat TBB 167-105, playoff odds up 12.8 to 79.7%
6-2-0 .750
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 10/24 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| TBB 105 Imp 167 | +15.4 | +0.7 | ||
| Golden 184 Z6BS 141 | -4.5 | -0.1 | ||
| Shake 132 PMF 176 | +2.5 | |||
| Rammer 174 Salt 166 | +0.4 | +0.0 | ||
| Bowties 153 Shots 148 | -0.1 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 10/31 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Imp vs Golden | In+12.0-21.5 | +0.8-0.0-0.8 | ||
| Balls vs Salt | +8.2+8.2-9.0 | +0.2+0.2-0.2 | ||
| Z6BS vs Rammer | +0.6+0.5-0.6 | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | ||
| PMF vs TDI | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | |||
What If
Chances based on how well the Imp finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Count | |||
| 8 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 35 | 57 | 8 | 2,319,868 | ||||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 3 | 26 | 54 | 17 | 487,612 | ||||||||||
| 7 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 96.1 | % | 0 | 12 | 54 | 30 | 4 | 4,637,948 | |||||||||
| 0 | - | 0 | - | 2 | In | 27 | 73 | 25,538 | ||||||||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 55.1 | 10 | 45 | 45 | 487,823 | |||||||||||
| 6 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 27.6 | 28 | 72 | 2,322,355 | |||||||||||||
| Total: | 79.7 | % | 8 | 19 | 29 | 23 | 20 | 10,281,144 | ||||||||||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 10/24 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| TBB 105 Imp 167 | -1.0 | |
| Golden 184 Z6BS 141 | +0.2 | |
| Shake 132 PMF 176 | -0.1 | |
| Rammer 174 Salt 166 | -0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 10/31 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Imp vs Golden | -1.0-0.4+1.0 | |
| Balls vs Salt | -0.2-0.2+0.3 | |
| Z6BS vs Rammer | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | |
| PMF vs TDI | +0.1*-0.0-0.1 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |
| 8 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 38 | 33 | 22 | 7 | |||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 23 | 30 | 31 | 16 | ||||||||
| 7 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 9 | 21 | 35 | 32 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 0 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 13 | 22 | 33 | 32 | ||||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 30 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 24 | 18 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Total: | 14 | 19 | 24 | 23 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:41 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
