XV de MarÃ;§o Sporte Clube Title Chances 2018 50/50
Beat CCP 17-10, title odds up 3.1 to 5.7%
22 points 7-1-6
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 9/9 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Campeonato Nacional de Rugby - Segunda | 100.0* | Average seed |
| CCP 10 XVmarÃ;§o 17 | +1.7 | -5.3 | +0.9 | |||
| AEV 14 Ferroviarios 28 | +0.7 | +0.5 | ||||
| UDR 14 Riolagen 34 | +0.1 | +0.8 | +0.0 | |||
| Werklagger 37 Fortaleza 14 | +0.1 | +0.3 | ||||
| UBR 8 Destecheu 21 | +0.2 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Week of 9/16 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Campeonato Nacional de Rugby - Segunda | 100.0* | Average seed |
| XVmarÃ;§o vs UBR | +3.3-2.5-3.2 | -3.6*-0.1+3.6 | +0.9-0.4-0.9 | |||
| Fortaleza vs AEV | +1.2-0.2-1.1 | +0.2*+0.0-0.2 | ||||
| Riolagen vs AtlÃ;©ticoWal | +0.9+0.2-0.9 | +0.5-0.2-0.5 | ||||
| LeÃ;µes vs Werklagger | -0.3*+0.1+0.3 | -0.2*-0.0+0.2 | ||||
| Destecheu vs UDR | +0.1*+0.1-0.1 | +0.5*+0.0-0.5 | ||||
| Ferroviarios vs CCP | -0.1*-0.0+0.1 | -0.3-0.2+0.4 | ||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the XVmarÃ;§o finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance | Chance will finish season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Campeonato Nacional de Rugby - Segunda | Count | ||||
| 46 | 8 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 93.9 | % | 94 | 6 | 0 | No | 25,538 | ||||||||||||
| 44 | 7 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 80.9 | 81 | 19 | 1 | No | 11,141 | |||||||||||||
| 43 | 7 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 72.2 | 72 | 26 | 1 | 0 | No | 191,866 | ||||||||||||
| 42 | 6 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 55.2 | 55 | 41 | 4 | No | 2,198 | |||||||||||||
| 41 | 6 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 40.2 | 40 | 48 | 12 | 1 | 0 | No | 77,333 | |||||||||||
| 40 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 29.2 | 29 | 50 | 19 | 2 | 0 | No | 671,859 | |||||||||||
| 5 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 36.2 | 36 | 42 | 21 | 1 | No | 257 | |||||||||||||
| 39 | 5 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 12.2 | 12 | 45 | 35 | 8 | 1 | 0 | No | 13,615 | ||||||||||
| 38 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 4.8 | 5 | 30 | 43 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 231,557 | |||||||||
| 4 | - | 4 | - | 0 | No | 35 | 47 | 18 | No | 17 | ||||||||||||||
| 37 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 2.0 | 2 | 19 | 42 | 30 | 7 | 1 | 0 | No | 1,343,029 | |||||||||
| 4 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 2.9 | 3 | 21 | 42 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 0 | No | 1,298 | ||||||||||
| 36 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 0.2 | 0 | 5 | 26 | 41 | 23 | 5 | 0 | No | 33,232 | |||||||||
| 3 | - | 5 | - | 0 | No | 50 | 50 | No | 2 | |||||||||||||||
| 35 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 32 | 39 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 386,690 | |||||||
| 3 | - | 4 | - | 1 | No | 2 | 23 | 40 | 25 | 11 | No | 53 | ||||||||||||
| 34 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 39 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 0 | No | 1,678,671 | |||||||
| 3 | - | 3 | - | 2 | No | 0 | 4 | 23 | 38 | 28 | 7 | 1 | No | 2,555 | ||||||||||
| 33 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 3 | No | 0 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 39 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 0 | No | 44,400 | |||||||
| 32 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 4 | No | 0 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 41 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 387,894 | ||||||
| 2 | - | 4 | - | 2 | No | 15 | 27 | 37 | 19 | 3 | No | 113 | ||||||||||||
| 31 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 5 | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 34 | 36 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | 1,343,722 | ||||||
| 2 | - | 3 | - | 3 | No | 0 | 2 | 15 | 36 | 33 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 2,548 | |||||||||
| 30 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 4 | No | 0 | 3 | 16 | 36 | 32 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1.7 | 33,392 | ||||||||
| 1 | - | 5 | - | 2 | No | 33 | 33 | 33 | No | 3 | ||||||||||||||
| 29 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 5 | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 41 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 7.8 | 231,822 | ||||||||
| 1 | - | 4 | - | 3 | No | 10 | 22 | 40 | 24 | 3 | 3.4 | 89 | ||||||||||||
| 28 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 6 | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 33 | 39 | 16 | 2 | 18.2 | 670,245 | ||||||||
| 1 | - | 3 | - | 4 | No | 1 | 11 | 33 | 38 | 15 | 1 | 16.9 | 1,287 | |||||||||||
| 27 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 5 | No | 0 | 3 | 17 | 37 | 33 | 10 | 42.6 | 13,519 | ||||||||||
| 0 | - | 5 | - | 3 | No | 100 | Yes | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
| 26 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 6 | No | 0 | 0 | 6 | 28 | 44 | 21 | 65.0 | 77,404 | ||||||||||
| 0 | - | 4 | - | 4 | No | 23 | 58 | 19 | 76.9 | 26 | ||||||||||||||
| 25 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 7 | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 46 | 32 | 78.2 | 192,099 | ||||||||||
| 0 | - | 3 | - | 5 | No | 1 | 17 | 50 | 31 | 81.1 | 286 | |||||||||||||
| 24 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 6 | No | 0 | 9 | 36 | 55 | 90.9 | 2,153 | ||||||||||||
| 23 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 7 | No | 0 | 3 | 29 | 68 | 96.7 | 10,905 | ||||||||||||
| 22 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 8 | No | 0 | 1 | 21 | 78 | 98.7 | 25,509 | ||||||||||||
| Total: | 5.7 | % | 6 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5.0 | % | 7,708,328 | |||||||
Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:43 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
