Werklagger Jager Rugby Title Chances 2018 50/50
Beat Fortaleza 37-14, title odds up 1.8 to 3.3%
21 points 7-0-7
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 9/9 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Campeonato Nacional de Rugby - Segunda | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Werklagger 37 Fortaleza 14 | +1.1 | -6.0 | +0.9 | |||
| AEV 14 Ferroviarios 28 | +0.4 | +0.8 | -0.1 | |||
| UDR 14 Riolagen 34 | +0.1 | +1.1 | ||||
| CCP 10 XVmarÃ;§o 17 | -0.5 | |||||
| UBR 8 Destecheu 21 | +0.2 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Week of 9/16 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Campeonato Nacional de Rugby - Segunda | 100.0* | Average seed |
| LeÃ;µes vs Werklagger | -2.4-1.0+2.5 | +4.4+0.7-4.4 | -1.0-0.3+1.0 | |||
| Fortaleza vs AEV | +0.6+0.8-0.6 | +0.2*-0.2-0.2 | -0.1+0.1+0.0 | |||
| Riolagen vs AtlÃ;©ticoWal | +0.5*+0.0-0.5 | +0.7-0.5-0.7 | -0.0+0.1+0.0 | |||
| XVmarÃ;§o vs UBR | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | -0.7*-0.1+0.7 | -0.0+0.1+0.0 | |||
| Destecheu vs UDR | +0.1*+0.1-0.1 | +0.7*+0.1-0.7 | ||||
| Ferroviarios vs CCP | -0.1*-0.0+0.1 | -0.4+0.7+0.4 | -0.0-0.1+0.0 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Werklagger finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance | Chance will finish season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Campeonato Nacional de Rugby - Segunda | Count | ||||
| 45 | 8 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 93.1 | % | 93 | 7 | 0 | No | 25,504 | ||||||||||||
| 43 | 7 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 80.7 | 81 | 18 | 1 | No | 10,986 | |||||||||||||
| 42 | 7 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 57.7 | 58 | 37 | 5 | 0 | 0 | No | 192,100 | |||||||||||
| 41 | 6 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 46.9 | 47 | 43 | 10 | 0 | No | 2,304 | ||||||||||||
| 40 | 6 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 31.6 | 32 | 48 | 18 | 2 | 0 | No | 77,364 | |||||||||||
| 39 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 11.2 | 11 | 41 | 36 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 670,882 | |||||||||
| 5 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 17.6 | 18 | 46 | 31 | 5 | No | 261 | |||||||||||||
| 38 | 5 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 5.5 | 6 | 30 | 43 | 19 | 3 | 0 | No | 13,420 | ||||||||||
| 37 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 1.8 | 2 | 17 | 39 | 31 | 10 | 1 | 0 | No | 231,772 | |||||||||
| 4 | - | 4 | - | 0 | No | 12 | 24 | 47 | 18 | No | 17 | |||||||||||||
| 36 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 0.1 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 39 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 0 | No | 1,342,860 | ||||||||
| 4 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 0.2 | 0 | 7 | 28 | 39 | 22 | 4 | 0 | No | 1,217 | ||||||||||
| 35 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 31 | 38 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 33,410 | |||||||
| 3 | - | 5 | - | 0 | No | 100 | No | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
| 34 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 37 | 32 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 387,151 | ||||||
| 3 | - | 4 | - | 1 | No | 3 | 20 | 39 | 31 | 8 | No | 75 | ||||||||||||
| 33 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 4 | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 38 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 0 | No | 1,679,349 | |||||||
| 3 | - | 3 | - | 2 | No | 0 | 6 | 25 | 40 | 23 | 5 | 0 | No | 2,479 | ||||||||||
| 32 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 3 | No | 0 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 41 | 24 | 4 | 0 | No | 44,413 | ||||||||
| 2 | - | 5 | - | 1 | No | 80 | 20 | No | 5 | |||||||||||||||
| 31 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 4 | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 34 | 37 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0.1 | % | 386,337 | ||||||
| 2 | - | 4 | - | 2 | No | 1 | 14 | 35 | 36 | 13 | 1 | No | 116 | |||||||||||
| 30 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 5 | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 37 | 32 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1.2 | 1,344,080 | |||||||
| 2 | - | 3 | - | 3 | No | 0 | 4 | 21 | 39 | 28 | 8 | 1 | 0.6 | 2,534 | ||||||||||
| 29 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 4 | No | 0 | 4 | 21 | 41 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 6.6 | 33,403 | |||||||||
| 1 | - | 5 | - | 2 | No | 100 | No | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
| 28 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 5 | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 34 | 38 | 15 | 2 | 17.1 | 231,146 | ||||||||
| 1 | - | 4 | - | 3 | No | 1 | 19 | 33 | 42 | 4 | 4.1 | 73 | ||||||||||||
| 27 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 6 | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 38 | 30 | 8 | 38.3 | 671,839 | |||||||||
| 1 | - | 3 | - | 4 | No | 0 | 5 | 23 | 37 | 30 | 6 | 35.9 | 1,280 | |||||||||||
| 26 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 5 | No | 1 | 7 | 29 | 44 | 20 | 63.6 | 13,555 | |||||||||||
| 0 | - | 5 | - | 3 | No | 100 | No | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
| 25 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 6 | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 46 | 31 | 77.4 | 77,840 | ||||||||||
| 0 | - | 4 | - | 4 | No | 27 | 40 | 33 | 73.3 | 15 | ||||||||||||||
| 24 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 7 | No | 0 | 1 | 9 | 38 | 52 | 89.9 | 191,629 | |||||||||||
| 0 | - | 3 | - | 5 | No | 0 | 10 | 41 | 49 | 89.6 | 249 | |||||||||||||
| 23 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 6 | No | 0 | 3 | 26 | 71 | 97.3 | 2,117 | ||||||||||||
| 22 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 7 | No | 1 | 19 | 80 | 98.9 | 11,051 | |||||||||||||
| 21 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 8 | No | 0 | 8 | 92 | 99.8 | 25,492 | |||||||||||||
| Total: | 3.3 | % | 3 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 7.7 | % | 7,708,328 | |||||||
Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:43 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
